Tipps Criciuma Cruzeiro Serie A 04/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Cruzeiro MG wins the match”

1. Statistically, Cruzeiro MG has a higher probability of winning the match with 45.79% compared to 26.32% for Criciuma. This is a significant indicator of the potential outcome of the match.
2. Cruzeiro MG’s past performances away from home are better than Criciuma’s at home. Cruzeiro MG wins 40% of its away matches, while Criciuma only wins 20% of its home matches.
3. Cruzeiro MG has a stronger defense away from home, conceding on average only 1 goal per match, while Criciuma has a weaker defense at home, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. This could give an advantage to Cruzeiro MG.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent match statistics show that Criciuma tends to play low-scoring matches with an average of 1.6 goals and Cruzeiro MG also has a low average of 1.4 goals.
2. Both teams have shown strong defense in recent matches, with Criciuma conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match and Cruzeiro MG conceding only an average of one goal per match.
3. The suggested probabilities in betting also indicate an expectation for a low-scoring match, with a higher probability for less than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. Cruzeiro MG’s defensive statistics away from home are solid. They have conceded only one goal on average per match in their last five away matches and have managed to keep a clean sheet twice in their last five away matches.

2. Criciuma has struggled to score goals at home, with an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last five home matches. Furthermore, they have failed to score in two of their last five home matches.

3. The odds of 1.90 for both teams not to score also indicate that bookmakers believe there is a relatively high probability (55.79%) that both teams will not score. This probability assessment is supported by Criciuma’s 64% potential success rate in defense and Cruzeiro MG’s 36% in defense.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Criciuma 1-2 Cruzeiro MG

1. The offensive potential of Cruzeiro MG is 50% in their last 5 away matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game, giving them a strong likelihood of scoring at least one goal during the game. Furthermore, Cruzeiro MG has won 40% of their last 5 away matches, highlighting their attacking efficiency.
2. Criciuma has a strong tendency to concede goals at home, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last 5 home matches. Their defensive potential is only 64%, justifying the possibility that they could concede two goals during the match.
3. The odds for Cruzeiro MG to win the match are 2.50 with a 45.79% chance of success, which is higher than Criciuma and the draw. This demonstrates that Cruzeiro MG is the favorite to win the match, justifying the prediction of 1-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Criciuma, at home, has shown mixed form with just one win and three draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9. Meanwhile, Cruzeiro MG, away from home, has performed well with 2 victories, scoring and conceding the same number of goals, 5.

In terms of goals, Criciuma averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per home match. Their offensive and defensive performances stand at 57% and 64% respectively. On the other hand, Cruzeiro MG averages 1.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match, with offensive and defensive potentials of 50% and 36% respectively.

As for predictions, Cruzeiro MG has a high probability of winning (45.79%) with odds of 2.50. A draw or a victory for Criciuma holds a probability of 54.21%. In terms of goals, there is a 67.37% chance of over 1.5 goals being scored in the match.

In the last 5 home matches of Criciuma, goals have been exchanged, with an average of 3.6 goals per match. On the other hand, Cruzeiro MG’s away games have seen an average of 1.8 goals per match.

In conclusion, Cruzeiro MG’s away performance and defensive potential look promising. However, Criciuma’s moderately high goal-scoring performances at home may just increase the probability of over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

The Criciuma has shown mixed performances at home, with only one win in their last 5 matches. Their games tend to be high-scoring, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match.

On the other hand, Cruzeiro MG has a better away record, with two wins in five matches. They have an average of 1.4 goals scored per match and concede an average of just one goal per match.

The prediction for the win probabilities favors Cruzeiro MG with a success probability of 45.79% compared to 26.32% for Criciuma. A draw is also a likely outcome with a success probability of 27.89%.

As for the number of goals, the highest probability is for under 4.5 goals in the match at 95.26%. There is also a probability of over 1.5 goals at 67.37%.

Based on these data, the prediction for this match seems to lean towards Cruzeiro MG with a potential end result of under 4.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Criciuma and Cruzeiro MG offers several interesting betting perspectives. Statistics and recent performances indicate a likely victory for Cruzeiro MG due to their better away performance compared to Criciuma’s home performance. However, it is also worth noting a trend towards a low score with a prediction of fewer than 4.5 goals in the match, which seems to be an interesting value bet.

Both teams have shown strong defensive performances, so it is also likely that both teams will not score. However, Criciuma’s home performances suggest a potential for a high-scoring match, which could justify a bet on more than 1.5 goals in the match. Ultimately, it is crucial for bettors to consider these data while also taking into account the changing dynamics of football.