Tipps Cuiaba Botafogo Serie A 04/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Botafogo RJ wins the match”

1. Botafogo RJ’s away performance is better than Cuiaba’s home performance. Botafogo RJ has won in 60% of cases in their recent away matches, whereas Cuiaba has only won in 40% of cases at home.

2. The bookmakers’ odds are in favor of Botafogo RJ. The probability of Botafogo RJ winning the match is 35.98%, compared to 32.8% for Cuiaba.

3. Botafogo RJ has shown to have better offensive and defensive performance in their away matches compared to Cuiaba at home. On average, Botafogo RJ has scored 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1 goal per match, indicating an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 36%. In comparison, Cuiaba has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 21%, which is lower in terms of defense.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The past performances of both teams show a tendency for low scores. On average, Cuiaba scores 1.6 goals per match at home, while Botafogo RJ scores 1.4 goals per match away, suggesting that the total goals could be under 2.5.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams are also solid, with Cuiaba conceding only an average of 0.6 goals per match at home and Botafogo RJ conceding an average of 1 goal away. This indicates that the teams are capable of limiting their opponent’s opportunities, thus reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring match.

3. Examining the last five home matches of Cuiaba and the last five away matches of Botafogo RJ, it is clear that many matches end with less than 2.5 goals. Specifically, four of Cuiaba’s last five home matches had less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The defensive performances of both teams: In their last 5 matches, Cuiaba has conceded an average of 0.6 goals per game while Botafogo RJ has conceded an average of 1 goal per game. This statistic shows that both teams have a strong defense, which decreases the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.
2. Cuiaba’s offensive performance at home: In their last 5 home matches, Cuiaba has only scored 6 goals, averaging 1.2 goals per game. It’s also worth noting that Cuiaba failed to score in two matches. This trend could also decrease the probability of both teams scoring during the match.
3. Botafogo RJ’s away performance: Although they have won 60% of their last 5 away matches, their games often end with low scores. Indeed, in these 5 matches, they have only scored a total of 6 goals, averaging 1.2 goals per game. This could mean they may struggle to score in this match against Cuiaba.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Botafogo RJ wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Cuiaba 1-1 Botafogo RJ (Note: Les noms des équipes de football ne sont généralement pas traduits en anglais.)

1. Goal Analysis: Based on the statistics of both teams, Cuiaba and Botafogo RJ have similar average goals, whether it’s goals scored or goals conceded. Moreover, the match is likely to have less than 3.5 goals, a prediction supported by a high probability of 89.95%. A 1-1 scoreline seems credible considering these goal averages.

2. Draw History: In their respective last 5 matches, Cuiaba drew in 20% of cases at home, while Botafogo RJ did the same in 20% of cases away. This means a draw is quite possible between these two teams.

3. Win Probability and Betting Methods: The odds suggest some level of parity between the two teams, with only a slight advantage in favor of Botafogo RJ (35.98% chance of winning compared to 32.8% for Cuiaba). A draw is also a possible outcome with a probability of 31.22%. The option where the match ends in a 1-1 scoreline thus becomes plausible given these probabilities.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cuiaba, at home, shows a balanced performance by scoring and conceding 6 goals. Botafogo RJ, away, has scored as many goals but conceded one more.

Cuiaba has a slightly better offensive performance (1.6 vs 1.4 goals on average), but their defense is stronger (0.6 vs 1 goal conceded on average). Offensive and defensive potential respectively at 57%/21% for Cuiaba and 50%/36% for Botafogo RJ.

Win probabilities suggest a tight match: 32.8% for Cuiaba, 31.22% for a draw, and 35.98% for Botafogo RJ. Also a tight prediction for under or over 1.5 goals in the match with respective chances of 67.2% and 34.92% of happening.

Recent home meetings of Cuiaba have seen two wins, two draws, and one loss, while Botafogo RJ has won three times, drawn once, and lost once away.

Fair probability of 48.15% that both teams score and 51.85% that they don’t. Overall view suggests a tight and balanced match with a slight inclination towards Botafogo RJ. Probably less than 3.5 goals in the match (89.95% chances).

The potential number of goals

Analysis of the match Cuiaba vs Botafogo RJ:

Cuiaba has shown a solid performance at home, with a 40% win rate. Their scoring ability is average with 1.6 goals per match, but they have a strong defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per match.

On the other hand, Botafogo RJ has displayed a stronger performance away, winning 60% of their matches. They have scored slightly less with 1.4 goals per match, but their defense has been slightly weaker, conceding 1 goal per match on average.

Considering the probabilities, Botafogo RJ’s victory is slightly more likely at 35.98%. However, a draw or a Cuiaba win is also a notable possibility with a 64.02% chance.

Regarding the number of goals, fewer than 3.5 goals in the match seem very likely with a 89.95% probability. Indeed, the calculation anticipates an average of 2 to 3 goals in this match.

Given that both teams have shown remarkable performances recently, it is possible that both teams will score during the match, although this probability is slightly lower than the opposite with 48.15%.

In conclusion, a tight battle can be expected between Cuiaba and Botafogo RJ with a probability of having fewer than 3.5 goals and that each team scores at least once.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Serie A match between Cuiaba and Botafogo RJ is expected to be competitive and potentially low-scoring. Past statistics suggest that Botafogo RJ may have a slight advantage due to their better away performance and strong defense. However, the fact that Cuiaba is playing at home and also has a solid defense could level the playing field. The safest bet seems to be on a match with fewer than 3.5 goals as per industry experts. Furthermore, there is a 48.15% probability of both teams scoring, which could make the match even more intriguing. Overall, this match is likely to be tight with a slight tilt in favor of Botafogo RJ according to bookmakers’ odds.