Tipps Daegu FC Gwangju FC K League 1 21/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Gwangju FC wins the match

1. The statistical probability of winning: According to probabilistic calculations, Gwangju FC wins the match with a success probability of 42.39%. This is higher than that of Daegu FC, which stands at 30.43%.

2. Defensive performance: Gwangju FC has a better defensive potential of 43% compared to Daegu FC’s 57%. Although Gwangju FC has scored fewer goals on average, they have also conceded fewer goals, making their defense stronger.

3. Past results: In their last 5 away matches, Gwangju FC has won twice, while Daegu FC has only won twice at home as well. This demonstrates Gwangju’s ability to achieve results away from home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics for both teams show that they do not score many goals. Daegu FC averages 1 goal per home match, while Gwangju FC averages 0.6 goals per away match.
2. Furthermore, the defenses of both teams seem quite solid, with Daegu FC conceding an average of 1.6 goals per home match and Gwangju FC conceding an average of 1.2 goals per away match.
3. Finally, an examination of the last five home matches for Daegu FC and the last five away matches for Gwangju FC reveals that the majority of these games have produced less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of the last matches of both teams indicate that they both have relatively high offensive and defensive potential. Daegu FC scored 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Gwangju FC scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Daegu FC has a 36% offensive potential at home and a 57% defensive potential. This indicates that Daegu FC is likely to score, but also to concede a goal. Similarly, Gwangju FC has a 21% offensive potential and a 43% defensive potential in their away matches, suggesting that they are likely to score and concede a goal.

3. By examining the scores of Daegu FC’s recent home matches, it can be seen that in 4 out of 5 matches, both teams scored. Likewise, by looking at the scores of Gwangju FC’s recent away matches, it can be observed that in 3 out of 5 matches, both teams scored.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Daegu FC wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Daegu FC 1-1 Gwangju FC

1. Average goals scored and conceded: Analyzing the performances of both teams in their last 5 matches, Daegu FC has an average of 1 goal scored per match and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match. On the other hand, Gwangju FC has an average of 0.6 goals scored per match and concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match. These statistics suggest that both teams could potentially score 1 goal each if they maintain their performance averages.

2. Draw potential: The odds for victory for Daegu FC and Gwangju FC are relatively evenly matched, with a slight edge for Gwangju FC (42.39% versus 30.43%). However, the percentage of a draw is 27.17%, which is not insignificant. Considering this ratio, it can be suggested that a draw is a conceivable outcome for this match.

3. Recent match history: Daegu FC has secured two draws in their last five home matches, increasing the likelihood of another draw against Gwangju FC. On the other hand, while Gwangju FC has not recorded any draws in their last five away matches, they have achieved victories and losses, showing they can compete against their opponents even when playing away.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Daegu FC has had average performances at home, winning 40% of their matches. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 10. On the other side, Gwangju FC has also won 40% of their away matches, scoring only 5 goals but conceding fewer with 7 goals.

Daegu FC has shown an average of 1 goal per home match and a defensive weakness by conceding 1.6 goals per match. Gwangju FC’s offense away from home has been stifled, producing only 0.6 goals per match.

The odds favor Gwangju FC with a 42.39% chance of winning, while Daegu FC has a probability of only 30.43%. Even though the chances of a draw are at 27.17%, a victory for Gwangju FC seems more likely.

There is a high probability of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals in the match with an 85.33% chance. Both teams could score according to the odds, with a probability of 57.07%.

Looking at recent home matches for Daegu FC, they have shown a balanced trend for wins, draws, and losses. Similarly for Gwangju FC away from home, with a trend for wins but also some losses.

Overall, this match seems to be competitive with a likely low goal count. A favorable prediction would be a win for Gwangju FC or a match with fewer than 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Daegu FC, at home, scores 1 goal per match and concedes 1.6 on average. This indicates an offensive capability of 36% and a defensive capability of 57%. Conversely, Gwangju FC, away from home, scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 1.2. Its offensive potential is 21% and defensive potential is 43%.

In their last 5 matches, Daegu FC has won 40% of the time, and Gwangju FC also has a 40% win rate. However, Daegu FC has drawn 20% of the time. In terms of goals, Daegu FC has scored more than Gwangju FC, 8 against 5.

In terms of probabilities, Gwangju FC has a higher probability of winning the match at 42.39%. The likelihood of a draw or a Gwangju FC victory is also higher at 69.57%. As for the number of goals, the match could end with over 1.5 goals given the high probability of 77.17%.

Based on recent performances, Daegu FC seems more likely to score at home and especially against Gwangju FC, which is less successful away from home. Both teams to score could also be an interesting option with a success probability of 57.07%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the statistics and analyses presented in this article, several factors point towards a victory for Gwangju FC or a draw. Their probabilistic win rate of 42.39% combined with their strong defensive performance make Gwangju FC a solid bet for this K League 1 match.

However, the calculations do not predict a high-scoring encounter in terms of the number of goals. The data indeed suggests a total of less than 2.5 goals in this match, mainly due to the low average number of goals scored by both teams.

Furthermore, it is also plausible that both teams will score in this match. With relatively high offensive and defensive probabilities for both teams, there is a chance that they will both manage to score.

For a value bet, the option “Draw or Daegu FC to win the match” seems to be the most interesting choice considering the previous performances of both teams and their respective probabilities.

In summary, although the final prediction will depend on many changing and unpredictable factors, the information presented here provides a solid foundation to help decide on what to bet on in this match between Daegu FC and Gwangju FC.