Tipps Cuiaba Sao Paulo Serie A 06/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Sao Paulo SP wins the match

1. Sao Paulo SP has a higher offensive potential than Cuiaba, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match compared to 0.4 goals per match for Cuiabá.
2. Sao Paulo SP and Cuiaba have the same defensive potential at 36%, therefore indicating that Sao Paulo SP, with its higher offensive potential, has a better chance of winning.
3. São Paulo SP has a success probability of 37.02% to win the match, which is higher than Cuiaba’s probabilities (32.04%) to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The recent performances of both teams indicate a trend towards low-scoring matches. For example, Cuiaba has scored only 4 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Sao Paulo SP has scored only 2 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The average goals per match suggest a low probability of a high-scoring game. Cuiaba has an average of 0.4 goals scored per home match, while Sao Paulo SP has an average of 1.2 goals scored per away match.

3. Both teams have a weak offensive potential, 14% for Cuiaba and 43% for Sao Paulo. Furthermore, the probability of both teams not scoring is 55.25%, reinforcing the idea of a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The low ratio of goals scored by both teams in the last 5 matches indicates that the attacks are struggling. Cuiaba has only scored 4 goals at home and Sao Paulo SP just 2 goals away, suggesting a lack of offensive strength.

2. The offensive potential of Cuiaba is exceptionally low at home (14%) and Sao Paulo SP’s away is not much higher (43%). Once again, this shows that the teams are finding it hard to score goals, which could mean that one or both teams might not score.

3. The recent matches of these two teams also show low scores. For example, in the last five home matches of Cuiaba, three ended in a 0-0 draw and two in a 1-2 defeat. Additionally, for Sao Paulo SP away, three out of their last five matches also ended in a 0-0 draw.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Cuiaba 1-1 Sao Paulo SP

1. Recent statistics show many similarities between the two teams. They both have a win ratio of 20%, a draw rate of 40%, and a defensive capability of 36%, which could indicate a balanced match and potentially a draw.

2. Analysis of their recent matches reveals a clear trend towards low scores. At home, Cuiaba averages 0.4 goals per match, while São Paulo scores an average of 1.2 goals per match away. Moreover, the higher probability is for under 3.5 goals in the match, making a 1-1 scoreline plausible.

3. The displayed betting probabilities also favor a tight match, with a draw having a success probability of 30.94% and odds of 3.10. Furthermore, the “Both teams to score” bet has a reasonable success probability at 44.75%, suggesting a fair chance for each team to score a goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cuiaba, at home, is far from convincing with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. Their offensive performances are also modest with just 0.4 goals per match.

Sao Paulo SP, playing away, has a similar record with also a 20% win rate. However, their offensive performance is better with 1.2 goals per match.

Both teams usually struggle to find the back of the net, as indicated by a 55.25% probability that both teams will not score.

The odds slightly favor Sao Paulo SP with a 37.02% chance of winning compared to Cuiaba’s 32.04%.

Taking recent performances into account, a draw or a Sao Paulo SP win seems likely, supported by a success probability of 67.96%.

The match also looks to be low-scoring with a 96.69% probability of under 3.5 goals.

Therefore, the prediction could lean towards a draw or a Sao Paulo SP victory with under 3.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Analysis of the Cuiaba vs Sao Paulo SP match on October 6, 2024:

Cuiaba, at home, has shown mixed performance. With 20% wins and 40% draws, Cuiaba has scored 4 goals and conceded 6 in 5 matches. The offensive potential is low: 0.4 goals per match and a success rate of 14%. The defense is not very efficient with an average of 1 goal conceded per match and a defensive potential of 36%.

Sao Paulo SP, playing away, has a similar record with 20% wins and 40% draws. The visitors have scored 2 goals and conceded 4. Sao Paulo SP has better attacking performances with an average of 1.2 goals per match (43% success rate) and 1 goal conceded per match (36% success rate in defense).

The odds indicate a Sao Paulo SP victory (37.02%). A draw or a Sao Paulo SP win is likely at 67.96%. A match with less than 3.5 goals is very probable (96.69%). Both teams are more likely (55.25%) not to score.

Conclusion: A probably defensive match with a slight advantage for Sao Paulo SP.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of recent data from both teams shows that the match between Cuiaba and Sao Paulo SP could be tight and defensive. With limited offensive capabilities from both teams, the match could end with fewer than 2.5 goals overall. The probabilities also suggest that both teams may not score.

Taking all this information into account, it is likely that the match will end in favor of Sao Paulo SP, who has a slight edge, or perhaps in a draw, given the close performance statistics of the two clubs. Therefore, a safe bet would be to wager on a match with fewer than 3.5 goals and a victory for São Paulo SP or a draw.

Although this is a thorough analysis based on data, it is important to emphasize that in sports betting, nothing is ever certain. Several non-quantifiable factors may come into play, so it is always recommended to bet with caution and responsibility.