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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Cruz Azul Toluca
Tipps Cruz Azul Toluca Liga MX 21/07/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Cruz Azul wins the match.
1. The percentage of Cruz Azul’s home wins is higher than Toluca’s away wins. In their last 5 respective matches, Cruz Azul has won 60% of their home games while Toluca has only won 40% away.
2. The probability of a draw or a Cruz Azul win is 74.18%, significantly higher than Toluca’s win probability of only 25.82%.
3. Offensive and defensive statistics also favor Cruz Azul. At home, they have an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 7%. In comparison, Toluca only has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29% when they play away.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match.
1. The average offensive potential of Toluca in away matches is relatively low, at 21%. This means they score on average only 0.6 goals per away match, reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
2. Looking at Cruz Azul, although they have a stronger offensive performance at home with an average of 1.8 goals per match, their defensive potential is very high with an average of only 0.2 goals conceded per home match. This indicates they are capable of controlling the game and limiting the opposition’s chances.
3. Betting statistics show that the probability of under 2.5 goals in the match is more likely with odds of 1.68. Furthermore, previous match results for both teams also indicate a trend towards low-scoring games: Most recent home matches of Cruz Azul and away matches of Toluca have had fewer than 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Recent Games History: Both Cruz Azul and Toluca have a good offensive record in their recent games, scoring 7 and 9 goals respectively in their last 5 matches, indicating that it is likely that both teams will score in their confrontation.
2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Cruz Azul has an offensive potential of 64% and Toluca of 21%, with their respective defensive potentials at 7% and 29%. This means that both teams have a high likelihood of scoring goals when facing each other.
3. Statistical Probability: The odds suggest a 54.4% probability of both teams scoring, which is a strong argument in favor of this prediction given the accuracy of odds in predicting match outcomes.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Under 3.5 goals in the match
1. The statistics show that Cruz Azul and Toluca score relatively few goals, with an average of 1.8 and 0.6 goals per match, respectively. Additionally, the teams exhibit strong defense, conceding an average of 0.2 and 0.8 goals per match, respectively.
2. Based on Cruz Azul’s previous home matches and Toluca’s away matches, it is rare for the total number of goals to exceed 3.5 goals. In fact, none of Cruz Azul’s last 5 home matches have exceeded 3.5 goals, and only one of Toluca’s away matches has done so.
3. The probability of success for the “Under 3.5 goals in the match” prediction is 84.62%, which is significantly higher than for other scenarios. The expected winnings are therefore optimal.
Bet on the exact result
Cruz Azul 2-1 Toluca
1. Home/Away Performance: Cruz Azul has a strong home performance with 60% win rate and only 20% draws, while Toluca has a slightly weaker away history with only 40% win rate. Moreover, Cruz Azul has scored more goals at home than Toluca has away.
2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Cruz Azul has an offensive potential of 64% with an average of 1.8 goals per game at home, whereas Toluca has an offensive potential of only 21% with an average of 0.6 goals per game away. Cruz Azul’s defensive record is also better than Toluca’s away.
3. Probabilities: The odds indicate a higher likelihood for Cruz Azul to win the match (45.6%) than for Toluca (25.82%). Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 54.4%, which could support a final score of 2-1.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Cruz Azul has a strong home record, with wins in 60% of their last 5 matches. Interestingly, they have scored 7 goals, averaging 1.4 goals per match. However, they concede more goals (9 in 5 matches) than they score.
On the other hand, Toluca has a more mixed performance away from home, winning 40% of their matches with a total of 9 goals scored, averaging around 1.8 goals per match. However, their defense is lacking, having conceded 11 goals.
Looking at the average goals per match, we see that Cruz Azul, despite their defensive struggles, have an attacking potential of 64%, which is significant. Toluca, on the other hand, only scores 0.6 goals per match on average and concedes 0.8 goals, giving them an attacking potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29%.
With a 45.6% chance, Cruz Azul is favored to win, followed by a draw (28.57%). The probability of Toluca winning is only 25.82%.
In terms of goals, there is a 71.43% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. However, the chances of there being more than 2.5 goals are lower at 45.6%.
Looking at the recent matches of both teams, Cruz Azul has shown a strong performance at home (3-0 against Tijuana, 1-0 against Mazatlán and America de Cali, 1-1 against America, and 1-2 against Monterrey). Toluca has been less impressive away from home, with notable defeats such as the match against America (5-1).
In conclusion, Cruz Azul seems to have an advantage in this match, despite their potentially shaky defense. Additionally, there are high chances of seeing more than 1.5 goals during this match.
