Tipps DC United Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer 20/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atlanta United wins the match

1. Atlanta United shows a balanced offensive and defensive potential with an average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded per away match, demonstrating stability in their performances.
2. Atlanta United’s recent away matches display a positive trend with draw results and a victory, indicating the team’s ability to resist and score when playing away.
3. Based on the defined success probabilities, there is a higher likelihood (50%) of Atlanta United winning the match compared to DC United (30%). This, coupled with a 70% success probability for a draw or an Atlanta United victory, clearly favors Atlanta United.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent Match History: In DC United’s recent home matches, there have been a total of 13 goals in 5 games, averaging 2.6 goals per match. On the other hand, Atlanta United’s away games have seen a total of 7 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals per match. These numbers suggest a trend towards high-scoring matches.

2. Offensive and Defensive Performances: DC United scores an average of 1 goal per home match and concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match. Meanwhile, Atlanta United averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per away match. These stats indicate that both teams tend to both score and concede goals, potentially leading to a match with over 2.5 goals.

3. Odds and Probabilities: The odds for over 2.5 goals in the match are 1.47 with a 55% success probability. This suggests that bookmakers also believe it is more likely for the match to end with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have a knack for scoring goals in their respective matches – DC United has scored 8 goals in their last 5 home games, while Atlanta United has scored 4 goals in their last 5 away games.

2. However, neither team seems to have a solid defense. DC United has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home games, and Atlanta United has conceded 4 goals away in the same period.

3. Looking at the results of the teams’ previous matches, there have been several games where both teams have scored. For instance, 4 out of DC United’s last 5 home games have seen both teams score, while 2 out of Atlanta United’s last 5 away games have seen both teams score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Atlanta United wins the match: 3.30

Bet on the exact result

DC United 1-1 Atlanta United

1. The statistics of the latest matches of DC United and Atlanta United show a high frequency of draws, with 20% for DC United and 60% for Atlanta. The score of 1-1 remains one of the most common in football.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of each team suggests a balanced match. DC United averages 1 goal scored and 1.8 goals conceded per home match, while Atlanta United averages 1.4 goals scored and conceded per away match. These figures indicate that each team has the ability to score, but also to concede a goal.

3. The success probabilities for various match scenarios show a high probability for a final score of over 1.5 goals (80%) and for both teams to score (55%). These probabilities support the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

DC United is struggling at home, winning only once in their last 5 matches and conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Atlanta United, on the other hand, has shown strength away from home, losing only once in their last five matches, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per game.
This explains the predicted 50% win rate for Atlanta United, with tempting odds of 3.30.
It is also worth noting that there is a high 80% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.15.
Finally, the match history shows that both teams are capable of scoring, with a 55% probability priced at 1.42.
In conclusion, Atlanta seems better prepared for this match with a potential win, and one can expect both teams to score.

The potential number of goals

By analyzing these data, the observation is simple. DC United, despite being at home, shows an offensive weakness with only 8 goals scored in 5 matches. Furthermore, its defense seems fragile, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match.

On the other hand, Atlanta United has been more stable away from home, scoring as many goals as they have conceded, which is 4. With an offensive and defensive potential of 50%, they are neither too strong nor too weak.

Taking probabilities into account, Atlanta United has a higher chance of winning the match with odds of 3.30 for a probability of 50%. For less risk, one can opt for the bet “Draw or Atlanta United wins the match” with a probability of 70% and odds of 1.78.

Based on previous encounters, we can expect a match with “Over 1.5 goals in the match” which has an 80% chance of happening, with odds of 1.15.

Observing the recent matches, it appears that both teams score in the majority of cases. The bet “Both teams to score” with odds of 1.42 could therefore be interesting.

With this analysis, the match could very well end in favor of Atlanta United with at least one goal from each side.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistical analysis and recent performances of the teams, it appears more likely that Atlanta United will come out victorious in this match against DC United. At the same time, the offensive and defensive potential of both teams suggests a match in which both teams will score and the total number of goals would be over 2.5. A more specific bet on the exact score could lean towards a 1-1 draw, taking into account the teams’ tendency to produce draws.

That being said, sports betting remains an activity that involves risks, and it is essential that each bettor takes into account their own analysis and intuition before placing a bet. Always remember to bet responsibly.