Tipps Cruzeiro Corinthians Serie A 07/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Cruzeiro MG wins the match”

1. Cruzeiro MG’s home performance is impressive. In its last five home matches, they have won 100% of them. They also have a solid defensive performance, having conceded as many goals as they have scored (8 goals). This shows that Cruzeiro MG has a home advantage.

2. On the other hand, Corinthians SP has disappointing performances when playing away. In its last five away matches, they haven’t won any and have only managed to draw in 40% of the cases. Furthermore, their offensive potential is only 29% and their defensive potential is 50%.

3. According to the odds, there is a 56.52% probability of Cruzeiro MG winning the match, which is significantly higher than the probability of 17.93% for a Corinthians SP victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive capabilities of both teams are quite weak, with a 43% offensive potential for Cruzeiro MG and 29% for Corinthians SP in their last 5 matches, which could limit the number of goals in the match.
2. Corinthians SP’s recent away matches have mostly seen less than 2.5 goals, suggesting that they play defensively when not at home.
3. Cruzeiro MG’s home record shows a trend where they have not scored or conceded more than 2 goals per match. Based on this trend, it is likely that the match will also follow this pattern.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Cruzeiro MG has a strong defense at home, having only conceded one goal in their last 5 home matches. This implies a very low risk for the opposing team to score.
2. Corinthians SP is currently showing lower offensive performances in their away matches, with an average of only 0.8 goals scored per match.
3. The statistics of Corinthians SP also show a low win rate away from home (0% in their last 5 matches), suggesting they might struggle to score against the home team.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams do not score.

Bet on the exact result

“Cruzeiro MG 2-1 Corinthians SP” translates to “Cruzeiro MG 2-1 Corinthians SP” in English.

1. Recent home form: Cruzeiro MG has a very strong home record, winning 100% of their last 5 matches. They are also capable of scoring multiple goals in a match, as shown by their 2-0 victories against Atletico PR and Fluminense.

2. Opponent’s away performance: Corinthians SP has been struggling away from home, failing to win any of their last 5 matches and only scoring 3 goals in total. This indicates a lack of offensive strength when playing on the road.

3. Respective offensive and defensive potential: While Cruzeiro MG concedes an average of 1.2 goals per home match, it’s important to note that their offensive potential at home is significantly higher at 43% compared to Corinthians SP’s 29% offensive potential away. This suggests a narrow 2-1 victory for Cruzeiro MG.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cruzeiro MG is in great form at home, with 5 consecutive wins. 8 goals scored, 8 goals conceded, they can hold their own.

Corinthians SP struggles away from home. 0% wins, 40% draws. 3 goals scored, 5 conceded, the record is bleak.

Cruzeiro MG has an offensive potential of 43%, defensive 43%. They are well-balanced.

Corinthians SP struggles away: 29% offensive potential, 50% defensive. The attack lacks bite.

Expected goals: between 1.5 and 2.5 with 72.28% and 47.28% chances respectively. Key points, over 4.5 goals is very unlikely at only 1.40.

There is a 56.52% chance of Cruzeiro MG winning. Corinthians SP has only a 17.93% chance of victory. A draw is predicted at 25.54%.

Both teams scoring has a 52.72% chance of happening.

In summary, Cruzeiro MG appears stronger, the match looks tight with a number of goals between 1.5 and 2.5. Both teams scoring can be expected.

However, Corinthians SP’s weak offensive potential away from home favors a Cruzeiro MG win. A prediction worth exploring.

The potential number of goals

Cruzeiro MG has shown dominant form at home, with a 100% win record in their last 5 matches. However, their defense has been shaky, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Corinthians SP has struggled away from home, failing to secure a single win in their last 5 matches. Their attack has been lackluster, averaging 0.8 goals per game.

Cruzeiro MG is the favorite with a 56.52% chance of winning. The chances of a draw are at 25.54%, while Corinthians SP has a low 17.93% chance of winning.

The most likely scenario based on statistics is that less than 3.5 goals will be scored, with an 81.52% probability. However, there is a 72.28% chance of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match.

The probability of both teams scoring is 52.72%, slightly higher than the 47.28% chance of only one team finding the back of the net.

Based on these statistics, it is suggested that the most likely scenario is a victory for Cruzeiro MG with less than 3.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the recent performances of both teams, especially at home for Cruzeiro MG and away for Corinthians SP, the statistics and probabilities indicate that Cruzeiro MG is the favorite to win the match with a probable score of 2-1.

Furthermore, the offensive potential of Corinthians SP suggests a limited number of goals, probably less than 2.5 goals in the match. Additionally, given Cruzeiro MG’s solid defensive performances at home and Corinthians SP’s offensive struggles away, it is likely that only the hosts will find the back of the net.

Therefore, the following bets are recommended: Cruzeiro MG to win, Under 2.5 goals in the match, and “No” on both teams to score. However, as always in sports betting, while statistics and probabilities can provide significant insight, there is never an absolute guarantee. Each bettor should exercise caution and only wager what they can afford to lose.