The potential number of goals
At home, Cruz Azul shows strong results with a 60% win rate and only 20% draws. Additionally, they tend to score many goals at home: 7 in their last 5 matches. However, they have also conceded 9 goals, indicating a somewhat shaky defense.
Toluca, on the other hand, is less successful away from home, with a 40% win rate. They have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches but have also conceded 11 goals, highlighting a defensive weakness.
Cruz Azul exhibits a strong offensive prowess at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Their defense is solid as well, conceding only 0.2 goals per match. Conversely, Toluca scores less on the road, averaging 0.6 goals per match, but also concedes more at 0.8 goals per match.
The probability of Cruz Azul winning the match is high at 45.6% compared to Toluca’s 25.82%. However, there is a 28.57% chance of a draw.
The data suggests that there will be few goals in the match. The bet “under 1.5 goals in the match” is priced at 3.00, while “under 2.5 goals in the match” is set at 1.68, indicating a trend towards low-scoring matches.
In summary, Cruz Azul appears to be the favorite for this match, although Toluca may also find the net. A possibility is a low-scoring match with Cruz Azul likely to emerge victorious.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the analysis and statistics strongly support a home victory for Cruz Azul in their match against Toluca. Cruz Azul shows a better home performance compared to Toluca’s away record, with higher win percentages, and a solid offensive and defensive display. The safe bet appears to be “under 3.5 goals in the match” due to the relatively low average goals scored by both teams. However, both teams have shown their ability to score in their recent games, so it is likely that both teams will score in this match. Despite a slight defensive weakness, Cruz Azul remains the favorite to win this match. It is also highly probable to see over 1.5 goals but under 2.5 goals during the match. Lastly, the highest probability suggests a final score of 2-1 in favor of Cruz Azul.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Cruz Azul against Toluca on 21/07/2024
1. The percentage of Cruz Azul’s home wins is higher than Toluca’s away wins. In their last 5 respective matches, Cruz Azul has won 60% of their home games while Toluca has only won 40% away.
2. The probability of a draw or a Cruz Azul win is 74.18%, significantly higher than Toluca’s win probability of only 25.82%.
3. Offensive and defensive statistics also favor Cruz Azul. At home, they have an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 7%. In comparison, Toluca only has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29% when they play away.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Cruz Azul vs Toluca match!
To not miss anything from the Cruz Azul vs Toluca match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 21/07/2024 in the Liga MX live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Cruz Azul vs Toluca
Lineups Cruz Azul
Lineups Toluca
Match Highlights Cruz Azul vs Toluca on 21/07/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Cruz Azul vs Toluca match on 21/07/2024 at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Cruz Azul and Toluca
All statistics for the match between Cruz Azul and Toluca will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Cruz Azul against Toluca!
Form state of Cruz Azul in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Cruz Azul has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Cruz Azul has a form rating of %.
Form state of Toluca in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Toluca has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Toluca has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Cruz Azul against Toluca!
Average goals scored by Cruz Azul in the current season.
Goals scored by Cruz Azul in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Cruz Azul in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Toluca in the current season
Goals scored by Toluca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Toluca
Toluca has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Toluca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Toluca
Toluca has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Cruz Azul and Toluca, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Cruz Azul vs Toluca: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The average offensive potential of Toluca in away matches is relatively low, at 21%. This means they score on average only 0.6 goals per away match, reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
2. Looking at Cruz Azul, although they have a stronger offensive performance at home with an average of 1.8 goals per match, their defensive potential is very high with an average of only 0.2 goals conceded per home match. This indicates they are capable of controlling the game and limiting the opposition’s chances.
3. Betting statistics show that the probability of under 2.5 goals in the match is more likely with odds of 1.68. Furthermore, previous match results for both teams also indicate a trend towards low-scoring games: Most recent home matches of Cruz Azul and away matches of Toluca have had fewer than 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Cruz Azul and Toluca!
The last 5 winning predictions für Cruz Azul
The last 5 winning predictions für Toluca
How do I find the best forecast for Cruz Azul Toluca?
Finding a forecast for the Cruz Azul Toluca match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Cruz Azul Toluca on 21/07/2024 in Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes are the team's past performance in the Liga MX, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Cruz Azul at home and Toluca away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 21/07/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Cruz Azul and Toluca on 21/07/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Liga MX, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes, Cruz Azul could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Cruz Azul and Toluca, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Cruz Azul and the away win rate of Toluca, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 21/07/2024!
The individual performances of players from Cruz Azul and Toluca can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 21/07/2024 at Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Cruz Azul and Toluca, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Cruz Azul or Toluca on 21/07/2024.
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