Tipps CSKA 1948 Botev Plovdiv Parva Liga 29/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or CSKA 1948 wins the match

1. CSKA 1948 has a positive home record in their last 5 matches with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. In comparison, Botev Plovdiv has struggled to win away from home with only 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

2. CSKA 1948 has shown a better offensive performance at home with an average of 2 goals per match and an offensive potential of 71%. In contrast, Botev Plovdiv has averaged only 0.6 goals per match away from home with a low offensive potential of 21%.

3. Based on the odds, the forecast “Draw or CSKA 1948 wins the match” has a success probability of 65.76%, which is higher than the success probability of the forecast “Botev Plovdiv wins the match” at 34.24%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics show that Botev Plovdiv has a weak offensive potential when playing away, averaging only 0.6 goals per game over their last 5 matches. They also have a strong defensive potential, conceding on average only 0.4 goals per game.

2. On the other hand, CSKA 1948 also has a weak offensive potential at home, scoring only 2 goals per game on average over their last 5 matches. Their defensive potential is also strong, conceding only one goal per game on average.

3. The calculated probability for less than 2.5 goals in the match is high (no exact probability given). This, combined with the low offensive potential of both teams and their strong defensive capabilities, supports the prediction of less than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. CSKA 1948 has shown a strong offensive performance at home, averaging 2 goals per match in their last 5 games. This makes it quite likely that the team will score at least once in this match.
2. Although Botev Plovdiv doesn’t have a very high success rate in scoring during away games (0.6 goals per match on average), their defensive performance seems lacking, conceding 5 goals in their last 5 away games. This suggests that CSKA 1948 may have the opportunity to score in this encounter.
3. Recent home match statistics for CSKA 1948 and away match statistics for Botev Plovdiv indicate that in most cases, both teams have managed to score. It is therefore probable that this trend will continue in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

CSKA 1948 2 – 0 Botev Plovdiv

1. CSKA 1948 has shown a good offensive performance at home recently, scoring an average of 2 goals per match, which aligns with the expected score of 2 goals for CSKA 1948 in the match against Botev Plovdiv.

2. Botev Plovdiv has faced defensive difficulties in their away matches, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per match. Additionally, their average goals scored away from home is 0.6, suggesting they may struggle to score against CSKA 1948.

3. The probability of less than 3.5 goals being scored in the match is 90.22%. This reinforces the prediction of a 2-0 scoreline for CSKA 1948, as it falls within the range of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

CSKA 1948 shows solid form at home, with a 60% win rate and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have, however, scored and conceded an equal number of goals, 9 in total.

Botev Plovdiv also has a respectable away record. With a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, their defense has been more solid, conceding only 5 goals while scoring 3.

CSKA 1948 is an attacking team at home, averaging 2 goals per match. While they concede an average of 1 goal per match, there is room for defensive improvement.

Botev Plovdiv is less impressive on the road, averaging only 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per match. Nevertheless, their defense remains solid.

The odds suggest a tight match, with CSKA 1948 having a 37.5% chance of winning compared to Botev Plovdiv’s 34.24%.

There is a high probability (67.93%) of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match (odds 1.45). Less likely but still possible (41.85% probability) is seeing over 2.5 goals (odds 2.40).

CSKA 1948’s recent matches have seen many goals, with a minimum of 2 goals scored per match. Botev Plovdiv, on the other hand, seems to have their defense under control, conceding only 1 goal in their last 3 matches.

In summary, this match looks promising, with a slight advantage leaning towards CSKA 1948.

The potential number of goals

CSKA 1948 and Botev Plovdiv are facing each other in a football match. Their recent performances provide interesting insights.

At home, CSKA 1948 is strong with victories in 60% of the cases, and draws in 20%. They have scored 9 goals and conceded the same number. Their offensive capability is impressive, averaging 2 goals per match with a potential of 71%. However, their defense is a point of concern, conceding on average 1 goal per match with a defensive potential of 36%.

Botev Plovdiv, playing away, also wins in 60% of the cases but without any draws. With only 3 goals scored and 5 conceded, their attack seems weaker compared to their defense. They score on average 0.6 goals per match with an offensive potential of 21% and concede 0.4 goals per match, giving them a defensive potential of 14%.

Our predictions suggest a rather uncertain match. The odds for a victory for CSKA 1948, a draw, or a victory for Botev Plovdiv are quite close: 2.40, 3.10, and 2.90 respectively. However, the probability of a draw or a victory for CSKA 1948 is 65.76% compared to 62.5% for Botev Plovdiv.

Regarding goals, most predictions lean towards fewer goals. Indeed, with a success probability of 90.22%, it is highly likely that there will be less than 3.5 goals in the match. Furthermore, there is a 67.93% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals.

Based on this data, the match could really go either way. However, CSKA 1948’s offense could make a difference against Botev Plovdiv’s weaker defense.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between CSKA 1948 and Botev Plovdiv promises to be tight. CSKA 1948 has shown some superiority while playing at home, with a strong offensive capability and a positive record in their recent matches. However, Botev Plovdiv has also demonstrated respectable performances, especially in their defensive play. Based on analyses and probabilities, the most favorable bet would be a draw or a win for CSKA 1948, with a high likelihood of fewer than 2.5 goals scored overall in the match.

Yet, it’s a complex bet. Will Botev Plovdiv’s defense be able to restrict CSKA 1948’s offensive, which averages 2 goals per home match? CSKA’s recent matches have consistently seen at least 2 goals, but Botev Plovdiv’s strong defense could limit this figure.

In summary, it is recommended to bet cautiously given the close proximity in terms of performance between the two teams. Bettors may also consider alternative bets, such as both teams to score, or CSKA 1948 to win with fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, which also present interesting chances of success.