Tipps DC United Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer 05/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or DC United wins the match

1. Comparative Performance: DC United has a more convincing home performance with a 60% win rate compared to Philadelphia Union’s 40% away performance. DC United also has a higher draw rate at home (40%) than Philadelphia does away from home (40%).

2. Defensive Statistics: DC United has a better defensive record at home, conceding 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Philadelphia Union has conceded 15 goals in the same number of away matches.

3. Probabilities: The probability of a bet on the match ending in a draw or DC United winning is 62.75%, compared to the probability of DC United winning alone (38.24%) or a draw alone (24.51%). This indicates a more likely scenario where DC United does not lose this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Both teams, DC United and Philadelphia Union, have shown some offensive prowess in their previous matches, each scoring 9 goals in their last 5 games.

2. The defense of these two teams also seems to have some weaknesses, with DC United conceding 10 goals and Philadelphia Union conceding 15 goals in their last 5 matches. This could lead to a high-scoring game.

3. Lastly, the probability gap between betting on “under 2.5 goals in the match” and “over 2.5 goals in the match” favors the latter, so it is more likely that there will be over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The defensive performances of both teams in the last 5 matches have been weak. DC United has conceded 10 goals at home and Philadelphia Union 15 away. There is a high chance that both teams will concede goals in this match.

2. The offensive potential of both teams is quite high. DC United scores an average of 1.2 goals per home match and Philadelphia Union 2 goals per away match, indicating that both teams have a strong chance of scoring in this match.

3. The “Both teams to score” prediction has a success probability of 57.84%, which is higher than the opposite prediction (42.16%). This means that based on the statistics and past performances of both teams, there is a higher likelihood that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

DC United 2-2 Philadelphia Union.

1. Both teams have shown strong offensive and defensive potential in their recent matches, with DC United averaging 1.2 goals and Philadelphia Union 2 goals per game. They also have a tendency to concede goals, which could lead to a high-scoring draw.
2. The likelihood of a draw is significant based on the provided probabilities (24.51%), almost as high as the chances of DC United (38.24%) or Philadelphia Union (37.25%) winning the match. Additionally, both teams have had a high percentage of draws in their last 5 matches (DC United at 40%, Philadelphia Union at 40%).
3. Philadelphia Union’s recent away matches have often resulted in high scores. Four of their last five away matches have seen 4 goals or more. DC United has not always kept clean sheets at home, which, combined with Philadelphia Union’s attacking strength, suggests that there could be goals from both sides.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

DC United shows strong form at home, with 3 wins out of 5. However, they have a weak defense, conceding 10 goals. On the other hand, Philadelphia Union has had mixed performances away, with 2 wins out of 5 and 15 goals conceded. In terms of goal averages per match, DC United scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1.4, while Philadelphia Union averages 2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. The probability of each team winning is almost equal, with DC United at 38.24% and Philadelphia Union at 37.25%. When combining the chances of a draw or a win, DC United has a success probability of 62.75% compared to 61.76% for Philadelphia Union. Regarding goals, the probability of the match ending with over 1.5 goals is 74.51%, over 2.5 goals is 53.92%, and both teams to score is 57.84%. Finally, DC United’s recent home matches have seen an average of 2.6 goals scored per game, while Philadelphia Union averages 2.2 goals scored per away match. In conclusion, we can expect a high-scoring match with an equal chance for each team to win.

The potential number of goals

DC United has shown a rather mixed performance at home, with a 60% victory rate. Another notable fact is their defense giving up 10 goals. This puts their defensive potential at 50%.

As for Philadelphia Union, they have shown some resilience, winning and drawing in 40% of cases each. However, their defense has struggled, conceding 15 goals in their away matches.

The average goals per match indicate that DC United scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1.4 goals, while Philadelphia scores 2 goals and concedes 1.2. DC United’s offensive potential remains low at 43%, compared to Philadelphia’s 71%.

An analysis of the probabilities suggests the match could end either with a victory for DC United or Philadelphia, with probabilities of 38.24% and 37.25% respectively, or a draw with a probability of 24.51%.

Regarding the number of goals scored, there is a 74.51% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored. Furthermore, with a probability of 53.92%, it is also possible that more than 2.5 goals will be scored.

In conclusion, this match could see a good number of goals, given Philadelphia’s offensive statistics. However, watch out for DC United’s defense, which could potentially halt their momentum. The recent performances of both teams do not suggest an obvious winner, making this match potentially exciting.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the past performances of both teams and statistical probabilities, the match between DC United and Philadelphia Union promises to be tight and high-scoring. Both teams have shown a tendency to score goals, while their defenses have been less solid. Therefore, a bet on “Over 2.5 goals” seems particularly interesting. Similarly, a bet on “both teams to score” has a high probability of success. In terms of the final outcome of the match, although there is a slight preference for DC United, the balance is so close that the match could end with a win for either club or a draw. Ultimately, there is no clear favorite for this match, making the prediction both intriguing and challenging.