Tipps Cuiaba Corinthians Serie A 28/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Corinthians SP wins the match.”

1. The offensive potential of Corinthians SP is significantly higher than that of Cuiaba, even in away conditions. Corinthians SP averages 1.6 goals per match compared to Cuiaba’s 0.4 at home, giving Corinthians SP an offensive edge.

2. The probabilities favor Corinthians SP with a success probability of 41.36% for them to win the match, compared to 27.75% for Cuiaba. This is a strong indicator that they are more likely to win.

3. The previous match results also show uneven performance by Cuiaba at home with only two wins in their last five matches, while Corinthians managed to win a tough away match against Fortaleza EC.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Cuiaba’s weak offensive potential: In their last 5 home matches, Cuiaba has averaged 0.4 goals per game, indicating a low offensive potential.

2. Defensive records of both teams: Both teams have conceded an average of 0.8 goals (Cuiaba) and 1.6 goals (Corinthians SP) per game in their last 5 home and away matches. This suggests that both teams have a relatively good defensive record, which supports a low-scoring match.

3. Head-to-head history of both teams: Among the recent matches of each team, the majority have seen less than 2.5 goals. For instance, 4 of Cuiaba’s last 5 home matches and 3 of Corinthians SP’s last 5 away matches have had less than 2.5 goals, further supporting the prediction of under 2.5 goals for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that both Cuiaba and Corinthians SP have demonstrated offensive potential by the number of goals scored in their last 5 matches, with 5 goals each team respectively.

2. In their last 5 matches, Cuiaba has conceded 8 goals at home while Corinthians SP has conceded 7 goals away. This trend suggests the possibility that each team could concede at least one goal in the upcoming match.

3. The success rate calculated for “Both teams to score” is 51.83%, which gives a slightly above average probability that this scenario will occur in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Cuiaba 1-2 Corinthians SP

1. Corinthians SP has shown a greater offensive potential in the last 5 away matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match, while Cuiaba has only scored an average of 0.4 goals per match at home in the last 5 matches.

2. Based on the defensive performance of both teams, Cuiaba concedes an average of 0.8 goals at home while Corinthians concedes 1.6 goals away from home. This indicates that Corinthians is more likely to concede a goal than Cuiaba is to score one.

3. Taking into account the probabilities of success, the chances of a Corinthians victory are slightly higher than those of a Cuiaba victory or a draw. The data suggests a scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Corinthians SP.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cuiaba has been struggling at home, winning only 40% of their last 5 matches and averaging just 1 goal per game. Meanwhile, Corinthians has not performed much better away, with a 20% win rate and an average of 1.6 goals per game.

The statistics reveal an offensive potential of 14% for Cuiaba and 57% for Corinthians. However, defensive work needs to be improved for both teams, with a defensive coverage rate of 29% for Cuiaba and 57% for Corinthians.

The probability of victory is more in favor of Corinthians (41.36%). A draw or a win for Cuiaba is likely at 58.64%, while a win for Corinthians or a draw is probable at 72.25%.

Considering the number of goals, it is more likely to have fewer than 3.5 goals (80.63%) than above that figure. There is a 51.83% chance that both teams will score.

Recap of previous scores: Cuiaba has either drawn or won (2-1 and 2-0) at home. Corinthians has suffered 4 away defeats and only one victory (0-2).

Overall, the game is expected to be tight. The chances of victory lean towards Corinthians although Cuiaba could cause an upset at home.

The potential number of goals

Cuiaba, at home, is stable with a 40% win rate and 20% draws but has a limited offensive performance with 5 goals. Its defense is tested with 8 goals conceded, averaging nearly 1 goal per match.

Corinthians SP, away, only wins 20% of matches and often struggles with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded. Its offensive power is notable, however, with almost 2 goals per match.

The probability of Corinthians SP winning the match is higher (41.36%). However, a draw or a Cuiaba win is also possible, with a 58.64% chance.

The match could be limited in terms of goals. More than 1.5 or 2.5 goals in the match have probabilities of 73.3% and 46.07% respectively.

There is almost a 50% chance that both teams score, with a probability of 51.83%. Recent match history supports this statistic, with many goals scored on both sides.

In conclusion, Corinthians SP is slightly favored, but Cuiaba should not be underestimated, especially on equal ground. Bettors should also expect an offensive game with a number of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, although Corinthians SP may seem favored on paper due to their higher offensive potential and relatively better recent performances compared to Cuiaba, football remains an unpredictable sport. Statistics, while providing useful insights into the teams’ past performances and respective strengths and weaknesses, cannot guarantee the outcome of the match. Nevertheless, based on our analysis, a safe bet would be to wager on under 2.5 goals during the match, which appears to align with the current trends of both teams. Additionally, both teams have shown an ability to score in recent games, so there is a significant probability that both teams will score in this match. However, as always, we advise bettors to approach each prediction with caution and only bet what they are willing to lose.