Tipps Cracovia Krakow Gornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa 24/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Cracovia Krakow wins the match.

1. The statistics show that Cracovia Krakow has a better performance at home with a probability of winning or drawing of 80% against 60% for Gornik Zabrze away. This indicates the superiority of Cracovia Krakow.
2. Cracovia Krakow has a significantly higher offensive potential when playing at home, scoring on average 1.8 goals per match compared to only 1 goal per match for Gornik Zabrze away. Therefore, they have a better chance of scoring goals and thus, winning or drawing the match.
3. The probability of success for “Draw or Cracovia Krakow wins the match” is 72.54%, which is considerably higher than “Gornik Zabrze wins the match,” which represents only 27.46% chances of success. This is a clear indicator that Cracovia Krakow is more likely to win or draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The goals scored and conceded statistics of both teams in their last 5 matches reveal a trend towards low-scoring games. Cracovia Krakow has an average of 1.8 goals scored per match and concedes 1.2 goals, while Gornik Zabrze has an average of 1 goal scored and conceded per match.
2. The recent home matches of Cracovia Krakow and away matches of Gornik Zabrze show a majority of scores below 2.5 goals, further supporting the hypothesis of a low-scoring game.
3. The success rate calculated for the “under 2.5 goals” bet is reasonable and is favored over the “over 2.5 goals” bet. The success probabilities for the “under 3.5 goals” and “under 4.5 goals” bets are also very high, suggesting a general trend towards matches with a below-average number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Offensive performance of Cracovia Krakow at home and Gornik Zabrze away from home: In their last 5 matches, Cracovia Krakow has scored 5 goals at home and Gornik Zabrze has scored 6 goals away from home. These statistics show that both teams have an ability to score goals.

2. Defensive performances of both teams: Cracovia Krakow has conceded 6 goals in 5 home matches and Gornik Zabrze has conceded 7 goals in 5 away matches, indicating some defensive vulnerability from both teams that allows the opposing team to score.

3. Recent match results: Looking at the recent home matches of Cracovia Krakow and away matches of Gornik Zabrze, in most games both teams have managed to score. This shows a trend that may continue for the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Gornik Zabrze

1. Draw trend: Both teams, Cracovia Krakow and Gornik Zabrze, have a strong tendency to draw matches, with 60% and 40% respectively of their last 5 matches ending in a draw. This indicates that they may have a similar performance in their next match.

2. Scoring performance: In their last 5 matches, Cracovia Krakow and Gornik Zabrze have shown fairly similar scoring performances. Cracovia Krakow scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals in their home matches, while Gornik Zabrze scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals in their away matches. These numbers suggest a similar level of skill, which could lead to a close match and potentially a draw.

3. Probability of scored goals: Both teams typically score one goal or more per match – Cracovia Krakow averages 1.8 goals per home match, while Gornik Zabrze averages 1 goal per away match. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 59.07%. These statistics support the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Recent average record for Cracovia Krakow at home, with 20% wins but 60% draws. Tends to score, with 5 goals in 5 matches. Defense is a bit weak, having conceded 6 goals.

Gornik Zabrze, not very strong away. Only 20% wins and 40% draws. Balanced offense and defense, scoring 6 goals but conceding 7.

Cracovia has a home offensive capability of 64% and a defensive potential of 43%: advantage Cracovia. Gornik has only a 36% offensive and defensive potential away: disadvantage Gornik.

The probability of Cracovia winning is 44.04% with odds of 2.15. The chances of a draw are 28.5% with odds of 3.40, and Gornik has a 27.46% chance of winning with odds of 3.25.

If you bet on “under 1.5 goals” in the match, odds are 3.30. “Over 1.5 goals” have a probability of 74.09% with odds of 1.30. “Over 2.5 goals” have a 52.33% chance with odds of 1.95. “Under 3.5 goals” have a 77.2% chance with odds of 1.28.

There is a 59.07% chance that both teams will score with odds of 1.75 and conversely, a 40.93% chance that they won’t with odds of 2.00.

In summary, Cracovia seems better positioned with stronger performances at home than Gornik’s away record.

The potential number of goals

Cracovia Krakow, at home, is less effective in terms of wins, with only 20%, but they manage to stay competitive with a 60% draw rate. They have scored 5 goals in 5 matches, but have slightly weakened in defense by conceding 6 goals.

Gornik Zabrze, playing away, has similar statistics. They win 20% of matches and are tied in 40%. They have scored slightly more goals, 6 in total, but have also conceded more, 7 goals in total.

Cracovia Krakow’s offensive performance at home is superior, averaging 1.8 goals per match with an offensive potential of 64%. However, they concede 1.2 goals per match, highlighting a vulnerable defense (43%).

Gornik Zabrze only scores an average of 1 goal per match away, with only 36% offensive potential. Their defense is equally weak, conceding 1 goal per match on average (36%).

Cracovia Krakow has a 44.04% chance of winning with odds of 2.15. Gornik Zabrze’s estimated success probability is 27.46% with slightly higher odds of 3.25.

The match has a 74.09% chance of seeing over 1.5 goals with odds of 1.30. The scenario of under 3.5 goals is the most likely with a probability of 77.2% offering odds of 1.28.

Looking at the two teams’ last two matches, they have not been very efficient. Cracovia Krakow generally scores only one goal per match at home. Gornik Zabrze does not fare much better, averaging only one goal in their away matches.

In conclusion, this match seems to lean towards a low score, with a low probability of victory for both teams. Betting on a draw or under 3.5 goals could be interesting given the statistics.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the previous statistics and the performance of both teams, Cracovia Krakow seems to have the advantage playing at home and could likely secure a draw or a win. However, a low-scoring match is expected, so betting on “under 2.5 goals” would be wise. Moreover, there is a high chance that both teams will score, given their recent history of scoring in matches.

As for the value bet, a draw seems like a viable option considering both teams’ tendency to draw in their home and away matches. Additionally, a 1-1 scoreline could be a possibility, especially given both teams’ similar scoring patterns in their recent matches.

It’s important to note that sports betting requires a good understanding of the teams involved and their past performances. It’s advisable to be cautious and only bet what you can afford to lose. Good luck!