Tipps Cruz Azul Club Tijuana Liga MX 17/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Cruz Azul wins the match

1. Cruz Azul’s Win Probability: With a win probability of 70.16%, Cruz Azul is clearly the favorite in this match. This value reflects that they have a better chance of winning, considering their past performances and other game statistics.

2. Cruz Azul’s Home Goal Statistics: The statistics indicate that Cruz Azul has an average of 0.8 goals scored and conceded at home per match. In contrast, Tijuana has a much higher average of goals scored (2.8) and a slightly higher average of goals conceded (1.6). The statistics show that Cruz Azul is more balanced in these categories.

3. Cruz Azul’s Recent Match Performance: Cruz Azul’s last home match against Mazatlán was a win. This, combined with other recent home matches, gives Cruz Azul a 40% home win rate in their last five matches, which is a good performance compared to Tijuana, who has the same win rate away from home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Tijuana’s team has a strong offensive potential when playing away matches, with an average of 2.8 goals scored per game in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they also have a weaker defense, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.

2. In their last 5 home matches, Cruz Azul has scored 6 goals and conceded 8 goals, resulting in an average of over 2.8 goals per game. Furthermore, they have an offensive and defensive potential of 29%, indicating a certain vulnerability that could lead to an increase in the number of goals.

3. The probability percentage for over 2.5 goals in the match is 60.21%, with odds of 1.75. This suggests that it is more likely for there to be more than 2.5 goals in this match, which aligns with the first two points.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown a consistent ability to score goals in their recent matches, with Cruz Azul scoring 6 goals and Tijuana scoring 7 goals.
2. Tijuana has demonstrated significant offensive and defensive potential in their previous matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.
3. In terms of probabilities and odds, statistics also support this argument with a 51.83% probability of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Tijuana wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Cruz Azul 1-1 Tijuana

1. The stats show that both teams have had a recent draw rate of 20%. Furthermore, the draw rate for this match is 17.8%, which is a significant probability indicating the match could end in a draw.

2. Stats show that Cruz Azul has scored and conceded an average of 0.8 goals per home match in their last 5 games, while Tijuana has scored an average of 2.8 goals and conceded 1.6 goals per away match. With this trend, it is possible that both teams will score, especially since the probability of both teams scoring is 51.83%.

3. Recent home performances by Cruz Azul and away performances by Tijuana have been quite varied, but it appears that Cruz Azul rarely scores more than one goal per match (in their last 5 games, 4 ended with only one goal for Cruz Azul). Additionally, Tijuana has shown some ability to score when playing away from home. Therefore, a 1-1 scoreline seems plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cruz Azul, in their last 5 home matches, has a 40% win rate and a 20% draw rate. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8. Their offensive capability is 0.8 goals per match and defensive capability is 0.8 goals conceded per match.

On the other hand, Tijuana, in their last 5 away matches, has a 40% win rate and a 20% draw rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 10. Their offensive capability is 2.8 goals per match and defensive capability is 1.6 goals conceded per match.

In terms of probabilities, Cruz Azul has a 70.16% chance of winning, compared to 12.04% for Tijuana. A draw is likely at 17.8%. A match with over 1.5 goals is probable at 80.1% and a match with over 2.5 goals at 60.21%.

The last encounter between the two teams at Cruz Azul’s home ended in a 1-0 victory.

It is worth noting that the possibility of both teams scoring is 51.83%.

In summary, this match looks evenly poised especially with both teams having identical form (40% win rate). However, Cruz Azul’s home success and Tijuana’s offensive prowess away could be factors to consider for a potential prediction.

The potential number of goals

Cruz Azul has had mixed results at home with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 recent loss. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8, resulting in a negative goal difference.

Tijuana has a similar away record with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, but with a better goal difference of 7 goals scored and 10 conceded.

In terms of performance, Cruz Azul has a low offensive and defensive potential at 29%.

Tijuana stands out in attack with a 100% offensive potential, albeit with a less solid defense at 57%.

In terms of betting odds, Cruz Azul is the favorite with a probability of 70.16% and odds of 1.40. A draw has a 17.8% probability with odds of 4.75. Tijuana is the underdog with a 12.04% probability and odds of 7.50.

Regarding goals, there is an 80.1% chance of over 1.5 goals with odds of 1.22 being the most likely outcome. The match could also see over 2.5 goals with a 60.21% probability and odds of 1.75.

Finally, there is approximately a 50% chance that both teams will score, with a probability of 51.83% and odds of 2.00.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

Based on the methodical analysis and available data, the match between Cruz Azul and Tijuana promises to be exciting. Cruz Azul, with a 70.16% probability of winning, is the favorite, but Tijuana with a lower probability of 12.04% should not be underestimated. Statistically, there is a high probability that the match will end with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

The analysis shows that Tijuana’s offense is highly effective with an average of 2.8 goals per match in the last five games. Cruz Azul will need to be cautious in defense.

The forecast of a 1-1 draw could be interesting, offering a good balance between risks and rewards. However, an attractive “value bet” could be to bet on a Tijuana victory, despite the initial predictions, considering the team’s recent performance and goal-scoring ability as favorable factors.

Remember, these predictions and statistics are provided for informational purposes and do not guarantee match results. Sports betting involves risks and should only be done as part of responsible leisure.