Tipps Cumbayá Tecnico Universitario Liga Pro 06/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Tecnico Universitario wins the match.

1. Recent Statistics: In their last 5 respective matches, Cumbayá has not lost at home while Tecnico Universitario has struggled away. This supports the prediction of a draw or a Tecnico Universitario victory.

2. Defensive and Offensive Potential: Tecnico Universitario has a higher offensive potential and slightly superior defensive potential compared to Cumbayá. This could give Tecnico Universitario a slight edge to win the match or at least secure a draw.

3. Success Probability: The prediction “Draw or Tecnico Universitario wins the match” has a success probability of 100%, the highest among all the given predictions. This indicates that the odds are strongly in favor of this prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The past performances of both teams show a low cumulative average of goals per match, with Cumbayá scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 0.8 goals per match, while Tecnico Universitario has scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 1.8 goals per match, indicating a total goals expectation of under 2.5.

2. In the last 5 matches, Cumbayá has only scored 3 goals and Tecnico Universitario has scored 4 goals, highlighting their struggle to find the back of the net, further supporting the prediction of less than 2.5 goals.

3. The odds for the bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are quite high (1.47), suggesting that bookmakers also believe it is more likely for the match to end with fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The defensive performances of both teams are quite high, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match for Cumbayá and 1.8 goals for Tecnico Universitario. It is therefore likely that each team will be able to set up an effective defense and limit the opponent’s scoring opportunities.

2. Previous matches of Cumbayá at home show a trend where typically only one goal is scored in the game by either Cumbayá or their opponent, indicating a low probability of both teams scoring during the match.

3. Tecnico Universitario’s offensive potential away from home is only 36%, indicating their ability to score goals in away matches is weaker. Additionally, the 50% success rate for both teams not scoring reinforces the idea that Tecnico Universitario may struggle to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Cumbayá 1-1 Tecnico Universitario.

1. Cumbayá has shown solid defensive statistics in their recent home matches, conceding only 0.6 goals on average, suggesting they are likely to limit Tecnico Universitario to just one goal.

2. Tecnico Universitario has a goals scored ratio of 1 in their latest away matches, further reinforcing the idea that they could score a goal against Cumbayá.

3. The historical scores between these two teams and the odds suggest a 50% probability of a draw, which is quite high. Given the recent performances of both teams, a 1-1 scoreline seems very plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cumbayá has a solid defense at home, having conceded only 3 goals in 5 matches. However, their offensive potential is limited (0.6 goals on average). In their last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss.

Tecnico Universitario struggles away from home: only one win in 5 attempts. With 5 goals conceded, their defense seems fragile, although their attack appears more incisive (1 goal on average).

The prediction is tight: a 50% probability for a draw or a Tecnico Universitario win. Despite Cumbayá’s low offensive potential, the probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match is 100%.

Recent encounters between the two teams do not suggest a very open match. Therefore, under 2.5 goals (odds at 1.47) is a safe bet. As for the possibility of both teams scoring, the probability is 50%.

In conclusion, this match seems likely to have a low number of goals, with uncertainty between a draw and a Tecnico Universitario win.

The potential number of goals

Cumbayá has shown a fairly good performance at home recently, winning 60% of their matches. However, their offense is weak with an average of 0.6 goals per match and a defensive capability of 29%.

Tecnico Universitario, despite a low 20% win rate away, has a higher offensive capability at 36% and scores an average of 1 goal per match. Their defense remains precarious with a 64% rate.

Forecasts suggest a draw or a 100% win for Tecnico Universitario. The match could be low-scoring, with a reliable prediction (>1.5 goals) at a 100% probability. Both teams not scoring has a 50% probability.

Taking these factors into account, a safe bet would be “draw or Tecnico Universitario wins the match”, with of course less than 2.5 goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the comprehensive analysis of past performances, statistics, and probabilities, it appears that the match between Cumbayá and Tecnico Universitario is expected to be closely contested. Recent home stats of Cumbayá and away stats of Tecnico Universitario point towards a tight encounter. The match could end in a draw, given Cumbayá’s limited offensive potential and Tecnico Universitario’s struggles away from home.

Furthermore, considering the low number of goals scored by both teams in their previous matches, it is advisable to bet on under 2.5 goals for this match. The dominant probability suggests that both teams may struggle to find the back of the net in this encounter.

The safest betting option would therefore be “Draw or Tecnico Universitario to win the match” with under 2.5 total goals scored. This is the key takeaway for bettors looking to place a thoughtful wager on this Liga Pro match.