Tipps Cumbayá Emelec Liga Pro 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Emelec wins the match”

1. Emelec’s offensive potential is significantly higher than Cumbayá’s in the last 5 matches. Emelec has scored an average of 1.4 goals per game, compared to just 0.6 for Cumbayá.

2. Emelec’s away win percentage is higher than Cumbayá’s home win percentage. In their last 5 matches, Emelec has won 40% of the games, compared to only 20% for Cumbayá.

3. The success probability statistics favor Emelec. The probability of Emelec winning the match is 45.51% compared to only 20.36% for Cumbayá.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent Score History: The recent performances of Cumbayá at home and Emelec away suggest a generally low number of goals. Cumbayá has scored a total of 4 goals and conceded 4 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Emelec has scored 5 and conceded 6 goals in 5 away matches.

2. Average Goals per Match: In their last 5 matches, Cumbayá has an average of 0.6 goals scored per match and concedes an average of 2 goals per match. On the other hand, Emelec scores an average of 1.4 goals per match and concedes 0.8. These averages suggest that there is little chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the game.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Cumbayá has a home offensive potential of only 21%, while their defenses appear stronger with a potential of 71%. Similarly, Emelec has an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 29%. These statistics suggest that both teams are more likely to be involved in a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Cumbayá has a relatively low offensive potential, only 21%, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per home match. This suggests that they might struggle to score against Emelec.
2. Emelec has a strong defensive potential of 71% away from home, conceding on average only 0.8 goals per match. This indicates that they are capable of keeping a clean sheet against a team with low offensive potential like Cumbayá.
3. Based on Cumbayá’s last five home matches, it can be seen that they have scored at least one goal each time. However, they have never managed to score more than one goal in those matches, which further supports the idea that they might struggle to score against Emelec.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Cumbayá 1-2 Emelec

1. Recent statistics indicate Emelec’s superiority, both in terms of away wins and goals scored. With a 40% win rate in their away matches and an average of 1.4 goals scored per game, Emelec has an offensive performance superior to Cumbayá at home.

2. Cumbayá has shown some weakness in defense, with an average of 2 goals conceded per home match, and has only won one of their last 5 home games.

3. Bookmakers’ odds also favor Emelec, with a 45.51% chance of winning, higher than Cumbayá’s, and lower odds indicating they are the favorites. Likewise, the probabilities suggest a high chance (61.68%) of there being over 1.5 goals in the match, pointing towards a high-scoring game.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cumbayá struggles to win at home, with 80% of matches ending in draws and 20% in victories. They have recently scored and conceded 4 goals each, suggesting not much offensive potential but rather solid defensively.

Emelec, on the other hand, has a better away record with a 40% win rate. Despite conceding more goals (6), they have scored 5. They seem to be more offensive but also more vulnerable defensively.

In terms of predictions, Emelec has a 45.51% chance of winning, higher than Cumbayá’s 20.36%. A draw is likely at 34.13%. Low scores are expected, with a high probability of less than 3.5 goals (82.04%).

Past performances indicate that Cumbayá has lost 4 of their last 5 home matches. Emelec has a better away record, winning 2, losing 2, and drawing 1.

In summary, Emelec appears to have the upper hand with a possibility of low-scoring matches.

The potential number of goals

By analyzing the last five matches of Cumbayá, this team has a low offensive capability of 21% with only 4 goals scored. Their defense appears to be a bit stronger with a 71% potential.

Emelec, on the other hand, has a more efficient attack when playing away, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match with a 50% offensive rate. Their defense is strong, conceding only 0.8 goals on average.

In the last five home matches of Cumbayá, only one match resulted in a victory. Emelec, in their last five away matches, has won two victories.

Predictions suggest that Emelec has a higher probability of winning with 45.51%, while Cumbayá has a victory probability of 20.36%.

For the number of goals, a total of less than 3.5 goals in the match has a high probability of 82.04%. Therefore, the option of betting on less than 3.5 goals may be favorable.

Based on this information, Emelec appears to be stronger, but caution, as every match is unique.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis of recent statistics, past performances, and the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, it appears that Emelec is more likely to win the match. However, the number of goals in the match could be rather low, with a high probability of less than 3.5 goals. Although the prediction is a 2-1 victory for Emelec, it is crucial to remember that every football match is unpredictable, and it is always important to bet responsibly. Ultimately, football remains a sport full of surprises, where anything can happen on the pitch. By taking all this information into account and exercising caution in your bets, you can maximize your chances of winning. Good luck!