Tipps Daegu FC Incheon United K League 1 31/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Daegu FC wins the match.

1. Daegu FC’s offensive potential at home is 43% compared to only 21% for Incheon United away, meaning Daegu FC has a higher likelihood of scoring goals.
2. The likelihood of Daegu FC winning or drawing is 67.69% according to success probability statistics, which is higher than the victory percentage for Incheon United.
3. Daegu FC’s recent home results show an ability to achieve positive outcomes against Incheon United (Daegu FC 0 – 0 Incheon United). Additionally, Daegu FC has managed to score 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, demonstrating some offensive strength at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The teams have had relatively low scores in their previous matches, with Daegu FC averaging 1.2 goals per home match and Incheon United averaging 0.6 goals per away match. This could indicate a match with a total number of goals below 2.5.
2. The defense of both teams seems quite solid, with Daegu FC conceding an average of 0.8 goals per home match and Incheon United conceding an average of 1.6 goals per away match. A low number of goals conceded also suggests a low-scoring match.
3. Probability figures also show a high likelihood (79.49%) of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, further reinforcing the possibility of the match ending with less than 2.5 total goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Incheon United’s poor offensive potential: With an offensive potential of 21%, Incheon United does not excel in terms of scoring goals away from home, according to their recent performance.
2. Daegu FC’s high defensive potential: Daegu FC’s defensive power at home is 29%, which may partly explain why they have conceded fewer goals on average per game. This could help them keep a clean sheet.
3. Recent encounters between the two teams: In their last home match against Incheon United, Daegu FC played to a 0-0 draw. This trend could repeat itself, with neither side able to score goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Incheon United wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Daegu FC 1-1 Incheon United

1. Daegu FC and Incheon United drew 0-0 in their last meeting at Daegu FC’s home, indicating a certain level of balance between these two teams when they face each other.

2. The home statistics of Daegu FC and the away statistics of Incheon United show goal averages scored and conceded that could justify a 1-1 scoreline. In particular, Daegu FC has an average of 1.2 goals scored per home match, while Incheon United has an average of 1.6 goals conceded per away match.

3. The probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match is higher (at 1.72) compared to that of more than 2.5 goals in the match (at 2.05), further supporting the idea that a 1-1 scoreline could be a plausible outcome of this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Translation:
”
Daegu FC, at home in their last 5 matches, have shown a weak performance. They have only 20% wins and 20% draws. They scored 7 goals and conceded 10. Offensive potential of 43%, defensive of 29%.

Incheon United, when playing away, have performed better with 40% wins and 20% draws. They scored 4 goals and conceded the same. Offensive potential of 21%, defensive of 57%.

Looking at the probabilities, Daegu FC has a 40% chance of winning, Incheon United 32.31%. The draw stands at 27.69%.

Betting odds suggest less than 4.5 goals in the match with a probability of 94.36%. Both teams to score is at 47.69% and both teams not to score at 52.31%.

Reviewing their recent matches, Daegu FC has had varied scores at home, while Incheon United has shown some consistency away.

In conclusion, this match seems to favor Incheon United based on their recent form. However, Daegu FC’s offensive potential at home could lead to a surprise. In terms of goals, a low-scoring match is likely.”

The potential number of goals

Daegu FC, in 5 matches, is struggling a bit at home: 20% wins, 20% draws, 7 goals scored, 10 goals conceded. They need to work on their defense. Incheon United is performing better away: 40% wins, 20% draws, 4 goals scored and conceded. Balanced.

On average, Daegu FC scores 1.2 goals per home match and concedes 0.8. Offensive potential at 43%, defensive at 29%. Incheon United, away from home, is less attacking: averages 0.6 goals per match but concedes only 1.6. Offensive potential at 21% and defensive at 57%.

The odds indicate a 40% probability of Daegu FC winning: odds at 2.35. Tempting. For a draw, there is a 27.69% chance: odds at 3.20.

Regarding goals, a close match is expected: over 1.5 goals have a 69.23% probability with odds at 1.33. Even less risky, under 3.5 goals: 79.49% chance and odds at 1.25.

Ultimately, based on the stats and odds, the safest choice seems to be a match with under 3.5 goals. But football is full of surprises…

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Daegu FC and Incheon United offers an interesting blend of statistics and probabilities. While Daegu FC seems to have an offensive advantage at home, Incheon United should not be underestimated as they have shown strong performances away. However, the statistics point towards a low-scoring match with a high likelihood of under 2.5 goals. The safest bet based on this data would be on a match with under 3.5 goals, but there is always the potential for surprises in football. Betting on Incheon United to win presents an intriguing value bet, considering their away performance and high odds. Ultimately, the outcome of the match will largely depend on Daegu FC’s ability to capitalize on their offensive potential at home and Incheon United’s solid defense away.