Tipps Cuiaba Atletico Paranaense Serie A 29/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Cuiaba win the match

1. Cuiaba’s home performance is better than Atletico PR’s away performance. Cuiaba has an impressive 70.56% success rate in terms of winning or drawing.
2. Cuiaba shows consistent offensive and defensive potential in their home matches. They have scored an average of one goal per match and conceded 1.2 goals per match, indicating a balance between their attack and defense. This suggests they have the ability to score goals while also resisting opponent attacks.
3. The results of Cuiaba’s last 5 home matches display dominance at their stadium with two draws and a resounding victory against Fortaleza EC. In contrast, Atletico has lost three of their last five away matches, indicating some difficulty playing outside their home ground.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The goals scored and conceded statistics of these two teams in their last 5 matches are relatively low, with Cuiaba averaging 1 goal per match and Atletico PR 1.4 goals per match, indicating a tendency towards low-scoring games.

2. The probabilities suggest a trend towards low-scoring matches, with a probability of 98.33% for under 3.5 goals in the match and 106.11% for under 4.5 goals in the match.

3. The recent match results for Cuiaba at home and Atletico PR away show a low number of goals, with several matches ending with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics of previous matches: In the last 5 matches of each team, they have failed to score in several matches. Cuiaba failed to score in 2 of their last 5 home matches, while Atletico PR only managed to score in 2 of their last 5 recent outings.

2. Low average goals: Both teams have a low average of goals per match, with Cuiaba averaging one goal at home and Atletico PR averaging 1.4 goals away in their respective last 5 matches.

3. Low offensive potential: Cuiaba’s offensive potential is only 36% at home, while Atletico PR’s is slightly over 50% away. This situation limits the chances of both teams scoring in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Cuiaba 1-1 Atletico PR

1. The trend of draws for Cuiaba at home and Atletico PR away: The statistics presented show a significant trend towards draws for both teams. In particular, Cuiaba has drawn in 40% of their recent home matches, while Atletico PR has drawn in 20% of their recent away matches.

2. Similar offensive and defensive potential of both teams: At home, Cuiaba scores an average of 1 goal per match and concedes 1.2 goals, while away, Atletico PR scores an average of 1.4 goals per match and concedes 1.2 goals. These numbers suggest that both teams are likely to score and concede a similar number of goals, making a 1-1 scoreline realistic.

3. Sports betting probabilities: The odds indicate a higher probability for a draw or a Cuiaba win, show a high success rate probability (63.33%) for over 1.5 goals in the match and under 3.5 goals in the match (98.33%). These probabilities support a possible 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cuiaba, with a 20% home win rate in 5 matches, has a balance of 7 goals scored and conceded. Atletico PR, has won 40% of their away matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding 6.

On average, Cuiaba scores 1 goal per match with a 43% defense rate. Atletico PR scores 1.4 goals and their defense stands at 43%, indicating a stronger attack.

The probability for Cuiaba to win is 40%, with odds of 2.65. A draw is at 30.56%, with odds of 3.10, while Atletico PR’s win probability is 29.44%, with odds of 2.80.

The chances of a match with less than 1.5 goals are at 2.75, while a match with over 1.5 goals is at 63.33% and odds of 1.44. The most likely scenario, with a probability of 98.33%, is a match with less than 3.5 goals, with odds of 1.20.

Looking at previous matches, a defensive pattern emerges from both sides. Based on these numbers, a low-scoring game with less than 3.5 goals seems likely.

The potential number of goals

Cuiaba, at home, shows a modest performance with only 20% of victories. They draw 40% of the time. The team scores and concedes 1 goal on average per match, indicating an equally effective defense and attack.

Atletico PR, when playing away, win a bit more frequently with 40% of victories. Their attack seems sharper with 1.4 goals scored per match, despite an imperfect defense conceding 1.2 goals per match.

The probabilities indicate a match with less than 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.60. A risky but potentially profitable bet would be on Atletico PR to win at 2.80.

Prediction to consider: Based on Cuiaba’s recent home scores and Atletico PR’s away performances, expect a close match with likely less than 2.5 goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, in light of the discussed data and statistics, several trends emerge regarding the upcoming match between Cuiaba and Atletico PR. On one hand, it appears likely that Cuiaba will either win or achieve a draw on their home turf against Atletico PR. On the other hand, statistics heavily suggest a low-scoring match, with less than 2.5 goals in total. Predicting an exact score is always a challenge, but an estimate based on current statistics would suggest a potential 1-1 draw.

It is worth noting that despite the offensive potential of Cuiaba at home and Atletico PR away, it is less probable that both teams will score in the match given the limited attacking potential of both teams and their defensive performances.

The probability of the match ending with less than 2.5 goals seems to offer an interesting betting value given the current trends of both teams. Consider these factors when placing your bets to increase your chances of profitability. However, it is important to remember that, despite probabilities, the outcome of a football match can be unpredictable and it is therefore crucial to bet responsibly.