Tipps Cracovia Krakow Stal Mielec Ekstraklasa 30/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Cracovia Krakow wins the match.

1. Home performance of Cracovia Krakow: Cracovia Krakow has a 40% win rate at home in their last 5 matches, and they have also drawn in 40% of cases, giving Cracovia a home field advantage.

2. Stal Mielec’s away performance: Stal Mielec has had a poor performance in their last 5 away matches, with no wins or draws in any of the cases. They have also conceded more goals (7) than they have scored (4).

3. Probability proportions: The odds indicate a higher chance for Cracovia Krakow to win the match (54.59%) compared to Stal Mielec (15.31%). This shows that the estimates strongly support a Cracovia Krakow victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The first argument comes from analyzing the offensive and defensive potential of both teams. The average goals scored by Cracovia Krakow at home is 2.4, while Stal Mielec only scores 0.8 goals away from home. Coupled with Cracovia’s strong defensive potential, this suggests that the number of goals in this match will likely be low.

2. The second argument is based on Stal Mielec’s recent away performances. In their last 5 games, Stal Mielec has only scored 4 goals, highlighting their struggles in attack. This lack of offensive efficiency strengthens the hypothesis of a low-scoring match.

3. Lastly, the third argument comes from the bookmaker’s statistics. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.85, indicating that the bookmaker also considers this outcome more likely. Furthermore, the odds for over 2.5 goals are higher at 1.90, further supporting this idea.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Offensive and Defensive Analysis: Over the last five home matches, Cracovia Krakow has shown a good offensive performance by averaging 2.4 goals scored per match. Additionally, they concede an average of 1.6 goals per match. On the other hand, Stal Mielec, despite having a weaker offensive performance away from home with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match, concedes an average of 1 goal per match. These numbers suggest a reasonable probability that both teams could score.

2. Head-to-Head History: In the majority of Cracovia Krakow’s recent home matches, both teams have scored. Similarly, Stal Mielec has managed to score in some of their recent away matches despite their losses.

3. Predefined Probabilities: The predefined probability index indicates that both teams will score in this match with a probability of 52.55%. The probability ratio (1.83) also shows a higher likelihood of both teams scoring during the match compared to the opposite option (47.45% and 1.95 respectively).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Stal Mielec

1. At home performance of Cracovia Krakow: Looking at the home performance statistics of Cracovia Krakow, it can be seen that they have a positive trend, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match. This is higher than the goals conceded, supporting the prediction of 2 goals for Cracovia Krakow.

2. Away performance of Stal Mielec: Stal Mielec struggles to perform away from their home ground, having not won or drawn in their last 5 matches, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match and conceding an average of 1 goal per match. The chances of scoring a goal remain viable.

3. Match result probabilities: The probabilities show a clear preference for a victory for Cracovia Krakow at 54.59% and for over 1.5 goals in the match at 76.53%, which are strong indications for this prediction. Additionally, “Both teams to score” has a probability of 52.55%, which could explain the goal attributed to Stal Mielec.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cracovia Krakow shows a better form at home by winning or drawing in 80% of their matches. Cracovia scores an average of 2.4 goals per home match, which could make a difference against Stal Mielec who concedes an average of 1 goal per away match.

The situation is tough for Stal Mielec, who hasn’t won or drawn in their last 5 away matches. With only 4 goals scored in these matches, their offense seems to be struggling.

The probability of Cracovia Krakow winning the match is higher at 54.59% compared to 15.31% for Stal Mielec. A draw is less likely at 30.1%.

There is a high probability of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match (76.53%). For those dreaming of more goals, there is a 47.96% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals scored.

Looking at Cracovia Krakow’s recent home duels, we see scores like Cracovia Krakow 2 – 1 Pogon Szczecin, Cracovia Krakow 3 – 2 Gornik Zabrze, etc. Analyzing Stal Mielec’s past away matches, things are not in their favor: Korona Kielce 2 – 1 Stal Mielec, Pogon Szczecin 1 – 0 Stal Mielec.

In summary, the numbers favor Cracovia Krakow. Coupled with their home performance and Stal Mielec’s poor form away, they appear to be the favorites for this match.

The potential number of goals

Cracovia Krakow is in solid form at home. Their results from the last 5 matches show a win rate of 40%, with the same rate for draws. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals.

Cracovia Krakow has an attacking potential of 86% and a defensive potential of 57% at home. This team therefore displays a strong attack and a fairly solid defense.

On the other hand, Stal Mielec struggles on the road. They have not won any of their last 5 away matches and have had no draws. This team has only scored 4 goals and conceded 7.

Stal Mielec shows a weak attacking potential at 29% and a defensive potential of 36%. They are therefore quite limited both in attack and defense.

The odds indicate that Cracovia Krakow has a 54.59% chance of winning the match, while Stal Mielec has only a 15.31% chance. The draw has a probability of 30.1%.

Cracovia Krakow’s recent home matches have seen many goals. The match between Cracovia Krakow and Pogon Szczecin ended 2-1, and the match against Gornik Zabrze ended 3-2. In contrast, Stal Mielec has lost all their recent away matches, conceding at least two goals each time.

In conclusion, this match seems to favor Cracovia Krakow. They are a team that scores more goals at home and has a better defense than Stal Mielec on the road. A likely outcome would be a score in favor of Cracovia Krakow, with more than 1.5 goals in the match, knowing that this probability is 76.53%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Overall, through analyzing previous performances, statistics, and pre-established probabilities, we can make some predictions for this match between Cracovia Krakow and Stal Mielec. First and foremost, it is more likely that Cracovia Krakow will come out on top, with a home win seeming the most probable outcome. Due to Cracovia Krakow’s strong offensive potential at home and Stal Mielec’s defensive struggles away, a final score of 2-1 in favor of Cracovia Krakow could be a reasonable prediction.

Moreover, the total number of goals might well be under 2.5 due to Stal Mielec’s limited attacking prowess on the road. However, the likelihood of both teams scoring is fairly high, so bettors might want to consider this market.

In terms of betting, if you’re looking for an interesting wager, betting on over 2.5 goals in the match could offer an intriguing value bet, based on both teams’ recent performances.

Ultimately, Cracovia Krakow appears to have the edge for a home victory in this match. However, as with all sports betting, it’s crucial to remember that these are just predictions and the actual outcome may differ. Therefore, it’s essential to bet responsibly.