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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Deportes Tolima Alianza Petrolera
Tipps Deportes Tolima Alianza Petrolera Primera A 20/10/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Deportes Tolima wins the match
1. Deportes Tolima’s past performances at home are superior to Alianza Petrolera’s away performances. Tolima has managed to win or draw in 60% of cases, while Alianza has won no matches away from home.
2. When examining offensive and defensive potential, Deportes Tolima comes out ahead. They score an average of 0.6 goals per match and concede 0.8 goals, with an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29%. On the other hand, Alianza only scores 0.2 goals per match, concedes 1.2 goals, and has an offensive potential of 7% and a defensive potential of 43%.
3. According to betting probabilities, Deportes Tolima has nearly a 60% chance of winning the match with odds of 1.53, while Alianza Petrolera only has an 11.05% chance of winning with odds of 6.50. The statistics strongly suggest a victory for Deportes Tolima.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”
1. The relatively low offensive statistics of both teams: Deportes Tolima scores an average of 0.6 goals per match at home while Alianza Petrolera scores an average of 0.2 goals per match away, which tends to favor a low-scoring game.
2. Recent trend: In their respective last 5 matches, Deportes Tolima has only scored 4 goals at home and conceded 5, while Alianza Petrolera has scored only one goal away and conceded 2, reinforcing the hypothesis of a low final score.
3. Probability of different types of bets: The suggested probabilities by betting companies favor “Under 2.5 goals in the match” with a lower success probability for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” (44.74%), suggesting a general expectation of a low-scoring match.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. Alianza Petrolera’s offensive performance is very weak, averaging 0.2 goals per game in their last 5 away matches. This lack of offensive productivity, combined with the high probability of Deportes Tolima winning the match (58.95%), suggests that Alianza Petrolera may struggle to score.
2. Defensive statistics show that Alianza Petrolera has a strong defense when playing away, conceding an average of only 1.2 goals per game. This could indicate that they might be able to withstand Deportes Tolima’s attack, which averages 0.6 goals per game at home, further supporting the argument that both teams may not score.
3. Recent history of both teams shows a tendency for low scores. Deportes Tolima’s last 5 home matches include 2 games where neither team scored more than one goal, while Alianza Petrolera had 4 out of their last 5 away matches with one team failing to score.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match
1. Both teams have shown a relatively low offensive performance level in their recent matches, with an average of 0.8 goals per match for Deportes Tolima and 0.2 goals for Alianza Petrolera. This suggests a low potential for cumulative goals exceeding 2.5.
2. The defensive systems of both teams have displayed some solidity during their matches, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded for Deportes Tolima and 1.2 goals for Alianza Petrolera. This indicates an ability to limit goal-scoring opportunities for the opposing team.
3. The recent home match histories of Deportes Tolima and away matches of Alianza Petrolera show a trend with fewer than 2.5 goals scored.
Bet on the exact result
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Alianza Petrolera
1. Home and Away Performance Statistics: The statistics for the last 5 matches clearly show that Deportes Tolima has overall better performance at home compared to Alianza Petrolera’s performances away. Tolima has won or drawn in 60% of its matches, while Alianza has neither won nor drawn in the last 5 away matches.
2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Deportes Tolima has shown an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29% at home, while Alianza Petrolera has a very low offensive potential of 7% and a weaker defense of 43% on the road. This combination suggests a clear advantage for Tolima.
3. Goal-Scoring Probabilities: The probabilities indicate a high chance (96.32%) of there being less than 4.5 goals in the match, and a strong likelihood (81.58%) of there being less than 3.5 goals. These probabilities suggest a low-scoring match, consistent with the prediction of a 1-0 scoreline in favor of Deportes Tolima.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Deportes Tolima’s home performance has been mixed, with one win and two draws in their last 5 matches. However, they have maintained an average of 0.6 goals scored per match while conceding 0.8 goals on average, indicating their defense is slightly struggling.
On the other hand, Alianza Petrolera has struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last 5 matches while scoring very few goals, with an average of 0.2 goals per match and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match.
Deportes Tolima has a 58.95% probability of winning, while the draw has a 30% probability and Alianza Petrolera only has an 11.05% probability.
In terms of goals, there is a 71.58% chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match, but the probability of under 3.5 goals is quite high at 81.58%.
Taking all these data into account, it seems that the most likely prediction would be a match with under 3.5 goals, with either Deportes Tolima winning or a draw.
