Tipps Cosenza Spezia Serie B 28/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and data provided, my prediction for this match would be: Draw or Spezia wins the match.

1. Over their last 5 away matches, Spezia has drawn 80% of the time, which equates to 4 draws out of 5. This highlights their ability to resist and secure at least one point when playing away, indicating a higher likelihood of a draw or a win for Spezia.

2. Spezia’s offensive potential is much higher than Cosenza’s: on average, Spezia has scored 3 goals per away match compared to Cosenza’s 1 goal per home match. This suggests Spezia has a greater ability to score goals and therefore secure at least a draw.

3. The third point stems from Cosenza’s defensive statistics. They have conceded 11 goals in 5 home matches, averaging over 2 goals per game. With Spezia’s strong offensive potential, Cosenza’s weak defensive record could give Spezia the opportunity to score, and thus win the match or at least secure a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. In their respective recent matches, Cosenza and Spezia have shown a total goals average (scored and conceded) of over 2.5 goals per game. Especially Spezia’s offensive potential, which stands at 107% away from home, is a strong indicator of the likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals in this match.
2. Recent encounters between these two teams have often exceeded the 2.5 goals mark. One can especially remember the last match between the two teams in Cosenza, which ended in a 2-2 draw.
3. Lastly, Cosenza has shown a ability to score goals at home with 10 goals in their last 5 home matches. Additionally, Cosenza has conceded 11 goals at home in their last 5 matches, indicating a defensive weakness that Spezia can exploit to score.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Recent performances: Both teams have shown an ability to score recently. For example, Cosenza has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Spezia has scored 7 goals away in their last 5 matches. Therefore, there is a good chance they will both score in this match.

2. Porous defenses: Both teams have conceded a number of goals in their recent matches. Cosenza has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Spezia has conceded 7 in their last 5 away matches. This suggests some defensive vulnerability that could lead to goals from both sides.

3. Previous match: The last match between these two teams in Cosenza ended in a 2-2 draw (Cosenza 2-2 Spezia). This could indicate a trend for both teams to score when they meet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Spezia wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Cosenza 1-1 Spezia

1. Spezia has drawn in 80% of their last 5 away matches, so it is very likely that the match against Cosenza will follow this trend.
2. Cosenza, despite scoring more goals at home (10 goals in the last 5 matches), has also conceded a significant number of goals (11 goals in the last 5 matches). This could indicate they have a weak defense, allowing Spezia to score.
3. In their previous match, Cosenza and Spezia drew 2-2. This may suggest that both teams are relatively evenly matched in terms of skills and could end in another draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cosenza has a good home form, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals, averaging 2 goals per game. However, they have a weak defense, conceding 11 goals.

Spezia, on the other hand, struggles to find wins when playing away. In 5 matches, they have neither won nor lost. Their attack is efficient with 7 goals scored, but they also concede the same amount.

Cosenza has a 36% offensive potential at home, scoring less than one goal per match on average. Their defense remains solid, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match.

Conversely, Spezia shows an impressive 107% offensive potential away from home and a 64% defensive potential, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match.

The match seems evenly matched. The probability of either team winning or a draw appears to be equal based on the data.

The odds indicate that there will likely be fewer than 3.5 or 4.5 goals in the match, with a 100% probability for both scenarios. However, the likelihood of both teams scoring is almost non-existent.

Cosenza’s recent home matches have shown a dominant team, but the opposition has always managed to score. Meanwhile, Spezia has proven their ability to score away from home but has also shown a vulnerable defense.

This match promises to be a fierce battle between a strong home team and an opponent capable of scoring on the road. The outcome is uncertain.

The potential number of goals

Cosenza has a strong home performance, with 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They score an average of 1 goal and concede 0.8 goals per match.

On the other hand, Spezia struggles to win. The team has ended 80% of their last 5 away matches in a draw. They score a lot with an average of 3 goals but also concede almost as much with 1.8 goals per match.

Based on offensive potential, Spezia has a significant advantage with 107% compared to 36% for Cosenza. Defensively, Cosenza appears more solid with 29%, against 64% for Spezia.

Analyzing the recent matches of both teams, Spezia often manages to score when playing away. On the other hand, Cosenza has shown a solid defense at home.

The probabilities are null for all bets. This makes it difficult to give a certain prediction. However, with an average of over 2.5 goals scored in Spezia’s matches, and Cosenza showing a solid home defense, a total of less than 3.5 goals in the match seems likely.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the analyses and statistics examined, the Cosenza – Spezia match is expected to be balanced and high-scoring. The data suggests a draw or a Spezia victory, with over 2.5 goals expected and both teams likely to score. In terms of value betting, the “Draw or Spezia to win” bet seems like an interesting option to consider. As for the exact score, a result of Cosenza 1 – 1 Spezia appears to be the most probable. However, as always in sports betting, it’s important to remember that nothing is ever guaranteed, so it’s recommended to bet cautiously.