Tipps Cumbayá Imbabura Liga Pro 03/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Imbabura wins the match

1. Imbabura has a better offensive potential than Cumbayá: In their last 5 matches, Imbabura has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match while Cumbayá has only scored an average of 0.6 goals per match. Additionally, stats indicate that Imbabura has a 47.67% probability of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Cumbayá’s success rate of 22.8%.

2. Imbabura has conceded fewer goals than Cumbayá in their last 5 away matches: Despite playing away, Imbabura has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match while Cumbayá has conceded an average of 2 goals per match at home. This shows that Imbabura’s defense is more solid and resilient.

3. Match history: Statistics from the last away matches played show that Imbabura has managed to draw in 80% of cases. This indicates that they are competitive even when playing away. In comparison, Cumbayá only manages to win in 40% of cases when playing at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics show that Cumbayá averages only 0.6 goals per home match while Imbabura averages 0.8 goals per away match, suggesting a clear trend towards low-scoring games.
2. In their respective last 5 matches, Cumbayá scored 4 goals and Imbabura scored 6. These relatively low numbers indicate a weak scoring ability for both teams, increasing the likelihood of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.
3. Recent matches for Cumbayá at home and Imbabura away have consistently shown low scores: out of the last 5 matches, 3 of Cumbayá’s matches had fewer than 2.5 goals, while 4 of Imbabura’s matches had fewer than 2.5 goals. Furthermore, the probability of having fewer than 2.5 goals in the match is assessed at a success rate of 80.83%, which is significantly high.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Performance history: Both Cumbayá and Imbabura have shown an ability to score in their recent matches, as evidenced by their last encounters. Cumbayá has scored in 80% of its last 5 home matches, and Imbabura has scored in all of its last 5 away matches.

2. Required offensive potential: The offensive potentials of Cumbayá (21%) and Imbabura (29%) demonstrate that both teams are capable of scoring goals, even if their success rate is not very high. In addition, they have shown defensive weaknesses, with higher defense percentages, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. Statistical probability: The prediction “Both teams to score” has a statistical success probability of 52.33%, which is higher than that of “Both teams not to score” (47.67%). This prediction is therefore the most likely based on the provided statistics.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

“Cumbayá 1-1 Imbabura” would be directly translated to “Cumbayá 1-1 Imbabura”.

1. The draw percentage: both teams show a tendency to draw, with Cumbayá having a 60% draw rate at home and Imbabura with an impressive 80% draw rate in away matches. These statistics indicate a high probability of another draw.

2. Average goals scored and conceded: Cumbayá averages 0.6 goals scored per home match and concedes 2 goals, while Imbabura scores 0.8 goals per away match and concedes 1.6. These numbers strongly suggest a low-scoring match, making a 1-1 result even more likely.

3. Goal statistics in the match: The highest probability (80.83%) is for less than 3.5 goals in the match, indicating that the match is likely to have a low goal count. This combines with the probability of both teams scoring (52.33%), giving a strong chance for the score of 1-1 based on these odds.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cumbayá, at home, won 40% of their last 5 matches. There were 60% draws. They scored 4 times and conceded the same number. Imbabura, away, hasn’t won recently, with 80% draws. They scored 6 and conceded 7 goals.

On average, Cumbayá only scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 2. Offensively, they are at 21% and defensively at 71%. In contrast, Imbabura scores 0.8 goals per match. They concede 1.6. Their offensive potential is 29% and defensive potential is 57%.

The probabilities for this match are as follows: Cumbayá wins – 22.8%, draw – 29.53%, Imbabura wins – 47.67%. Less than 1.5 goals: 2.75. More than 1.5 goals – 72.54%, which seems probable.

Looking at their recent matches, Cumbayá has shown defensive potential despite unfavorable scores. Imbabura is consistent with mostly draws.

Therefore, a plausible prediction would be a draw or an Imbabura win with less than 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Cumbayá is rather defensive at home with 4 goals scored and 4 conceded in 5 matches. Their offensive capability is low at 21%, but they defend well with a defensive potential of 71%.

Imbabura struggles away from home. No wins in the last 5 matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. Their offensive potential is higher at 29%, but their defense is less solid at 57%.

There is a 47.67% chance that Imbabura will win, but also a 29.53% chance of a draw. However, Cumbayá looks strong at home, so there is a 52.33% probability that at least one draw or a Cumbayá win will occur.

In terms of goals, there is a high probability of seeing less than 3.5 goals in the match (80.83%). More than 1.5 goals in the match also have a strong chance at 72.54%.

In scoring terms, there are almost equal chances that both teams will score (52.33%) or not (47.67%).

Based on the statistics, a low-scoring match could be expected, with a possible surprise win or draw for Cumbayá at home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Cumbayá and Imbabura promises to be highly strategic. The statistics and analysis point towards a potential victory for Imbabura or a draw, with less than 2.5 total goals in the match. Both teams have shown weakness in attack but strong defensive resilience, so betting on a low number of goals is recommended. Despite favorable predictions for Imbabura, it’s important to note that Cumbayá could surprise, given their strong home performance. Therefore, for those seeking an interesting value bet, a wager on a draw would be a lucrative option to consider. Overall, as predictions are based on past statistics, it’s crucial to take into account any unforeseen changes when placing bets.