Tipps Croatia Scotland UEFA Nations League 12/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Croatia wins the match.

1. Croatia’s performance at home: In their last 5 home matches, Croatia has won in 60% of cases. The team has also scored 8 goals and conceded 8 goals, showing a certain offensive efficiency.
2. Scotland’s performance away: Scotland, in their last 5 away matches, has only won in 20% of cases and scored 6 goals while conceding 8 goals. These statistics highlight weaknesses both in attack and defense.
3. Probability of victory: The probability of a Croatia win is estimated at 62.9%, significantly higher than that of a draw (22.04%) or a Scotland win (15.05%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Croatia’s home offensive is quite robust with an average of 1 goal per match, while Scotland has also scored 1 goal per match on average away. This means there is good potential for both teams to score at least once, already approaching the total of 2.5 goals.

2. Both teams also tend to concede goals, with Croatia averaging 1.6 goals per match at home and Scotland averaging an even higher 2.4 goals per match away. This further increases the likelihood of a total result of 3 goals or more.

3. Looking at the betting statistics, the probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 53.23%, which is higher than the bet on under 2.5 goals. This shows that bookmakers also anticipate a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Scotland’s offensive potential away from home is relatively low (36%), with only an average of one goal scored per match. This indicates that Scotland may struggle to score against a defensively stronger home team like Croatia.

2. Croatia has a strong defensive potential at home with 57% and has managed to keep clean sheets against teams like Poland and North Macedonia. This suggests that Croatia is capable of keeping a clean sheet, especially when playing at home.

3. The probability of “both teams not scoring” is higher (52.15%) compared to “both teams scoring” (47.85%). This suggests that current statistics and trends are more favorable towards a game where either team is unable to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Croatia 2-1 Scotland

1. Croatia has a better home record with a 60% win rate in their last 5 games, compared to Scotland’s away record which stands at only 20% wins. This suggests that Croatia is stronger when playing at home.

2. On average, Croatia scores 1 goal per match at home and concedes 1.6 goals. Scotland scores an average of 1 goal away and concedes 2.4 goals. The probabilities also point to a score over 1.5 with a success rate of 75.27%. These statistics support the predicted score of 2-1.

3. Overall, Croatia is the favored team to win this match with a probability of 62.9% according to the odds. This increases the likelihood of a final score of 2-1 in favor of Croatia. Additionally, Scotland has a weak defensive potential at 86%, giving Croatia opportunities to score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Croatia is in good form at home with a 60% win rate. Their attack is effective with 8 goals and an average of one goal per match. Their defense is on par with 8 goals conceded.

Scotland struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate. They both score and concede an average of 1 goal per match, with a total of 6 goals scored and 8 goals conceded in 5 matches.

Croatia is favored according to the odds. Croatia has a 62.9% chance of winning compared to only 15.05% for Scotland.

The match is likely to have over 1.5 goals with a 75.27% probability, but less than 3.5 goals with an 80.65% chance.

Both teams have almost equal chances of scoring, with a slight advantage for a match where they do not score (52.15%).

For a prediction, a Croatia win with less than 3.5 goals seems likely. Use these statistics to refine your bets.

The potential number of goals

Croatia has won 60% of their last home matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 8 as well. Scotland, playing away, has only won 20% of their matches, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded.

Offensively, Croatia has a potential of 36%, similar to Scotland’s. Defensively, Croatia is less efficient with a potential of 57%, while Scotland’s rises to 86%.

The probability of victory is in favor of Croatia: 62.9%, compared to 15.05% for Scotland. A draw is less likely, with only 22.04%.

There is good potential for over 1.5 goals in the match – 75.27%. Over 2.5 goals have a probability of 53.23%.

There is also a high probability of under 4.5 goals – 95.16%.

Regarding both teams to score, the chances are almost evenly divided: 47.85% for ‘yes’ and 52.15% for ‘no’.

Looking at past matches, on average, Croatia scores 1 goal, and Scotland does too. Scotland’s defensive plays away could be a key factor in this matchup.

In summary, Croatia seems to be in a better position for this match, but Scotland could surprise with a solid defense.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the predictions and statistics in this article forecast a strong performance by Croatia against Scotland in this match. Croatia, with its solid home performance, offensive efficiency, and competent defense, appears to be in a better position to secure the victory. Scotland, however, shows a weakness when playing away, especially when compared to Croatia’s home results.

Regarding the number of goals, the data suggests a rather offensive match, with a higher likelihood of more than 2.5 goals in the game. However, the chances of both teams scoring do not seem very high, channeling most of the goals towards the team that is statistically superior, in this case, Croatia. Furthermore, the emphasis on Croatia’s effective defense suggests an exact score of 2-1 in favor of Croatia.

Ultimately, it is important to remember that while statistics and probabilities are valuable tools, sports betting always involves an element of uncertainty. Fans of both teams, and especially those who enjoy betting, are encouraged to use this information to enhance their betting decisions but should always remember to gamble responsibly.