Tipps Defensa Y Justicia San Lorenzo Liga Profesional 22/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Defensa Y Justicia wins the match.

1. The defensive potential of Defensa Y Justicia in home matches is higher than that of San Lorenzo de Almagro in away matches (50% vs. 43%). This means that Defensa Y Justicia is more likely to not concede goals at home, increasing their chances of maintaining a draw or securing a victory.

2. The success probability for the prediction “Draw or Defensa Y Justicia wins the match” is 70.54% according to calculated probabilities, the highest among all other types of predictions. This indicates a strong likelihood that it would be a safe choice.

3. Defensa Y Justicia’s past performances at home show no defeats in the last 5 matches, while on the contrary, San Lorenzo de Almagro has lost twice in their last five away matches. This suggests a trend where Defensa Y Justicia has a better performance at home compared to San Lorenzo de Almagro’s away performance.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The goal scoring statistics of both teams are relatively low. On average, Defensa Y Justicia scores 0.6 goals per home match and San Lorenzo de Almagro scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match. This indicates a trend towards low-scoring matches.

2. The defensive performances of both teams are solid. Defensa Y Justicia has a 50% defensive potential at home and San Lorenzo de Almagro has a 43% defensive potential away, which means they are capable of limiting the opponent’s goal count.

3. The recent match results show a trend towards low scores. The majority of Defensa Y Justicia’s home matches and San Lorenzo de Almagro’s away matches have had fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent home match history of Defensa Y Justicia shows that in 3 out of 5 matches, the opponent failed to score. This highlights the team’s defensive solidity at home.

2. Analysis of San Lorenzo de Almagro’s away performances indicates that the team failed to score in 2 out of the last 5 matches. This lack of offensive consistency away from home diminishes the chances of both teams scoring during the match.

3. The average goals conceded per match statistics for Defensa Y Justicia at home and San Lorenzo de Almagro away are 1.4 and 1.2 respectively. These numbers suggest both teams’ tendency to concede goals, further enhancing the probability of either team failing to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match: 1.40

Bet on the exact result

Defensa Y Justicia 1-1 San Lorenzo de Almagro

1. The recent performances of Defensa Y Justicia at home and San Lorenzo de Almagro away are very similar. In their last 5 matches, both teams have won 40% of the time and drawn 20% of the time. This indicates a certain balance in terms of form, which could result in a draw at the end of the match.

2. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams are also quite close. Defensa Y Justicia averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per home match, while San Lorenzo de Almagro averages 1.2 goals scored and conceded per away match. These averages may suggest the potential for a 1-1 scoreline.

3. The odds given also show a certain probability of a draw. With a probability of 31.78%, a draw is the second most likely outcome after a Defensa Y Justicia win. There is also a 64.34% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, which is consistent with a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Defensa Y Justicia is rather moderate at home with a 40% win rate and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored as many goals as they conceded: a perfect balance with 5 goals each.

San Lorenzo de Almagro has exactly the same statistics in their last 5 away matches with 5 goals scored and 5 goals conceded.

In terms of goals per match, Defensa Y Justicia struggles a bit offensively at home with only 0.6 goals on average. On the other hand, San Lorenzo de Almagro is a bit stronger away with an average of 1.2 goals.

Probabilities: an advantage seems to be given to Defensa Y Justicia with a success probability of 38.76% compared to 29.46% for San Lorenzo de Almagro. However, the prediction “Draw or Defensa Y Justicia wins the match” seems promising with a 70.54% success probability.

The statistics suggest a low-scoring match. “Under 3.5 goals in the match” has a high probability of 93.02%.

Previous match analysis: Defensa Y Justicia has recently won two matches 1-0 at home, while San Lorenzo de Almagro has also won two matches on the road.

In conclusion, we could expect a close match with a slight advantage for Defensa Y Justicia, and probably few goals.

The potential number of goals

Statistics reveal that Defensa Y Justicia and San Lorenzo de Almagro have won 40% of their respective last 5 matches. Both teams have scored and conceded an equal number of 5 goals in these matches.

Defensa Y Justicia, at home, has an offensive potential of only 21% and a stronger defense at 50%. San Lorenzo, on the other hand, shows more balanced performances away from home with both offensive and defensive potentials at 43%.

In terms of predictions, there is a 70.54% chance that the match will end in a victory for Defensa Y Justicia or a draw, compared to a 61.24% chance for San Lorenzo de Almagro to win or draw.

The number of goals scored in the match is likely to be on the lower side. The figures indicate a 93.02% probability for under 3.5 goals and an absolute certainty for under 4.5 goals.

It is slightly more probable that both teams will not score, with a 52.71% probability compared to 47.29% for both teams scoring.

Based on these numbers, it appears likely that this match will be a defensively oriented affair with a moderate number of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the upcoming match between Defensa Y Justicia and San Lorenzo de Almagro promises to be a close one with a slight advantage perceived for Defensa Y Justicia. Defensa Y Justicia’s strong defensive potential at home and San Lorenzo de Almagro’s inconsistent offensive performance on the road indicate a high probability of a win or draw for the home team. Furthermore, considering the moderate number of goals scored by both teams in their previous matches, a game with fewer goals is expected – a potential of less than 2.5 goals scored seems to be a safe bet. In terms of exact score betting, a 1-1 draw could be considered given the similarity in recent performances of both teams. However, every bet involves some level of uncertainty and should be placed with responsible bankroll management.