Tipps Corinthians Vitoria Serie A 05/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Corinthians SP wins the match.

1. The first argument is based on the offensive and defensive potential of both teams. At home, Corinthians SP has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 50%, while Vitoria has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 43% when playing away. This suggests that Corinthians SP has a slightly stronger defense, which could help them secure at least a draw.

2. The second argument is based on each team’s match history. Corinthians SP has won 40% of their last 5 home matches and drawn in 20% of cases. On the other hand, Vitoria has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches and drawn in 40% of cases. The statistics affirm that Corinthians SP has better form at home than Vitoria does away.

3. The third argument is based on the probability of success. A draw or Corinthians SP winning the match has a success probability of 79.43%, the highest probability among all betting options. This high probability indicates a significant trend in favor of Corinthians SP winning the match or it ending in a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics show that Corinthians SP has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 50% at home. Furthermore, Vitoria has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 43% away from home. These numbers suggest that both teams are stronger in defense than in attack, decreasing the likelihood of a high-scoring match.

2. The recent history of their respective matches shows a trend towards relatively low scores. In their last 5 matches, Corinthians SP scored 8 goals and conceded 9 goals at home, while Vitoria scored 4 goals and conceded 6 goals away. The average goals per match for both teams is therefore below 2.5 goals, reinforcing the prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The probabilities of different possible outcomes also suggest a low-scoring match. The bet of “under 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 57.71%, higher than the bet of “over 2.5 goals in the match” which is 42.29%. Additionally, the bet that both teams score has a lower success probability (46.29%) than the bet that both teams do not score (53.71%). The probabilities thus suggest a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The average number of goals scored and conceded by both teams in their respective last 5 matches shows a relatively low number of goals. For instance, Corinthians SP concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, while Vitoria only scores an average of 1.8 goals per match away, indicating a match with few goals.

2. Based on the odds provided, the probability of both teams not scoring is higher (53.71% compared to 46.29% for both teams to score). Furthermore, “Under 1.5 goals in the match” offers high odds of 2.70, further supporting the idea of a low-scoring match.

3. Finally, analysis of the recent matches shows that in Corinthians SP’s last 5 home matches, two ended with only one team scoring. On the other hand, from Vitoria’s last 5 away matches, three ended with only one goal scorer. These statistics suggest that it is possible that either Corinthians SP or Vitoria may fail to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Corinthians SP 1-1 Vitoria

1. Recent performance of both teams shows a certain balance. Particularly, Vitoria has drawn 40% of their last 5 away matches, while Corinthians SP has drawn 20% of their last 5 home matches. This trend suggests a possible draw.

2. Offensive and defensive statistics of both teams indicate a low-scoring game. On average, Corinthians SP scores 1.2 goals per home match and Vitoria scores 1.8 goals per away match. Additionally, both teams tend to concede few goals, with averages of 1.4 and 1.2 goals conceded, respectively, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline.

3. Head-to-head history between the two teams reveals several matches ending with a 1-1 score. Considering recent home matches for Corinthians SP (Corinthians SP 1 – 1 Cuiaba) and away matches for Vitoria (Juventude 1 – 1 Vitoria) further strengthens the prediction for a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Corinthians SP has a strong form at home, with 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches. However, they have conceded more goals than they have scored (9 goals against 8). On the other hand, Vitoria’s away results are not as impressive, with only one win and 2 draws in their last 5 matches.

Corinthians SP is relatively effective offensively at home, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Defensively, they struggle to keep a clean sheet, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. On the other hand, Vitoria impresses offensively with an average of 1.8 goals per match away from home, and an average of 1.2 goals conceded.

In terms of probabilities, Corinthians SP has a 45.14% chance of winning, compared to 20.57% for Vitoria. There is a 34.29% chance of a draw. The probability of a match with over 2.5 goals is relatively low, at 42.29%.

As for goals, a more defensive match can be expected. There is a 64.57% chance of having more than 1.5 goals and a massive probability of 92.57% for less than 3.5 goals in the match.

In summary, Corinthians SP has superior performances at home and a high probability of winning or a draw. It would also be wise to bet on a total number of goals under 3.5, given the high probabilities. However, in football, nothing is ever guaranteed. Enjoy the match!

The potential number of goals

The Corinthians SP have a quite varied performance when playing at home, with a 40% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9. On the other hand, Vitoria, when playing away, wins 20% of the time and draws in 40% of the matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding 6.

In terms of offensive and defensive capabilities, Corinthians SP average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match at home, with a 43% offensive potential against a 50% defensive potential. Vitoria, when away, scores an average of 1.8 goals per match and concedes 1.2 goals, with offensive and defensive potentials of 64% and 43% respectively.

It seems that the match is in favor of Corinthians SP with a 45.14% probability of winning. A draw probability of 34.29% is also noted. Furthermore, with a probability of over 1.5 goals in the match at 64.57%, one could expect a relatively lively game.

Analyzing recent match histories, it is evident that Corinthians SP struggle with their defense but manage to score. For Vitoria, a similar scenario, with weaknesses in attack but they have shown some defensive solidity.

To conclude, a bet on the match ending with less than 3.5 goals at a 92.57% probability seems to be a safe decision given the defensive capabilities of both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, all statistics and probabilities indicate that this match between Corinthians SP and Vitoria could be highly defensive and quite balanced. Corinthians SP are more likely to win or draw, based on recent trends, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Vitoria’s recent form away from home. The number of goals is expected to be relatively low, with the strongest probability being of less than 3.5 goals in the match. Overall, it is recommended for bettors to consider these factors before making choices. However, remember that football is unpredictable and anything can happen, so bet responsibly.