Tipps Cumbayá Libertad Liga Pro 17/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the analysis of the data provided, it appears that Cumbayá has a better performance at home with a higher offensive potential than Libertad away. Therefore, my prediction would be: Cumbayá wins the match.

1. Home win statistics: Recent data shows a better performance of Cumbayá at home compared to Libertad away. Cumbayá has a 40% win rate at home, while Libertad has not won any of their last 5 away matches.
2. Offensive potential: Cumbayá has a 21% offensive potential at home compared to Libertad’s 14% during their away matches. This difference indicates a higher likelihood of Cumbayá scoring more goals.
3. Defensive security: Despite conceding more goals (1.4 on average per match) than Libertad (1.6 on average per match), Cumbayá’s goals scored/conceded ratio remains better. Indeed, Cumbayá at home manages to score more goals than they concede, while this is not the case for Libertad away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Statistically low goals scored: By analyzing the performances of both teams in their last 5 matches, it is evident that Cumbayá scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and Libertad scores 0.4 goals. The total number of goals scored is quite low, predicting a match with under 2.5 goals.

2. Low offensive potential of both teams: Cumbayá has an offensive potential of 21% and Libertad’s is 14%. These figures reflect the weak ability of both teams to score goals, further supporting the prediction of a match with under 2.5 goals.

3. Strong previous defensive performances: In their last 5 matches, Cumbayá has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Libertad has conceded 1.6 goals. These numbers show that both teams have a solid defense, reducing the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics of both teams show a notable weakness in terms of attack. On average, Cumbayá scores 0.6 goals per match at home, while Libertad scores even less, with only 0.4 goals away. This is a clear indication that both teams struggle to score and could potentially result in one or even both teams failing to score during the match.

2. In their respective last five matches, Cumbayá and Libertad have shown a trend of being involved in low-scoring games. Some of these matches have also seen one or both teams failing to score at all. For example, in Libertad’s last away match against Independiente del Valle where the final score was 3-0, Libertad failed to score. This suggests that it is possible for one or both teams not to score in the upcoming match.

3. The defensive potential of both teams is relatively high, with Cumbayá having a 50% defensive potential at home and Libertad with a 57% defensive potential away. These figures suggest that both teams are capable of withstanding offensive pressure, which could prevent either team from scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

“Cumbayá 1-1 Libertad” is translated to “Cumbayá 1-1 Libertad” in English.

1. The statistics for Cumbayá’s home matches show a strong tendency to draw, with 60% of their last 5 matches ending in draws. Additionally, they have scored at least one goal in 80% of these matches.

2. Libertad’s away performances are relatively poor, with 0% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. They have also managed to score at least one goal in 40% of these matches.

3. Both teams have been scoring and conceding goals at a similar rate, with an average of 0.6 and 0.4 goals per match for Cumbayá and Libertad, respectively. Their respective defenses have also been conceding between 1.4 and 1.6 goals per match on average, so this could lead to a relatively balanced match and possibly a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cumbayá is showing good form at home. 40% wins, 60% draws. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 in 5 home matches.

On the other hand, Libertad hasn’t performed well away. Zero wins, 40% draws. 3 goals scored, 4 conceded in 5 away games.

In terms of stats, Cumbayá averages 0.6 goals scored per match and concedes 1.4 goals. Their offensive potential is 21% and defensive is 50%.

Libertad, when playing away, averages 0.4 goals scored per match and concedes 1.6 goals. Offensive potential is 14% and defensive is 57%.

These stats do not lead to specific probabilities for the winning prediction.

However, it is expected – with 100% certainty – that there will be fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals.

Furthermore, there is no indication that both teams will score. There is a 100% probability that this will not happen.

In summary, the match seems to favor Cumbayá. A low-scoring game is expected, typically less than 3.5 goals. Both teams are unlikely to score.

The potential number of goals

Let’s analyze the past scores of each team: Cumbayá and Libertad.

Cumbayá, playing at home, has won 40% of their last 5 matches. They have drawn in 60% of the cases. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6. Therefore, their average is 0.6 goals per match and they concede on average 1.4 goals. Their offensive potential is 21% and defensive potential is 50%.

On the other hand, Libertad, away, has not won any of their last 5 matches. They have drawn 40% of the time, scored 3 goals, conceded 4. On average, they score 0.4 goals and concede 1.6 goals. Their offensive potential is 14% and defensive potential is 57%.

There is no clear established probability on who will win the match – either Cumbayá, Libertad, or a draw. However, the probability that both teams will not score is 100%.

So, the key takeaway from these statistics is that there is a high likelihood that both teams will fail to score during the upcoming match. Additionally, there is a strong chance that the match will not exceed 4.5 goals.

Keep monitoring the performance of both teams for a more accurate prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, in light of all these factors, here are my predictions: Cumbayá should win the match, the total number of goals should be less than 2.5, and I do not expect both teams to score. Of course, as always in sports betting, nothing is 100% certain, so it is recommended to exercise caution and bet responsibly. I advise you to closely monitor the performance of both teams to be able to adjust your bets if necessary. Good luck!