Tipps Criciuma Fluminense Serie A 12/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Criciuma wins the match

1. Criciuma has won 40% of their last 5 home matches, while Fluminense has not won any of their last 5 away matches. This is a factor that favors Criciuma.

2. The offensive potential of Criciuma at home is significantly higher than that of Fluminense away, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match against only 0.2 for Fluminense.

3. The indicated success probability for a Criciuma win is 47.16%, which is higher than the other possible outcomes (draw, Fluminense win).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The low offensive output of Fluminense: on average, Fluminense has only scored 0.2 goals per match in their last 5 away games. This indicates a significant offensive weakness of the team when playing away, which could limit the total number of goals scored in the match.

2. The defensive performance of Criciuma: on average, Criciuma has only conceded 1 goal per match in their last 5 home games. This demonstrates a strong defensive performance by the team, capable of containing their opponents’ attacks, which could also contribute to maintaining a low total number of goals in the match.

3. The low percentage of matches with over 2.5 goals: analyzing the provided probabilities, there is a greater likelihood (over 58%) of the match ending with less than 2.5 goals. Furthermore, recent home games of Criciuma and away games of Fluminense have shown a number of matches with less than 2.5 goals, strengthening this probability.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. In their last 5 away matches, Fluminense has shown a weak offensive potential with only 0.2 goals scored on average per game. It is therefore likely that they might not score in this match.

2. Criciuma also has strong defensive performances at home, conceding on average only 1 goal per match. Given Fluminense’s offensive weakness, it is realistic to think that Criciuma could keep a clean sheet.

3. Statistics also indicate a 52.27% probability that both teams will not score in this match, further supporting the initial prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

“Criciuma 1-0 Fluminense”

1. Criciuma’s recent home performance has been quite good, having won 2 out of their last 5 home matches. Furthermore, previous home matches for Criciuma have often ended with a scoreline of 1-0 or 2-1, suggesting that their defense is solid and capable of containing opposition attacks.

2. Fluminense has struggled in their recent away outings, failing to score more than one goal in their last 5 away matches, indicating offensive issues. These scoring difficulties away from home support the prediction of a final scoreline of 1-0 in favor of the home team.

3. Overall probability statistics also indicate that matches involving these teams tend to be low-scoring. The forecast of a match with under 1.5 goals has a high probability of 68.18%, favoring a prediction of a final score of 1-0. Additionally, there is a stronger offensive potential from Criciuma compared to Fluminense (50% vs. 7%), further reinforcing the possibility of an exact scoreline of 1-0 for Criciuma.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Criciuma has had decent performances at home, with a 40% win rate. They have scored a total of 8 goals. However, they have conceded 13 goals, which is concerning.

On the other hand, Fluminense has not performed well away from home. No wins, no draws, and only 1 goal scored against 3 conceded.

Offensively, Criciuma averages 1.4 goals per match compared to just 0.2 for Fluminense. The defense of each team is equal, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.

The probability of Criciuma winning is 47.16%. The probability of a draw is 30.11%. Fluminense only has a 22.73% chance of winning.

Considering the goals, there is a 68.18% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. However, the probability of there being less than 3.5 goals is 90.91%. Therefore, the match should not be a goal fest.

In examining their recent matches, Criciuma has shown better performances at home than Fluminense has shown away.

In conclusion, given its home performances and Fluminense’s poor away form, Criciuma seems to have a better chance of winning this match. However, the score could be close due to the low offensive performance of both teams.

The potential number of goals

Criciuma, at home, has a recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, scoring 8 goals and conceding 13. Offensively, they are average with 1.4 goals per match. Their defense is a bit shaky, conceding 1 goal per match.

Fluminense, playing away, has neither won nor drawn recently. With only 1 goal scored and 3 conceded, their offense is weak (0.2 goals/match), and defense is decent (1 goal/match).

The strongest probability is that Criciuma wins (47.16%). The chance of a draw is 30.11%. Fluminense has little chance (22.73%) of winning.

The bet “Draw or Criciuma wins” has a high probability of success at 77.27%.

Betting on under 3.5 goals per match has a high probability of success (90.91%).

On the other hand, the probability of both teams scoring is almost a coin flip at 47.73%.

According to these statistics, a safe bet would be for the match to end with under 3.5 goals (odds of 1.25) and for Criciuma to win or draw (odds of 1.28).

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the various statistics and analysis conducted, it seems prudent to bet on a victory for Criciuma or a draw. The poor offensive performance of both teams also suggests that the match could end with less than 3.5 goals. The exact score of 1-0 in favor of Criciuma could also be considered given Fluminense’s offensive issues.

However, while numbers may guide our predictions, it is important to remember that football match outcomes are uncertain and many factors can influence the result of a match. Therefore, it is crucial to bet responsibly.