Tipps Denmark England Euro 2024 20/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

England wins the match

1. England has a higher performance in away matches, with 60% wins and 40% draws, compared to Denmark’s 80% home wins.
2. The success probability predicts that England has a higher chance of winning the match with 56%, compared to only 16% for Denmark.
3. England has a better defense in away matches, conceding an average of 0.8 goals, while Denmark at home concedes an average of 0.6 goals. This gives England an advantage defensively.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The offensive performance of two teams: Analyzing the last 5 matches, Denmark has scored 9 goals at home and England has scored 10 goals away. This gives us an average of over 2 goals per match, favoring the bet on over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Defensive statistics: Both teams have also conceded a significant number of goals in their last matches (10 goals each), indicating that their defenses may be vulnerable and allow for over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Statistical probability: Based on the given odds, there is a 49.33% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match. Though it’s not above 50%, it’s an important probability to consider given the offensive and defensive performances of both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. In the last 5 home matches of Denmark, they have scored at least one goal in each of them. This trend demonstrates the team’s potential to score, even against a resilient defense like England’s.

2. In its last 5 away matches, England has scored at least one goal on 4 occasions and has not been held scoreless in any match, suggesting a high likelihood for England to score against Denmark.

3. The Denmark team has conceded goals in each of its last 5 home matches, and England has conceded goals in 3 of its last 5 away matches. This shows that neither team is watertight in defense, thereby increasing the chances that each team will score at least one goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 4.05

Bet on the exact result

Denmark 1-2 England

1. Recent performances of both teams favor England: in the last 5 matches, England has a likely win rate of 56%, while Denmark has only 16%. Furthermore, England has been more consistent in terms of goals scored, with an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Denmark has an average of 1.6 but has conceded more goals (10 against 10).

2. General statistics also favor a 2-1 scoreline: both teams have a 50% probability of scoring, while the total goals are more likely to be over 1.5 (75.33% probability) and less likely to be over 3.5 (only 20.67% probability). This suggests a higher-scoring but not extremely high-scoring match, which aligns with a 2-1 score.

3. The recent matches of each team show a clear trend towards 2-1 scores or close: in the last 5 home matches of Denmark, 2 ended in 2-1, while in the last 5 away matches of England, 2 ended with a one-goal difference. This indicates that both teams are capable of tight and competitive matches, fitting perfectly with a prediction of a 2-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Denmark shows good form at home, quite strong with an 80% win rate despite a negative goal difference (9 goals scored, 10 conceded).

England is solid away, with a 60% win rate and 40% draws, all balanced with an equal number of goals (10 scored, 10 conceded).

Denmark remains offensive at home, averaging 1.6 goals per match, with notable defensive solidity (0.6 goals conceded).

England scores an average of 1.2 goals away, conceding around 0.8 goals. A slightly more precarious defensive record.

In terms of predictions, there’s a 56% chance of England winning (odds of 1.60). Denmark is given only a 16% chance of victory (odds of 5.91).

Betting also suggests a low-scoring match. Less than 1.5 goals is priced at 3.57, but more than 1.5 goals is likely at 75.33% (odds of 1.30).

Both teams seem to have an equal chance of scoring, indicating a potentially tight match.

Based on recent matches, both teams have shown their potential, with Denmark defeating Norway and Sweden, and England beating Serbia and Scotland.

In conclusion, this match looks tight and could tilt in England’s favor despite strong opposition from Denmark at home. Betting also points to a potentially low-scoring game.

The potential number of goals

By analyzing the recent performances of both teams, it can be seen that both Denmark and England are effective in attack. Denmark, at home, has managed to score an average of 1.6 goals per match, while England away has scored an average of 1.2 goals.

On the defensive side, Denmark seems to have an advantage, conceding only 0.6 goals on average compared to 0.8 for England.

However, England has shown greater consistency with a 60% win rate and no losses in their last 5 away matches, compared to an 80% win rate and no draws for Denmark at home.

Based on these numbers, England has a 56% probability of winning the match, while Denmark only has a 16% chance of winning. When factoring in the probabilities of a draw, England has an 84% chance of not losing the match.

Regarding the number of goals, it is likely to be a match with less than 3.5 goals given the high probability of 79.33% for this option.

In conclusion, based on the presented data, England seems to have the advantage in this match, but football being never a certainty, anything can happen on match day.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In short, England appears to be the favorite for this match against Denmark in the Euro championship, thanks to strong away performance and solid defense. Betting on an England win seems promising. Additionally, the offensive and defensive statistics of both teams support a bet on a match with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Even though Denmark has shown remarkable performances at home, England seems to have the edge and could face tough opposition.

Betting on a draw provides an interesting value bet with high odds of 4.05, indicating that a long-term investment could be profitable even if the result is uncertain. Regarding the exact score, the chances seem favorable for a 2-1 score in favor of England, reflecting a competitive and goal-rich match.

However, it is crucial to remember that despite predictions and statistics, football matches remain unpredictable and depend on many factors that can vary on match day. Sports betting should be practiced with caution and responsibility.