Tipps Corinthians Racing Club Copa Sudamericana 25/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Corinthians SP wins the match.

1. The performance of Corinthians SP at home is exceptional: in their last 5 home matches, they have won 80% of the time, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match, with an offensive performance of 79%.

2. In comparison, Racing Club’s performance away from home is weak: they have only won 20% of their last 5 away matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match with an offensive performance of only 64%.

3. The statistics show a probability of victory for Corinthians SP of 47.43%, higher than that of Racing Club at 21.71%, clearly indicating an advantage for Corinthians SP.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. The average number of goals scored by both teams in their last 5 matches (2.2 goals for Corinthians SP and 1.8 for Racing Club) exceeds the 2.5 goals mark, making the over 2.5 goals option for this match quite plausible.

2. Corinthians SP has a home offensive potential of 79%, indicating a high probability of scoring at least one goal; coupled with the fact that Racing Club has an away offensive potential of 64%, we can expect a relatively high-scoring match.

3. In their last 5 home matches, Corinthians SP scored 16 goals, averaging 3.2 goals per match, well above the 2.5 goals threshold. Additionally, Racing Club scored 1 goal in their recent away games, which could add to the total goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Racing Club’s away performances have been poor with only a 20% win rate and just one goal scored in their last 5 matches. This indicates that it is unlikely for them to score in the next match against Corinthians SP.

2. Corinthians SP has shown strong home defense with a defensive potential of 57%. Furthermore, they have conceded less than 2 goals per game on average in their last 5 home matches, suggesting that they can likely prevent Racing Club from scoring.

3. The probability of both teams not scoring has been estimated at 53.71%, which is higher than the probability of both teams scoring (46.29%). This shows a favorable statistical trend towards the option of both teams not scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Corinthians SP 2-1 Racing Club

1. Corinthians SP’s home performance is impressive with an average of 2.2 goals per game and a win rate of 80% in their last 5 matches. This gives a favorable forecast for Corinthians SP.

2. Racing Club, despite conceding goals at the same rate as Corinthians SP per match, has a poor away performance with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches and an average of 1.8 goals per game.

3. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is almost balanced at 44.57%, aligning quite well with our exact score forecast which implies a total of 3 goals during the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Corinthians SP shines at home, with an 80% win rate in the last 5 matches. They average 2.2 goals scored per match and concede 1.6. This results in an offensive potential of 79% and defensive potential of 57%.

On the other hand, Racing Club struggles away, with only a 20% win rate. They score fewer goals, averaging 1.8 per match, but also concede 1.6 goals. Their offensive potential stands at 64% and defensive at 57%.

Corinthians SP has a 47.43% probability of winning against Racing Club’s 21.71%. A draw is estimated at 30.86%.

It is more likely to have less than 3.5 goals in the match with a probability of 93.14%.

Both teams are unlikely to score, with a probability of 53.71%.

In conclusion, based on these statistics, Corinthians SP seems to have an advantage, especially at home. However, a match can always be unpredictable.

The potential number of goals

Corinthians SP is in good form, with an 80% home win rate. They have a strong offensive potential (79%) scoring an average of 2.2 goals per home match. However, their defense can improve as they have conceded 17 goals in 5 matches.

Racing Club is not in great form when playing away, with only a 20% win rate. Their offensive (64%) and defensive (57%) potentials are both weaker than Corinthians SP.

The highest probability is Corinthians SP winning or a draw (78.29% probability). The match is expected to lean towards a defensive style, with a high probability of less than 3.5 goals being scored in the match (93.14% probability).

Recent matches confirm this trend. Corinthians SP has shown a better offensive performance compared to Racing Club, which tends to struggle to score when away.

In conclusion, Corinthians SP seems to be the favorite for the upcoming match against Racing Club, with a recommendation to bet on under 3.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the different analyses and statistical predictions provide a clear and objective insight into the upcoming match between Corinthians SP and Racing Club. Based on each team’s recent performances, Corinthians SP appears to be the favorite, particularly at home, with a solid offensive potential and a 47.43% probability of winning. Despite their weak away performance, Racing Club should not be underestimated, with a probability of scoring at least one goal in this match.

The BTTS prediction “Both teams to score: No” indicates that both teams have notable defensive performances, and the match could see fewer than 3.5 goals scored, despite a fairly high offensive potential for both teams.

An interesting value bet seems to be on “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” especially considering Corinthians SP’s offensive potential at home. Finally, the exact score prediction is somewhat uncertain, but the margin seems to be around a 2-1 score in favor of Corinthians SP.

It is important to emphasize that sports betting, while it can be informed by detailed analysis, remains inherently unpredictable and always involves an element of risk. Therefore, all bets should be placed responsibly.