Tipps Cremonese Ternana Serie B 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Cremonese wins the match”

1. Cremonese has a better defensive potential at home than Ternana away. Indeed, Cremonese has a defensive potential of 43% while Ternana’s defensive potential away is 57%. This means that Cremonese is less likely to concede goals at home than Ternana away.

2. The probability analysis reinforces the idea that Cremonese is more likely to win. With a success probability of 66.32%, Cremonese’s victory is more likely than that of Ternana, which has only a 14.21% chance of success.

3. The analysis of Cremonese’s previous home matches shows a rather positive trend with a majority of wins and draws. In contrast, Ternana has lost the majority of their recent away matches, which further suggests that Cremonese is more likely to win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The statistics show that both teams have a rather low average of goals in their recent matches (1 goal per match for Cremonese and 0.6 goals for Ternana). This indicates a certain lack of offensive efficiency, favoring a total of goals under 2.5 in the next match.

2. The past performances of Cremonese at home and Ternana away have not produced high scores. In their respective last 5 matches, many of them have remained below 2.5 goals (Cremonese 0 – 1 Feralpisalo, Cremonese 1 – 0 Brescia, Pisa 1 – 0 Ternana, Reggiana 0 – 2 Ternana, Venezia 1 – 0 Ternana).

3. The betting odds for “under 2.5 goals in the match” set by bookmakers are relatively low (2.10), which suggests that the likelihood of a match with under 2.5 goals is perceived as high.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal statistics: Over their respective last five matches, Cremonese and Ternana have shown a stable ability to score, with an average of 1 goal scored per match for Cremonese and 0.6 for Ternana. Additionally, they have also conceded goals, indicating defensive weaknesses, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded for Cremonese and 1.6 for Ternana.

2. Head-to-head history: Looking at Cremonese’s previous home matches and Ternana’s away matches, it is common to see both teams scoring. For example, in the Cremonese versus Como match, the final score was 2-1, showing that both teams had scored.

3. Bookmakers’ probabilities: The probability of both teams scoring is quite high, at 55.26%. This figure indicates that, based on statistics and available information, it is more likely that both teams will score at least once in the match. The odds offered for this scenario are 1.78, which indicates that it is considered a fairly probable outcome by bookmakers.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Ternana wins the match – 2.45.

Bet on the exact result

Cremonese 1-0 Ternana

1. Cremonese’s home performance is relatively strong, with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches, indicating their ability to control the game at their own stadium. Additionally, they have managed to score at least one goal in every recent home match.

2. Ternana’s defensive performance away from home is weaker than Cremonese’s, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. This, combined with Cremonese scoring an average of 1 goal per home match, reinforces the likelihood of a 1-0 score in favor of Cremonese.

3. Ternana’s offensive potential away from home is also weaker, with only 0.6 goals scored on average per match. This, coupled with Cremonese’s relatively strong defense at home (43% clean sheet rate), increases the probability that Ternana will fail to score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cremonese does quite well at home but lacks stability, with a 40% win rate in their last 5 games, a perfect balance between goals scored and conceded (6). A draw remains an option, considered at 20% recently.

On the other hand, Ternana offers a similar performance away from home with a 40% win rate in their last 5 games. A defensive deficit is present with 7 goals conceded against 6 scored.

Statistically speaking, Cremonese scores 1 goal per match and Ternana 0.6. However, Cremonese concedes more than they score with an average of 1.2 goals against 1.6 for Ternana.

For the match prediction, the numbers strongly suggest a Cremonese victory with a probability of 66.32%. A draw is less likely (19.47%) and a Cremonese defeat is the least likely option (14.21%).

The probability of both teams scoring is at 55.26%.

In terms of goals, having more than 1.5 goals in the match is highly probable (81.58%), as well as ending the match with less than 3.5 goals (68.95%). However, betting on more than 2.5 goals still has a probability of 57.37%.

In summary, the match seems to tilt in favor of Cremonese with high win probabilities and a trend of at least 1.5 goals per match.

The potential number of goals

Crémonese, at home, has a mixed performance: winning 40% and drawing 20%. They have scored and conceded 6 goals. On the other hand, Ternana, away from home, also has a 40% win rate and has scored 6 goals while conceding 7.

In statistical terms, Crémonese scores and concedes around 1 goal per home game. Their offensive potential is assessed at 36% compared to 43% in defense. Ternana, on the other hand, scores fewer goals (0.6) but concedes more (1.6), with a lower offensive potential (21%) and defensive potential (57%).

The prediction seems to favor Crémonese: with a 66.32% chance of winning. A draw is less likely (19.47%). Ternana has lower chances of winning (14.21%).

The odds indicate that the match will likely have few goals. The most probable outcome is under 3.5 goals (68.95%). It is assumed both teams will score (55.26%) in this scenario.

By examining the recent matches of each team, there is a trend towards balance for Crémonese at home and a trend towards difficulty for Ternana away.

Taking these factors into account, the safest bet appears to be a Cremonese win with under 3.5 goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on statistics, odds provided by bookmakers, the defensive and offensive capabilities of each team, and their recent goal-scoring habits, it seems that Cremonese has a clear advantage in this match. The bookmaker may have made the right call in offering a Cremonese victory with fewer than 2.5 goals.

However, football remains an unpredictable sport. Statistical facts and history only provide guides, not guarantees, when it comes to betting on match results. The final advice would be to consider this information but also to observe other factors such as current injuries, suspensions, motivation, and the overall form of the teams before deciding on which result to bet on.

Lastly, remember that bets should always be placed responsibly, only wagering what you can afford to lose.