Tipps Defensa Y Justicia Newells Old Boys Copa de la Liga Profesional 18/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Defensa Y Justicia wins the match.

1. Defensa Y Justicia’s home statistics show a strong record with 40% wins and 40% draws, demonstrating their ability to resist and score against opponents.

2. In terms of defensive performances, Defensa Y Justicia at home has an average of 0.6 goals conceded per match, which is lower than the average goals scored by the away team, Newells Old Boys, (1 goal per match).

3. The “Draw or Defensa Y Justicia to win” option has a success probability of 72.63%, which is significantly higher compared to the “Newells Old Boys to win” option at 27.37%. This could indicate that Defensa Y Justicia has a better chance of winning or drawing in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The goals scored and conceded statistics for both teams in their last 5 home and away matches show a trend towards low-scoring games. Defensa Y Justicia averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per home match (offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 21%). Similarly, Newells Old Boys averages 1 goal scored and 0.8 goals conceded per away match (offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 29%).

2. The bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has odds of 1.54, indicating a fairly high probability for the match to end with under 2.5 goals.

3. The recent results of Defensa Y Justicia at home and Newells Old Boys away also show a trend towards low-scoring games. Only two out of ten matches had more than 2.5 goals, further supporting the argument that the match could end with under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is solid. Defensa Y Justicia has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 21%, while Newells Old Boys has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 29%. This indicates that each team has the ability to score and is likely to concede at least one goal.

2. Both teams have shown some consistency in scoring goals in their last five matches, whether at home or away. Defensa Y Justicia has scored 5 goals while conceding 6 goals, and Newells Old Boys has scored 6 goals while conceding 7 goals.

3. The statistic indicating that “Both teams score – 54.21% success probability: 2.02” is a strong indicator of the likelihood that both teams will score. This probability exceeding 50% bodes well for the prediction that both teams will score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams to score – 54.21% success rate: 2.02

Bet on the exact result

Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 Newells Old Boys

1. The statistics from recent matches show a lot of balance between the two teams. The probabilities also point to a strong potential for a draw, reinforced by the performance of both teams in their last 5 matches where they each drew 40% of the time.

2. Based on the number of goals scored and conceded by each team in their last 5 matches, it can be observed that their offensive and defensive performances are very similar. The offensive potential is 43% for Defensa Y Justicia and 36% for Newells Old Boys. The defensive potential is also close, at 21% for Defensa Y Justicia and 29% for Newells Old Boys, indicating a balance between the two teams.

3. The probability of fewer than 3.5 goals in this match is very high at 81.58%. Both teams also tend to score and concede around 1 goal per match. Therefore, a correct score of 1-1 is completely reasonable.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Defensa Y Justicia and Newells Old Boys have shown a balanced recent performance at home and away respectively, with 40% of wins and draws. Defensa Y Justicia has scored 5 goals and conceded 6, while Newells Old Boys have scored 6 goals and conceded 7, indicating some defensive vulnerability for both teams.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Defensa Y Justicia has an advantage when playing at home, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match, with offensive and defensive potential of 43% and 21% respectively. On the other hand, Newells Old Boys score average of 1 goal per match and concede 0.8, with offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 29% on away grounds.

The highest probability is for Defensa Y Justicia to win the match, at 43.68%, followed by a draw at 28.95% and Newells Old Boys’ victory at 27.37%.

As for the number of goals, it is more likely that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match with a 70% probability. It is also unlikely to have more than 4.5 goals in the match, with a 95.26% probability for less than 4.5 goals.

In conclusion, there is a slight preference for Defensa Y Justicia to win the match and for there to be more than 1.5 goals but less than 4.5. However, the competitiveness of both teams and their recent statistics suggest that the match will be highly contested.

The potential number of goals

Defensa Y Justicia has a home win record of 40% and a draw record of 40% in their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match. However, they have also conceded an average of 0.6 goals per match at home, indicating a weak defense.

Newells Old Boys have similar statistics with wins and draws in 40% of their last 5 away matches. They score an average of 1 goal per match but also concede 0.8 goals per match, showing slightly weaker offensive and defensive capabilities compared to Defensa Y Justicia.

The chances of Defensa Y Justicia winning are evaluated at 43.68%, while those of Newells Old Boys are slightly lower at 27.37%. The chances of a draw are 28.95%.

The goal analysis indicates a probability of over 1.5 goals in the match at 70%. However, the chances of seeing over 2.5 goals are lower at 41.58%.

Based on the past performances of both teams, there is a 54.21% probability that both teams will score during the match. This information could be crucial in making a prediction for this match.

In summary, the balance seems to slightly favor Defensa Y Justicia, although the match is expected to be close and potentially high-scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all the presented statistics and key facts, we can conclude that the match between Defensa Y Justicia and Newells Old Boys appears to be a very balanced game with a slight preference for a Defensa Y Justicia victory. Recent performances of both teams show a trend towards low-scoring matches, which supports the “Under 2.5 goals” bet.

For bettors, it seems that the most interesting bet would be “Both teams to score”, with a success probability of 54.21% according to our analysis. As for the exact score, we could consider a relatively tight match, potentially resulting in a 1-1 draw.

However, it is important to note that sports betting always involves a certain level of risk. Teams’ performances can vary due to a number of unpredictable factors. Therefore, it is always recommended to bet responsibly.