Tipps DC United Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer 23/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or DC United wins the match.

1. Home vs Away performance: DC United has shown better performance at home compared to Houston Dynamo’s away performance, with a win rate of 20% for DC United against 20% for Houston Dynamo, and a draw rate of 20% against 40% for Houston Dynamo.

2. Offensive vs Defensive potential: DC United’s 36% offensive potential at home compares to Houston Dynamo’s 64% offensive potential away. But looking at defensive potential, DC United has a 64% defensive potential at home, which is higher than Houston Dynamo’s 57% defensive potential away.

3. Betting probabilities: The probability of the bet ‘Draw or DC United wins the match’ is 68.25% with odds of 1.47, which is higher than the bet ‘Houston Dynamo wins the match’ with a probability of 31.75% and odds of 2.85.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Based on current statistics, United DC and Houston Dynamo have shown a tendency to score goals, averaging 1 and 1.8 goals per match respectively.
2. Defensive performance analysis of both teams indicates they are likely to concede goals, with DC United conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match and Houston Dynamo 1.6.
3. Recent matches involving DC United and Houston Dynamo have tended to have at least 3 goals scored. Looking at their last five matches, most of their games have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent match statistics show that both teams have a strong offensive performance. DC United has scored a total of 8 goals in its last 5 home matches, while Houston Dynamo has scored a total of 7 goals in its last 5 away matches.

2. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses in their recent matches. DC United has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match in its last 5 home games, while Houston Dynamo has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match in its last 5 away games.

3. Analysis of past match history indicates that in their head-to-head meetings, both teams tend to score. Looking at the last 5 home matches of DC United and away matches of Houston Dynamo, both teams have scored goals in most of the games.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams to score – 58.73% probability of success: 1.65

Bet on the exact result

DC United 2-2 Houston Dynamo

1. Recent match history: Both teams have frequently had draws with identical scores in their recent matchups, namely 2-2. This is evidenced by the matches between DC United and Toronto as well as Philadelphia, and Houston Dynamo against Atlanta United and Portland Timbers.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Performance data shows that DC United has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 64%. On the other hand, Houston Dynamo has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 57%. This implies that both teams have a similar ability to score and concede goals, potentially leading to a draw.

3. Betting probabilities: There is a significant probability of 32.28% for a draw and an even higher probability of 58.73% for both teams to score. These probabilities, combined with the past performances of both teams, support the logic of a 2-2 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

DC United struggles at home with only 1 win in the last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 9. Draws are common, but wins are rare. Houston Dynamo, on the other hand, has a similarly low win rate on the road, but has earned 2 draws in 5 matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 8. In terms of percentages, DC United has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 64%, while Houston has a strong offensive potential of 64% but a less solid defense at 57%. Betting odds slightly favor DC United with a 35.98% probability of winning compared to 31.75% for Houston. The “draw or win” options are fairly balanced for both teams. A total of over 1.5 goals is likely with odds of 76.19%. Keep in mind that both teams often score, with a probability of 58.73%. Analyze these stats carefully before placing your bets. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. Each match is a new story. Approach your bets cautiously.

The potential number of goals

DC United is struggling at home with only 20% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 games. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9. Their offense is quiet, averaging just one goal per game, and their defense is weak, conceding an average of 1.8 goals. This gives them an offensive potential of 36% and a successful defense rate of only 64%.

On the other hand, Houston Dynamo has a similar performance away from home, also winning 20% of their matches with 40% draws. They manage to score a bit more with 7 goals and only concede 8. Dynamo is slightly more promising with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded, giving them an offensive strength of 64% and a defensive resistance of 57%.

Therefore, based on the probabilities, the match could end in a DC United win or a draw with a combined probability of 68.25%. But the chances of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match are high at 76.19%.

Furthermore, with a success probability of 58.73%, it is likely that both teams will score in the match. However, this match seems to be leaning towards a lower score, with a 71.96% probability of having less than 3.5 goals. In conclusion, the safest bet appears to be less than 3.5 goals in the match with odds of 1.38.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion:
After a thorough examination of the forecast and the numerous statistical variables from the recent and historical performances of both teams, several conclusions can be drawn.

Firstly, on the simple 1X2 criterion regarding the team that could win the match, although neither DC United nor Houston Dynamo are in sparkling form, DC United seems to have a slight advantage, especially due to their better home performance.

Secondly, concerning the number of goals, it appears likely that this match will be high-scoring. Given that both teams have a tendency to concede as much as they score, we can expect an open match with a high probability of over 2.5 goals.

However, even though both teams have shown a propensity to score in their encounters, the safest bet in terms of betting value is the “both teams to score” bet, which holds an encouraging probability of 58.73%.

Finally, betting on the exact score is always a challenge; however, considering the statistics from the recent matches and the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, a 2-2 scoreline would be a very interesting bet to consider.

Nevertheless, it is important to remember that while statistics and probabilities can help formulate a prediction, football is unpredictable, and anything can happen on the field. Will you bet intelligently by balancing data analysis and your intuition on the upcoming match between DC United and Houston Dynamo? Good luck to all bettors!