Tipps Defensa Y Justicia Banfield Liga Profesional Argentina 20/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Defensa Y Justicia or draw.

1. Defensa Y Justicia team has a high probability of either winning the match or drawing (72.82%), higher than Banfield’s (56.92%).
2. Defensa Y Justicia appears to have a stronger defense at home despite their offensive shortcomings, managing to draw in 40% of their last 5 home matches. They have also conceded fewer goals at home (5 goals) compared to Banfield away (7 goals).
3. The odds suggest a potentially tight match with a likely low number of goals. This favors a draw or a team with a solid defense like Defensa Y Justicia.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent goal-scoring history: Considering the last five home matches of Defensa Y Justicia and the last five away matches of Banfield, the average goal per match falls below 2.5. Defensa Y Justicia scores an average of 0.8 goals and Banfield scores an average of 1 goal per match, totaling an average of 1.8 goals per match.

2. Defensive statistics: Both teams have shown good defense, with Defensa Y Justicia having a defensive potential of 79% and Banfield with a defensive potential of 50%. This means it is more likely that fewer goals will be scored in the match.

3. Betting assessments: The betting odds indicate a possibility of fewer than 2.5 goals with odds of 1.54, which can be considered relatively low. The lower the odds, the more likely the event is to occur. Therefore, this suggests that it is highly likely that fewer than 2.5 goals will be scored in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown relatively poor defensive performances, with Defensa Y Justicia conceding an average of 2.2 goals per home match and Banfield conceding an average of 1.4 goals per away match. This increases the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

2. In their last 5 matches, Defensa Y Justicia managed to score in three home matches, while Banfield scored in two out of their five recent away games, highlighting their ability to score on the road.

3. The calculated probability of “Both teams to score – Yes” is 50.26%, which is a fairly balanced estimate. Therefore, it is reasonable to believe that each team can score during the match, based on their recent goal-scoring and conceding statistics.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Banfield wins the match – 27.18% chance of success: 3.30

Bet on the exact result

Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 Banfield

1. Recent home statistics for Defensa Y Justicia show a trend towards draws, with 40% of their last 5 matches ending without a winner. This would support the expectation of a final score of 1-1 between these two teams.

2. Both teams have a similar average of goals scored per match (0.8 for Defensa Y Justicia and 1 for Banfield), and the average of goals conceded also aligns quite well with the expected score of 1-1. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is relatively balanced (50.26%), which could suggest a match with goals on both sides, as predicted by the score.

3. According to the odds, the match is more likely to end with fewer than 2.5 goals (success probability of 1.54), which aligns quite well with an expected final score of 1-1. Additionally, the highest probability is given to the option “under 3.5 goals in the match” (81.54% success rate), further reinforcing the forecast of a match with a relatively low score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Defensa Y Justicia has struggled at home with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5. The probability of them winning the match against Banfield is estimated at 43.08% with odds of 2.25.

Banfield has shown a relatively good away performance with a 40% win rate and 4 goals scored against 7 conceded. However, the probability of Banfield winning against Defensa Y Justicia is lower than that of their opponent, at 27.18% with odds of 3.30.

Looking at the average goals, Banfield has a slight offensive advantage with 1 goal per match compared to Defensa Y Justicia’s 0.8. Defensively, Defensa Y Justicia concedes more with 2.2 goals per match compared to Banfield’s average of 1.4 goals per match.

In terms of total goals, the forecast suggests more than 1.5 goals in the match (67.69%), but less than 3.5 goals (81.54%). It is also indicated that both teams will score with a probability of 50.26%.

Based on these statistics, it is more likely to have a low-scoring match where both teams could score. The odds seem to favor Defensa Y Justicia winning or a draw rather than a Banfield victory.

The potential number of goals

Defensa Y Justicia, at home, has not won any of its last five matches, with a draw in 40% of cases. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5. Their offensive potential is low at 29%, but their defense is strong at 79%.

Banfield away has an average, winning 40% of their matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 7, with an offensive rating of 36% and a defensive rating of 50%.

According to the probabilities, Defensa Y Justicia has a 43.08% chance of winning and Banfield 27.18%. A draw has a probability of 29.74%.

There is a 67.69% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, but only 41.03% for more than 2.5 goals.

Both teams have nearly equal chances of scoring, with a 50.26% probability.

Looking at their recent matches, Defensa Y Justicia has struggled at home, with generally low scores. Banfield away has been fluctuating between notable wins and losses.

In conclusion, it might be wise to bet on a match with less than 2.5 goals, given Defensa Y Justicia’s limited offensive performances and Banfield’s past encounters.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, based on statistical analysis and probabilities, the match between Defensa Y Justicia and Banfield could be close. A win or draw for Defensa Y Justicia is more likely, inspired by their strong defensive performances at home. However, considering Banfield’s recent away results, betting on a win for them could represent an interesting value bet.

An under 2.5 total goals seems like a wise choice given the relatively low average goals scored per match by both teams. Indeed, the trend shows they both have solid defense with lower offensive performances.

When it comes to both teams scoring, the numbers are more balanced. However, considering each team’s defensive performances and ability to score in recent matches, it would be reasonable to bet on both teams scoring in the match.

Overall, this match should be interesting in terms of betting. Despite the odds difference, the data supports a more cautious and strategic approach. Take into account all the elements discussed, carefully consider your betting choices, and remember that every bet carries a risk.