Tipps Cruzeiro Cuiaba Serie A 14/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and probabilities provided, my prediction for the match between Cruzeiro MG and Cuiaba will be: “Cruzeiro MG wins the match”.

1. Offensive/Defensive Potential: Cruzeiro MG has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 29% when playing at home, which is slightly lower than Cuiaba’s away stats with an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 36%. This indicates that Cruzeiro MG may be able to contain Cuiaba’s offense while also having the ability to score goals themselves, which favors their chances of winning.

2. Home Match History: Despite some draws and losses, Cruzeiro MG has managed to maintain a good home performance by scoring at least one goal in every match. In particular, their victory against Bahia BA showcases their ability to score multiple goals and secure wins at home.

3. Probability of Victory: The statistical forecast gives Cruzeiro MG a win probability of 60.32%, which is significantly higher than that of Cuiaba (10.32%). This high probability suggests that Cruzeiro MG has better chances of winning this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The recent performances of both teams show that they tend to play with a low average of goals. Cruzeiro MG scores an average of 1 goal per home match, while Cuiaba scores 1.2 goals on average away. This trend suggests a low-scoring match.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams are also good – Cruzeiro MG concedes an average of 0.8 goals per home match, and Cuiaba concedes an average of 1 goal away. This reinforces the idea of a match with few goals.

3. Finally, the history of matches between these two teams shows a low number of goals – in the last five home matches of Cruzeiro MG, none have had more than 3 goals, while on Cuiaba’s side, only one match had more than 2.5 goals. This history suggests that it is likely there will be less than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. By analyzing the statistics from Cruzeiro MG’s recent home matches, it is noticeable that this team tends to not score much with an average of 1 goal per match, while also having a solid defense only conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match.

2. From the perspective of the opposing team, Cuiaba has a fairly balanced record with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per away match, indicating a trend towards low-scoring games. Additionally, in their recent away matches, Cuiaba has had two goalless draws.

3. Looking at the betting odds, there is a 61.11% probability that both teams will not score. Combined with the recent performance of both teams, this reinforces the idea that both teams will not score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

“Cruzeiro MG 1-1 Cuiaba” translates to “Cruzeiro MG 1-1 Cuiaba” in English.

1. Recent Performance: The data indicates that Cruzeiro MG has a high home draw rate (20%) and Cuiaba also has a high away draw rate (40%). Furthermore, looking at the recent matches of each team, it is evident that they have a strong potential to end with a balanced score.

2. Goal Statistics: Cruzeiro MG averages 1 goal per home match, and Cuiaba averages 1.2 goals per away match, aligning with the prediction of a 1-1 draw. Additionally, both teams have a close average of goals conceded around 1, further supporting the possibility of a draw.

3. Betting Probabilities: The probabilities suggest that the draw has a success rate of 29.37%, which is a significant value for this type of match. Moreover, the goal/match ratio also implies that the score should not exceed 2.5 goals, consistent with the 1-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cruzeiro MG is not performing well at home. Only a 20% win rate and 20% draw rate. They have scored 8 goals and conceded the same amount.

On the other hand, Cuiaba shows a strong away performance. A 40% win rate and an equal amount of draws. They have scored and conceded 5 goals each.

On average, Cruzeiro MG has a better defensive record but a lower offensive potential compared to Cuiaba.

The prediction favors Cruzeiro MG with a 60.32% chance of winning. However, a draw cannot be ruled out.

It is highly likely that the total number of goals in the match will be less than 2.5.

Looking at Cruzeiro MG’s recent home matches, they have often struggled, with many draws. Cuiaba, on the other hand, is in good form away from home.

Overall, the situation seems slightly in favor of Cruzeiro MG, but a draw could be on the cards. One thing is certain, the match will not be high-scoring.

The potential number of goals

Cruzeiro MG, at home, has shown a modest performance with only one victory in the last 5 matches. Their defense and attack are balanced with 8 goals scored and 8 goals conceded. On the other hand, Cuiaba, playing away, has a more encouraging situation with 2 wins and 2 draws. They have scored and conceded the same number of goals, which is 5.

With a success rate of 60.32%, Cruzeiro MG is favored to win. However, a draw is still possible at 29.37%. The victory of Cuiaba seems less likely at 10.32%.

A high probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match at 84.13% suggests a rather “quiet” game. Both teams do not score in 61.11% of cases, favoring a low-scoring match.

In summary, a match more in favor of Cruzeiro MG is expected, probably with less than 3.5 goals. However, a draw would not be surprising, given the past performances of both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Cruzeiro MG and Cuiaba is shaping up to be very tight. Despite Cruzeiro MG having an advantage due to their favorable home record, the balanced offensive potential of both teams and their tendency to play low-scoring matches suggest a game that will likely be characterized by suspense and defensive play. Taking into account the teams’ current form, the statistics of their previous encounters, and the probabilities established by bookmakers, I would advise to bet on a victory for Cruzeiro MG or a draw with a total goals scored of less than 2.5. However, as the outcome of a match is never certain, it is important to exercise caution and only bet what you are willing to lose. Good luck and happy betting!