Tipps Cuiaba Fortaleza EC Serie A 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Fortaleza EC wins the match

1. Fortaleza EC has a higher offensive potential than Cuiaba, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match away from home compared to 1.4 for Cuiaba at home.
2. Fortaleza EC has a higher probability of winning the match than Cuiaba, with a success rate of 38.3% compared to 28.19% for Cuiaba.
3. In their last five away matches, Fortaleza EC has shown their ability to score goals, even when facing tough opponents like Boca Juniors and Vasco Da Gama RJ.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Less than 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Analysis of home goal statistics for Cuiaba and away goal statistics for Fortaleza EC indicates an average below 2.5 goals per match. In fact, Cuiaba has an average of 1.4 goals scored per match at home, while Fortaleza EC has an average of 1.8 goals scored per match away.

2. The defenses of both teams appear quite solid, with Cuiaba conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match at home and Fortaleza EC conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match away. This could suggest a low-scoring match.

3. Finally, the results of each team’s previous matches suggest low scores. Among Cuiaba’s last 5 home matches, 4 of them had less than 2.5 goals, while for Fortaleza EC, 3 of their last away matches had less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent performance statistics show a trend towards low scores, especially for Cuiaba when playing at home. For example, in Cuiaba’s last 5 home matches, none consistently saw both teams scoring.
2. The estimated probability of both teams not scoring is higher (59.57%) compared to the probability of both teams scoring (40.43%), clearly indicating a stronger trend towards a game where both teams do not score.
3. Cuiaba has a stronger defensive potential at home with only 21%, compared to Fortaleza EC who have a weaker defensive potential away with 29%. This suggests that Cuiaba is capable of maintaining a solid defense at home and could succeed in preventing Fortaleza from scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Cuiaba 1-2 Fortaleza EC

1. Cuiaba has a demonstrated tendency to score relatively few goals at home with an average of 1.4 per match and a 50% probability of offensive potential, while they have conceded 0.6 goals per match on average. Additionally, in Cuiaba’s last 5 home matches, there have generally been low scores, indicating that Cuiaba could score at least 1 goal.

2. Fortaleza EC has slightly higher offensive and defensive performance compared to Cuiaba, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per away match and 0.8 conceded, which is consistent with the probability that they will score more goals (64% offensive potential) than Cuiaba.

3. Statistics indicate that Fortaleza EC has a greater probability of winning than Cuiaba (38.3% compared to 28.19%) and the general trend to score more goals. By combining this with their ability to concede goals (average of 0.8 per match), this supports the prediction of Fortaleza EC scoring 2 goals and winning the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cuiaba, at home, shows inconsistent form, with only a 40% win rate in the last 5 matches. Their attack averages 1.4 goals per game, while their defense concedes an average of 0.6 goals.

Fortaleza EC, on the other hand, struggles to secure victories away from home, with only a 20% win rate on the road. The last 5 matches indicate an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded.

Based on the statistics, the match seems more favorable to Fortaleza EC, which has a 38.3% probability of winning, compared to 28.19% for Cuiaba.

The probability of a draw is 33.51%. The highest percentage, 71.81%, is achieved when betting on a draw or a victory for Fortaleza EC.

If we look at the number of goals, there is a high probability (93.09%) that there will be less than 3.5 goals during the match. This aligns with Cuiaba’s defensive performances in limiting goals conceded.

Regarding goals, most odds suggest a low-scoring match, with a high probability (60.64%) for only over 1.5 goals.

Considering these factors, a draw or a victory for Fortaleza EC with less than 3.5 goals scored seems to be a reasonable prediction for this Serie A match.

The potential number of goals

Cuiaba, in the last 5 home matches, have won 40% of the time but haven’t scored much: only 6 goals. Their defense has conceded 8 goals, which is concerning.

Fortaleza EC, in their away games, do not fare much better. They win only 20% of their matches and have conceded 13 goals, although their attack seems more prolific with 9 goals.

Cuiaba has an offensive potential of 50% but struggles in defense with only 21% success rate. Fortaleza EC displays similar statistics: 64% in attack and 29% in defense.

In terms of probabilities, the match seems slightly in favor of Fortaleza EC with 38.3% against 28.19% for Cuiaba. The option of a draw or Fortaleza EC win, with 71.81%, seems like a safe bet.

Let’s talk about goals now. With more than 1.5 goals in the match at 60.64%, we can expect an eventful game. However, the probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals is lower: 30.32%.

Looking at the recent matches, the scores for Cuiaba at home are not impressive. As for Fortaleza EC, their away games have seen a lot of goals from both sides.

In conclusion, Fortaleza EC, despite their defensive difficulties, seems to be in a better position for this match. We can expect a game with at least two goals. Nevertheless, caution is advised, as football remains unpredictable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, this detailed analysis of the match between Cuiaba and Fortaleza EC provides a strategic outlook for bettors ahead of the game. Based on key factors such as past performances, offensive and defensive efficiency of the teams, and likely success rates, the trend leans towards a Fortaleza EC victory, despite being away.

However, a low-scoring match is expected with less than 2.5 total goals, particularly due to both teams’ solid defensive performances. Furthermore, it appears unlikely that both teams will score, which is also reflected in the forecasts.

The “value bet” would be on over 3.5 goals in the match. This may go against the overall expected trend for the game, but considering the recent offensive performances of both teams, such a scenario could materialize.

Overall, if these predictions prove to be correct, bettors could not only end the day with a profit but also enjoy an exciting football match between Cuiaba and Fortaleza EC.

It is important to emphasize that football is an unpredictable sport, so all bets should be placed wisely. Good luck!