Tipps Corinthians Sao Paulo Serie A 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the statistics provided, my prediction would be “Draw or Corinthians SP wins the match.” This option has a success probability of 65.78%, which is the highest among all the options given. Furthermore, Corinthians SP has a strong home record, which further supports the prediction.

1. Team Statistics: Recent statistics show that the Corinthians SP team has a fairly strong performance when playing at home, with a win rate of 60%. Additionally, the team has scored 9 goals in 5 matches, indicating their offensive potential. On the other hand, although Sao Paulo SP has a good away win record, they have also conceded as many goals as they scored, suggesting a possibility of underperforming.

2. Result Probabilities: The option “Draw or Corinthians SP wins the match” has a success probability of 65.78%, the highest among the given options. This option combines two of the three possible outcomes (Corinthians SP win and draw), significantly increasing the likelihood of winning the bet.

3. Head-to-Head Comparison: Looking at the direct comparison of the two teams, Corinthians SP has managed to maintain a strong defense at home, conceding fewer goals than their opponent Sao Paulo SP when playing away. This, combined with Corinthians SP’s good home win record, provides a strong argument in favor of the prediction “Draw or Corinthians SP wins the match”.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent statistics show a trend of high-scoring matches for both teams. Additionally, in Corinthians SP’s last 5 home matches, the team scored 9 goals and conceded the same amount, resulting in an average of 3.6 goals per match.

2. In Sao Paulo SP’s last 5 away matches, the team scored 14 goals and conceded the same, giving an average of 5.6 goals per match. This team is therefore potentially capable of scoring goals away from home.

3. Both teams have strong offensive potential, as evidenced by their goal-scoring statistics in their last 5 matches. Corinthians SP has an offensive potential of 79% by averaging 2.2 goals per match, while Sao Paulo SP has an offensive potential of 57% by averaging 1.6 goals per match. This offensive ability could lead to a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Corinthians SP has shown a strong ability to score at home, with an offensive potential of 79% and an average of 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 home games, while Sao Paulo SP has also demonstrated a solid offensive potential of 57% away from home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match.

2. Both teams have a tendency to concede goals. Corinthians SP has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match at home in their last 5 games, and Sao Paulo SP, despite a low average of 0.2 goals conceded away, has conceded 14 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is calculated at 49.73%, which is close to 50%. This suggests that the match could be very competitive and it is likely that both teams will score at least one goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Corinthians SP 1-2 Sao Paulo SP

1. Sao Paulo SP’s Away Performance: Sao Paulo SP has won 100% of their last 5 away matches, showing a strong offensive potential and solid defense, having scored 14 goals and conceding only 4. This consecutive winning trend could continue in the match against Corinthians SP.

2. Goals Scored and Conceded Statistics: According to their previous match statistics, Corinthians SP averages 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per home match. On the other hand, Sao Paulo SP averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.2 goals conceded per away match. This suggests that the match will likely have a relatively high goal average, reinforcing the prediction of a 1-2 scoreline in favor of Sao Paulo SP.

3. Odds and Probabilities: While Corinthians SP may have a slightly higher chance of winning the match (37.43% compared to 34.22% for Sao Paulo SP), the probability of both teams scoring is around 50%. This is in line with the prediction of a 1-2 scoreline, which requires both teams to score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Corinthians SP shows balanced form at home with a 60% win rate. However, defensive weaknesses persist with 9 goals conceded in their last 5 matches.

On the other hand, Sao Paulo SP is flawless away from home with a 100% win record. They have scored 14 goals while only conceding 4, indicating strong performance.

Corinthians’ offense is stronger at home than Sao Paulo SP’s on the road, with 2.2 goals per match compared to 1.6. Defensively, Sao Paulo SP concedes significantly fewer goals than Corinthians.

In terms of match outcome probabilities, Corinthians SP winning stands at 37.43%, slightly higher than Sao Paulo SP’s 34.22% chance of winning. A draw is estimated at 28.34%.

The odds highlight a higher likelihood of under 3.5 goals being scored in the match at 93.58%. Additionally, both teams scoring and both teams not scoring have nearly equal chances, with a slight edge to the latter at 50.27%.

Considering Sao Paulo’s strength away from home and Corinthians’ defensive issues, the prediction would be a Sao Paulo SP win or draw with a probability of 62.57%. Goals could be on the cards with a 63.1% probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored.

The potential number of goals

Corinthians SP has a fairly balanced home performance, with 60% wins and 20% draws. They have scored 9 goals but have also conceded the same amount. Their offensive and defensive potential is 79% and 29% respectively.

On the other hand, Sao Paulo SP shines away from home, with 100% wins, 14 goals scored and 14 goals conceded. Their offensive and defensive performance is 57% and 7% respectively.

The odds seem to favor Corinthians SP with a probability of victory at 37.43%. However, the probability of a draw is also worth considering at 28.34%.

The probability of over 1.5 goals in the match is 63.1%, making it a bet option to consider.

Based on their recent performances, both teams also have nearly equal probabilities of scoring during the match with 49.73% against 50.27%.

In conclusion, this match could be offensive and goal-rich, with Corinthians SP seeming to have a slight advantage on paper.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, the statistics and factors given in this article allow us to make some betting recommendations for the match between Corinthians SP and Sao Paulo SP. Firstly, a bet on “Draw or Corinthians SP to win” seems to be the safest option considering Corinthians SP’s recent performances and strong home form, with a success probability of 65.78%. As for Over/Under bets, a wager on “Over 2.5 goals in the match” seems like a safe bet, given the offensive talents and the tendency of both teams to both score and concede goals. Finally, with a probability of 49.73%, it could be worth betting on “Both teams to score”. The current statistics show offensive strength on both sides, particularly at home for Corinthians SP and away for Sao Paulo SP, making this option very feasible. As for the exact score bet, “Corinthians SP 1-2 Sao Paulo SP” appears as a bold but plausible choice considering the factual elements. Ultimately, every bettor should tailor these tips to their own betting style and, most importantly, gamble responsibly.