Tipps Corinthians Criciuma Serie A 17/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Corinthians SP wins the match

1. Home performance of Corinthians: In their last 5 home matches, Corinthians SP won 2 times, representing a 40% success rate. They have also shown offensive strength with 9 goals scored.

2. Away performance of Criciuma: Criciuma has a poorer performance away from home, as evidenced by their win rate of only 20% in their last 5 away matches. Furthermore, Criciuma has conceded more goals than they have scored in their recent away games.

3. Probability of success: The probability of Corinthians SP winning the match is higher at 49.18% compared to Criciuma’s 18.58%. This is an important factor to consider in sports betting.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of Corinthians SP at home and Criciuma away is 29% and 36% respectively. This means that both teams have a low success rate in terms of goals scored.

2. The average number of goals scored by Corinthians SP at home and Criciuma away is around one goal per match. This strengthens the argument that fewer than 2.5 goals will be scored in the match.

3. Analysis of the last matches of Corinthians SP at home and Criciuma away shows that a majority of the matches ended with fewer than 2.5 goals (3 out of 5 matches for Corinthians SP at home and 4 out of 5 matches for Criciuma away).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics for Corinthians SP at home and Criciuma away show a trend where both teams often score. In the last five home matches for Corinthians SP, both teams scored in 4 instances. Similarly, for Criciuma, in their last 5 away matches, both teams scored in 4 matches.

2. Corinthians SP, in their home matches, have an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 71%, suggesting some vulnerability in defense. On the other hand, Criciuma, in their away matches, have an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 43%, indicating they are capable of scoring goals away from home.

3. Lastly, the calculated probability of both teams scoring is 50.27%, slightly higher than 50%. This indicates that the chances slightly favor the hypothesis that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Criciuma wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Corinthians SP 2 – 1 Criciuma

1. Home form of Corinthians SP: Statistics from the last 5 home matches of Corinthians SP show a strong offensive performance, with a total of 9 goals scored. Although their defense is equally matched by having also conceded 9 goals, they have managed to win in 40% of the cases, slightly surpassing Criciuma in terms of away victories (20%).

2. Offensive/Defensive potential: Examining the offensive and defensive potential of both teams favors this scoreline. Corinthians SP has an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 71%, while Criciuma has an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 43%. It is therefore predictable that Corinthians SP will score 2 goals and Criciuma, with a slightly superior attack, will manage to register one goal on the scoreboard.

3. Match statistics: The probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match is 70.49%, and the probability of both teams scoring is 50.27%. These numbers support the prediction of a 2-1 result for Corinthians SP against Criciuma. Furthermore, the chances of success for Corinthians SP are evaluated at 49.18%, which, although slightly lower than 50%, is considerably higher than those of Criciuma (18.58%).

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Corinthians SP has an average performance at home, with a win in 40% of its last 5 matches and 9 goals scored. Criciuma struggles away, with only a 20% win rate and 5 goals scored.

Corinthians SP’s defense has struggled, conceding 9 goals, while Criciuma has let in 6 goals.

Corinthians SP has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 71%. Criciuma has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 43%.

With a probability of 49.18%, Corinthians SP has a higher chance of winning the match.

The “Draw or Corinthians SP wins” option, with a probability of 81.42%, also seems interesting.

Considering the number of goals, a match with less than 3.5 goals has an 85.79% probability and could be a good option.

Based on recent matches, Corinthians SP has both scored and conceded goals at home, while Criciuma has consistently scored and conceded when playing away.

Therefore, the “Both teams to score” option could be worth considering, with odds of 1.90 and a 50.27% probability.

In conclusion, a close match is expected but Corinthians SP seems to have a slight advantage, taking into account the goal-scoring potential of each team.

The potential number of goals

Corinthians SP, at home, demonstrates a balanced performance with 9 goals scored and 9 goals conceded. They win 40% of their matches. The team therefore creates as many opportunities as it concedes.

Criciuma, away, wins less: only 20% of their matches. They score an average of 1 goal per match and concede 1.2 times.

Overall, Corinthians SP has a winning chance of 49.18%. The probability of a draw is 32.24%. Criciuma has a lower success probability of 18.58%.

The history of Corinthians SP matches at home shows a tendency towards high scores with over 2.5 goals. This is confirmed by a probability of 44.26% for over 2.5 goals.

On the other hand, Criciuma’s away meetings are less eventful with fewer than 2.5 goals in most cases.

Indeed, both teams have an almost equal probability of scoring, at 50.27%.

Based on these statistics, a likely prediction would be a match with under 2.5 goals where Corinthians SP wins.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, various analysis factors lead to a prediction of victory for Corinthians SP due to its superior home performance despite defensive weaknesses. Low offensive performance on both sides and a tendency to concede goals suggest that there might be fewer than 2.5 goals in total in the match. However, statistics also indicate a high likelihood of both teams scoring.

The bet ‘Draw or Criciuma wins the match’ seems worth considering despite unfavorable statistics for Criciuma, due to its attractive odds and a success probability of over 50%.

Finally, the favored exact score prediction is a 2-1 win for Corinthians SP, fitting the forecast for a match with fewer than 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Nevertheless, individual statistics show that Corinthians SP holds a slight advantage.

Sports betting remains uncertain and depends on many factors, but detailed analysis increases the chances of making the right choice. However, it’s essential to remember that betting should remain entertainment and that nothing is ever 100% certain.