Tipps Cuiaba Fluminense Serie A 22/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Cuiaba wins the match

1. Over the last 5 home matches, Cuiaba has won or drawn in 40% of cases, while Fluminense, in their away matches, has not won at all and has only reached a draw in 20% of cases.

2. Cuiaba’s offensive and defensive potential in their home matches is superior to that of Fluminense on the road, with 43% compared to 14% in attack and 43% compared to 36% in defense. This indicates that Cuiaba is more likely to score goals and resist Fluminense’s attacks.

3. Success probabilities based on the odds give a significant advantage to the combination “Draw or Cuiaba wins the match” with a success probability of 70.53% and odds of 1.35. Compared to the “Fluminense wins the match” option with a success probability of only 29.47% and odds of 3.30, this clearly indicates that Cuiaba is more likely not to lose this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Fluminense’s lack of offensive efficiency: on average, they have only scored 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 away matches.
2. Cuiaba’s balanced home record: they have scored and conceded the same number of goals (7) in their last 5 home matches, suggesting an average of less than 3 goals per match.
3. Recent match statistics: when looking at the last 5 matches of each team, the majority of them have had less than 2.5 goals. This clearly indicates a trend towards low-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Fluminense’s lack of offensive potential: Fluminense has shown a low offensive potential in their last 5 away matches, averaging only 0.4 goals per game. This indicates that they may struggle to score in this match against Cuiaba.

2. Cuiaba’s defensive solidity at home: Cuiaba has displayed a strong defense in their last 5 home matches, conceding an average of only 1.2 goals per game. This suggests a strong ability to prevent the opposition from scoring.

3. Fluminense’s recent away performances: In their last 5 away matches, Fluminense has failed to win a single game and has only scored one goal, showcasing a disappointing offensive capability and overall result away from home. This indicates that they may face difficulties in scoring in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Fluminense wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

“Cuiaba 1-0 Fluminense”

1. Recent home performance of Cuiaba shows an offensive potential of 43% with an average of 1.2 goals per match. Additionally, in 40% of recent home matches, Cuiaba has managed to keep a clean sheet or secure a draw.

2. Fluminense has shown a weak offensive performance in their recent away matches, with a low offensive potential of 14% and an average of 0.4 goals per match. And in none of their last 5 away matches have they managed to win.

3. The betting odds also support this prediction, with a score of under 1.5 goals in the match at 2.70 and a 70.53% chance of the match ending in a draw or Cuiaba winning.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The match between Cuiaba and Fluminense is likely to be a very close one. Recently, Cuiaba has had mixed results at home, with a win and a draw in five matches. Fluminense, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last five matches.

In terms of goals, Cuiaba has a slight edge with an average of 1.2 goals per match compared to Fluminense’s 0.4. However, both teams have similar defensive capabilities, conceding an average of 1.2 and 1 goal per match, respectively.

The odds suggest a slight advantage for Cuiaba with a 42.63% chance of winning compared to Fluminense’s 29.47%. The likelihood of a draw is 27.89%.

Another key point to consider is the number of goals scored. The odds favor over 1.5 goals in the match, with a 66.32% chance of success. On the other hand, expect fewer than 3.5 goals with an 82.63% success rate.

Overall, it appears that neither team clearly dominates. With 50% odds for both teams to score or not to score, the match looks very evenly matched. My prediction would therefore be a low-scoring game, possibly in favor of Cuiaba.

The potential number of goals

Cuiaba has an average home performance, winning 20% of their matches with an average of 1.2 goals per game. Their defenses and attacks are balanced with 43% offensive and defensive potential.

Fluminense struggles away, with 0% wins and a very low number of goals at 0.4 per game. Its offensive potential is low at 14% and defense is at 36%.

The probability for Cuiaba to win this match is 42.63% while for Fluminense, it is 29.47%. A draw has a probability of 27.89%.

If we rely on recent trends, betting on under 2.5 goals in the match seems like a safe option.

The probability of both teams scoring in the match is 50%, making this bet a mixed choice.

Based on this information, a cautious bet could be on Cuiaba to win or draw, with a probability of 70.53%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Cuiaba and Fluminense could be very tight, with a slight edge in favor of Cuiaba due to their past form and home performances. Furthermore, considering Fluminense’s lackluster offensive potential in their recent away matches, betting on a low-scoring game is worth considering.

However, despite their poor away form, Fluminense might surprise and provide a boost to those who bet on their victory, given their defensive efficiency and the attractive odds offered by bookmakers.

Lastly, betting on both teams to score or not seems risky, given the past performances of both teams. It would be wiser to bet on a scoreline under 2.5 goals.

It is important to note that sports betting always involves an element of chance and it is crucial to analyze as much information as possible before making a decision. However, even with the most thorough analysis, the final outcome remains uncertain. Therefore, it is important to bet responsibly.