Tipps Coventry Norwich Championship 31/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Coventry win the match.

1. Performance history: Based on recent matches, Coventry has shown better home performance by winning 60% of the time. In contrast, Norwich City has not won any of their last 5 away matches, tilting the balance in favor of Coventry.

2. Defensive potential: Coventry has a 29% defensive potential at home, while Norwich City has a high away goal concession rate of 86%. This implies that Coventry is less likely to concede goals compared to Norwich City when playing at home.

3. Probability of success: The indicated probability of Coventry winning the match is 44.9%, while the probability of Norwich City winning the match is only 21.94%. This indicates that based on statistics and probabilities, Coventry is more likely to win this particular match compared to Norwich City.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Home goal statistics for Coventry: Statistics show that Coventry have a strong tendency to both score and concede goals at home. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches. This suggests games with plenty of goals and reinforces the idea of a total goals over 2.5.

2. Away goal statistics for Norwich City: While Norwich City have not performed well away from home, they seem to be involved in high-scoring matches. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 away matches. This suggests that a total goals over 2.5 is also likely in this match.

3. High probability of “Over 2.5 goals in the match”: According to the odds, there is a 54.08% probability of the match having over 2.5 goals. This aligns with our previous conclusions based on Coventry’s home performances and Norwich City’s away performances, making this prediction even stronger.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics reveal a significant offensive capacity from both teams. Coventry averages 1.2 goals per match at home, while Norwich City averages 1.4 goals per match away.

2. Both teams show a weakness in terms of defense, especially Norwich City with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per match away. This increases the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

3. The teams have shown recent performances that align with this prediction. In their last five matches, Coventry scored in all of them, while Norwich City managed to score in two of their matches. These recent performances support the prediction of a game where both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Norwich City wins the match – 1.85

Bet on the exact result

Coventry 2-1 Norwich City

1. Coventry’s home statistics are better than Norwich’s away statistics. With a 60% home win rate for Coventry compared to Norwich’s 0% away win rate, Coventry is in a better position to win the match.

2. Past performances suggest that Coventry is capable of scoring multiple goals when playing at home. Considering Coventry’s average goals scored per match (1.2) and Norwich’s (1.4), a final score of 2-1 seems plausible.

3. Coventry’s home offensive potential (43%) is lower than Norwich’s away offensive potential (50%), but Coventry’s home defensive potential (29%) is much better than Norwich’s away defensive potential (86%). This implies that Coventry may allow Norwich to score, but would still come out on top with a 2-1 win.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Coventry is strong at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, their defense is questionable, conceding 11 goals.

Norwich, on the other hand, struggles away from home. They have not won any of their last 5 matches, scoring only 3 goals while conceding 6, showing concerning form.

In terms of potential, Coventry averages 1.2 goals per game at home compared to Norwich’s 1.4 goals away. Coventry’s defense is stronger at home, conceding an average of 0.8 goals compared to Norwich’s 2.4 goals away.

The probabilities suggest that Coventry is slightly favored for this match, with a 44.9% chance of winning.

It is likely that the match will see more than 1.5 goals, with an 80.1% probability, but less likely to have more than 3.5 goals.

Both Coventry and Norwich have chances to score according to the numbers, with a probability of 61.73%.

In conclusion, Coventry has the edge at home but the game is likely to have few goals. A prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match could be interesting.

The potential number of goals

Coventry has a good home performance, with 60% of wins and 40% of draws. They score an average of 1.2 goals and concede 0.8 per match, giving them an offensive capability of 43% and a defensive capability of 29%. Their chances of winning are 44.9%, with odds of 1.92.

On the other hand, Norwich City struggles away from home. They haven’t won their last 5 matches, with 40% of draws. Their goals scored and conceded are 1.4 and 2.4 per match respectively, with an offensive capability of 50% and a defensive capability of 86%. Their probability of winning is 21.94%, with odds of 3.90.

In this match, it is more likely that Coventry will win or the match will end in a draw, with a 78.06% chance. However, a draw or a win for Norwich City has a probability of 55.1%.

As for goals, there is an 80.1% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals and a 54.08% chance of there being more than 2.5 goals. Both teams score in 61.73% of cases.

Analyzing their recent matches, Coventry has shown greater stability at home while Norwich City has suffered heavy defeats away. My prediction would be a win for Coventry or a draw, with more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match appears to be an opportunity for Coventry to dominate at home with a 44.9% probability of winning. Norwich City, despite their difficult past results in away games, remains a competitive team, with the ability to score goals and potentially lead to a draw or a surprise win.

For the total goals, statistics suggest a high probability for an “Over 2.5”, strengthened by Norwich’s defensive weakness and Coventry’s offensive efficiency. Both teams also have good chances of scoring according to the statistics, supporting the idea of a potentially high-scoring match.

The bet “Draw or Norwich City to win the match” offers an interesting value bet, combining a success probability of 55.1% for odds of 1.85, despite Norwich’s recent away performance.

Lastly, the most probable exact score seems to be “Coventry 2-1 Norwich City”, reinforcing the advantage mentioned for Coventry while acknowledging Norwich’s ability to score despite a weak defense.

Overall, it seems wise to bet on a Coventry win or a draw, with a high probability of both teams scoring and a total of over 2.5 goals.