Tipps Daejeon Citizen Incheon United K League 1 17/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Incheon United wins the match

1. Incheon United has a better away win success rate in their last 5 matches compared to Daejeon Citizen at home, with 40% and 20% respectively.
2. The team Incheon United shows a better defense, conceding fewer goals in the last 5 matches than their opponent Daejeon Citizen (4 goals against 7 goals).
3. The calculation of success probabilities gives a clear advantage to Incheon United with a probability of winning the match assessed at 35.45% compared to 31.22% for Daejeon Citizen.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Considering the recent performances of both teams, Daejeon Citizen has scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 1.4 goals, while Incheon United has scored an average of 0.8 goals and conceded 1.2 goals. This indicates a low offensive productivity on both sides combined with some defensive solidity, favoring a low total number of goals.

2. Looking at the statistics of the recent matches, it is noticeable that many matches have ended with a low score. For example, in the last 5 away matches of Incheon United, the total number of goals has never exceeded 2 goals.

3. The “Under 2.5 goals in the match” option has a significant success probability compared to other available options. With odds of 1.70, it therefore represents a reasonable choice for a bettor, considering the probabilities and the performances of both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The recent performances of both teams show that they both have the ability to score goals. Daejeon Citizen has scored at least 1 goal in 80% of their last 5 home matches, and Incheon United has scored in 60% of their last 5 away matches.

2. Daejeon Citizen has an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Incheon United has an average of 0.8 goals away. Both teams also have defensive percentages that are not the strongest, with 50% and 43% respectively.

3. The probability percentage of both teams scoring is 55.56%, which is higher than the probability of them not scoring (44.44%). This statistic supports the hypothesis that both teams are likely to score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Incheon United wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Incheon United

1. The recent performances of both teams: At home, Daejeon Citizen has won 20% and drawn 40% of their last 5 matches, while Incheon United has won 40% and drawn 20% of their last 5 away matches. These statistics indicate a certain parity between the two teams, reinforcing the likelihood of a draw.

2. Goal statistics: Daejeon Citizen at home scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 1.4 goals in their last 5 matches, while Incheon United away scores an average of 0.8 goals and concedes 1.2 goals. These statistics show a balance in terms of the offensive and defensive potential of each team, which could favor the possibility of a 1-1 scoreline.

3. Available betting probabilities: The probabilities indicate a draw at 33.33% and both teams to score at 55.56%. Considering this information, an exact score of 1-1 appears to be a wise choice for a bet.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Daejeon Citizen is struggling at home, with one win in 5 and 2 draws. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their offensive potential is at 43% and their defense at 50%.

Incheon United, on the other hand, is in better form away from home with 2 wins in 5 and a draw. They have scored fewer goals, 3, but have also conceded fewer, 4. This gives them an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their offensive potential stands at 29% and their defense at 43%.

In terms of probabilities, a close match is expected: 31.22% for Daejeon, 33.33% for a draw, and 35.45% for Incheon. The bet “Daejeon or draw” has a success rate probability of 64.55%. The bet “Incheon or draw” sits at 68.78%.

Regarding goals, it is more likely that there will be fewer than 1.5 goals (odds of 3), but more than 1.5 goals is given a probability of 71.43%. The option “both teams to score” has a 55.56% probability.

In conclusion, the outcome of the match is uncertain, with the teams being quite evenly matched. A safe bet could be “under 2.5 goals in the match” (odds at 1.70) considering the offensive statistics of both teams.

The potential number of goals

Daejeon Citizen has a mixed performance record at home, with a victory in 20% of cases and a draw in 40%. The club has scored 6 goals but also conceded 7 goals. Their offensive potential is at 43% and defensive potential at 50%.

On the other hand, Incheon United achieves a 40% victory rate in their away matches, winning less than half of their games. With 3 goals scored and 4 conceded, their offensive potential is at 29% and defensive potential at 43%.

The probabilities indicate a match with few goals. The forecast of “under 3.5 goals in the match” has an 83.6% chance of success. Furthermore, the forecast of “over 1.5 goals in the match” is also interesting at 71.43%. The results for “both teams to score” are more uncertain, with a probability of 55.56%.

In the probability ranking, Incheon United has slightly higher chances of winning the match with 35.45%. However, the most probable scenario would be a draw or Incheon United winning with a 68.78% probability.

In conclusion, this match could be close with few goals and a slight advantage for Incheon United, but surprises remain possible.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the statistics, the match between Daejeon Citizen and Incheon United is expected to be tight and low-scoring. Despite a mixed performance at home, Daejeon Citizen could still cause an upset, but Incheon United has shown resilience away from home.

The safest prediction seems to be “under 2.5 goals in the match,” given the recent trend of low scores on both sides. Additionally, betting on “Incheon United to win or draw” provides a profitable opportunity for bettors, considering Incheon has shown a better ability to avoid defeat on the road.

However, football being unpredictable, it is always recommended to exercise caution when betting on sports. Make sure to bet responsibly and stay updated on the latest team news before kickoff.