Tipps Crystal Palace Newcastle Premier League 24/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Crystal Palace win the match

1. Crystal Palace has shown a good performance at home with 40% of wins and 40% of draws in the last 5 games, which demonstrates some stability and suggests they tend to avoid losing on their own turf.

2. Newcastle United has weaker performances away from home with only 20% of wins in their last 5 away matches. Additionally, they have scored fewer goals on average per match compared to Crystal Palace while conceding more goals.

3. The probability statistics also support the prediction “Draw or Crystal Palace wins the match” with a success probability of 61.86%, which is higher than the probability of a Newcastle United victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Over their last 5 respective matches, Crystal Palace have scored an average of 1 goal per match, while Newcastle United have scored 2. This gives an average of 3 goals per match, supporting the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the game.
2. The defensive performance of both teams is also to be considered. Crystal Palace have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Newcastle United have conceded 1.2 goals per match away. This stat reinforces the possibility of there being over 2.5 goals in the game.
3. Previous results of both teams indicate a trend towards matches with over 2.5 goals. For instance, among the last five home matches of Crystal Palace, four have seen over 2.5 goals. Similarly, three of the last five away matches of Newcastle United have seen over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The last five home matches for Crystal Palace and away matches for Newcastle United show a trend where both teams frequently score. In the case of Crystal Palace, this has happened in 4 out of the last 5 matches. For Newcastle, it has occurred in 2 out of the last 5 matches.

2. The offensive and defensive potential statistics for both teams show that they both have the ability to score goals. Crystal Palace has a 36% offensive potential at home, while Newcastle United has a 71% offensive potential away. These figures indicate that it is likely that both teams will score in their encounter.

3. The probability for “Both teams to score” is 61.02%, which is higher than that for “Both teams not to score”, at 38.98%. This statistic shows that both teams are more likely to score during the match according to the probabilities.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Crystal Palace wins the match – 3.05

Bet on the exact result

Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle United

1. Recent performance of both teams: at home Crystal Palace has a 40% win rate and a 40% draw rate in their last 5 matches, while Newcastle has a 20% win rate and a 20% draw rate in their last 5 away matches. Therefore, the match has a high probability of ending in a draw.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: both teams display similar performance in terms of goals scored and conceded per match, with around 1 goal for Crystal Palace and 1.2 for Newcastle. The overall trend suggests that each team could score a goal.

3. Probabilities: Probability forecasts also suggest a draw (22.03%) with a total of over 1.5 goals in the match (82.2% probability). Furthermore, there is a 61.02% probability that both teams will score, reinforcing the hypothesis of a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The latest home performances of Crystal Palace show some instability. Victory is obtained in 40% of cases, as is the draw. With 10 goals scored and 12 conceded, their offensive performance is average (36%) while their defense struggles (43%).

On the other hand, Newcastle United struggles away. With only a 20% win rate and 20% draw rate, it is worth noting their 5 goals scored to 9 conceded. However, their offensive potential is at 71%, compensating for a defense similar to Crystal Palace (43%).

Regarding the match result, the probability is very close for each team (39.83% for Crystal Palace, 38.14% for Newcastle United). A draw, with a probability of 22.03%, seems less likely.

In terms of goals, statistics favor over 1.5 goals (82.2% probability). Therefore, there is an interest in betting on a match with over 1.5 goals.

Finally, statistics also indicate a 61.02% chance that both teams will score.

In conclusion, the match seems to be balanced despite a slight advantage for Crystal Palace playing at home. It may be interesting to favor a bet on over 1.5 goals and both teams to score.

The potential number of goals

Okay, I will simplify these data. Let’s begin.

For Crystal Palace at home, we can see a rather average performance. They win and draw in 40% of their matches. They have scored a total of 10 goals but conceded 12.

Newcastle United, on the other hand, does not perform well away from home. Only 20% of their matches end in a win or draw. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 9.

Looking at the attacking potentials, Newcastle seems to be more aggressive. They score an average of 2 goals away compared to 1 goal for Palace at home.

However, both teams have the same defensive potential at 43%.

When betting on the winner, there are almost equal chances for Palace and Newcastle, with respective probabilities of 39.83% and 38.14%.

There is a higher chance of seeing +1.5 goals in the match at 82.2%.

Moreover, it is highly likely that both teams will score, with a 61.02% chance.

Looking at their recent matches, we see that Crystal Palace tends to concede several goals at home. Newcastle, on the other hand, struggles to score away from home.

In conclusion, based on this information, we could expect an eventful match with over 1.5 goals and both teams scoring. As for the winner, it’s a true lottery, with the probability almost at 50/50. Would you like a different type of analysis or is this sufficient?

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Crystal Palace and Newcastle United presents an interesting betting opportunity. Based on both teams’ recent performances and statistics, there seems to be a slight probability in favor of Crystal Palace to win or draw. It is also likely to see over 2.5 goals during the match and it is highly possible that both teams will score. A bet on the exact score of 1-1 could also provide a value opportunity. However, football is unpredictable and while these statistics can help guide betting decisions, nothing is guaranteed. It is crucial for bettors to consider all these factors and bet responsibly.