The potential number of goals
Deportes Tolima has a low home win rate, at only 20%. However, they manage to draw 40% of the time with an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29%. Their goal production at home is modest, with an average of 0.6 goals per match.
Alianza Petrolera, on the other hand, has no away wins or draws. They have a very low offensive potential of 7% and a vulnerable defense with a 43% potential, which is reflected in their average score of 0.2 goals per match away.
The statistics favor Deportes Tolima with a 58.95% probability of winning. Although they are not a dominant force at home, they are up against a team that struggles to score or withstand pressure away.
Overall, the match seems to be focused on defense. The success rate for under 3.5 goals in the match is 81.58% and for under 4.5 goals is 96.32%. There is also a strong 57% likelihood that both teams will not score.
In conclusion, Deportes Tolima is in a better position to win the match, but don’t expect a goal-fest. A safe bet could be “Under 3.5 goals” or “Both teams to not score.”
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, statistics and recent trends strongly suggest a victory for Deportes Tolima in their upcoming match against Alianza Petrolera. However, this success is unlikely to be accompanied by a high number of goals, given the low offensive potential and solid defensive capabilities of both teams. In light of this, three interesting bets emerge: a 1X2 on Deportes Tolima, a bet on a total of under 2.5 goals in the match, and an anticipation of both teams not scoring. Expect a close and competitive match, challenging, where each goal will be precious. As always in sports betting, remember that nothing is ever certain and bet responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Deportes Tolima against Alianza Petrolera on 20/10/2024
1. Deportes Tolima’s past performances at home are superior to Alianza Petrolera’s away performances. Tolima has managed to win or draw in 60% of cases, while Alianza has won no matches away from home.
2. When examining offensive and defensive potential, Deportes Tolima comes out ahead. They score an average of 0.6 goals per match and concede 0.8 goals, with an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29%. On the other hand, Alianza only scores 0.2 goals per match, concedes 1.2 goals, and has an offensive potential of 7% and a defensive potential of 43%.
3. According to betting probabilities, Deportes Tolima has nearly a 60% chance of winning the match with odds of 1.53, while Alianza Petrolera only has an 11.05% chance of winning with odds of 6.50. The statistics strongly suggest a victory for Deportes Tolima.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Petrolera match!
To not miss anything from the Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Petrolera match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 20/10/2024 in the Primera A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Petrolera
Lineups Deportes Tolima
Lineups Alianza Petrolera
Match Highlights Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Petrolera on 20/10/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Petrolera match on 20/10/2024 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Deportes Tolima and Alianza Petrolera
All statistics for the match between Deportes Tolima and Alianza Petrolera will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Deportes Tolima against Alianza Petrolera!
Form state of Deportes Tolima in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Deportes Tolima has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Deportes Tolima has a form rating of %.
Form state of Alianza Petrolera in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Alianza Petrolera has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Alianza Petrolera has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Deportes Tolima against Alianza Petrolera!
Average goals scored by Deportes Tolima in the current season.
Goals scored by Deportes Tolima in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Deportes Tolima in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Alianza Petrolera in the current season
Goals scored by Alianza Petrolera in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Alianza Petrolera
Alianza Petrolera has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Alianza Petrolera in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Alianza Petrolera
Alianza Petrolera has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Deportes Tolima and Alianza Petrolera, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Deportes Tolima vs Alianza Petrolera: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The relatively low offensive statistics of both teams: Deportes Tolima scores an average of 0.6 goals per match at home while Alianza Petrolera scores an average of 0.2 goals per match away, which tends to favor a low-scoring game.
2. Recent trend: In their respective last 5 matches, Deportes Tolima has only scored 4 goals at home and conceded 5, while Alianza Petrolera has scored only one goal away and conceded 2, reinforcing the hypothesis of a low final score.
3. Probability of different types of bets: The suggested probabilities by betting companies favor “Under 2.5 goals in the match” with a lower success probability for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” (44.74%), suggesting a general expectation of a low-scoring match.
Forecast results from winflix for Deportes Tolima and Alianza Petrolera!
The last 5 winning predictions für Deportes Tolima
The last 5 winning predictions für Alianza Petrolera
How do I find the best forecast for Deportes Tolima Alianza Petrolera?
Finding a forecast for the Deportes Tolima Alianza Petrolera match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Deportes Tolima Alianza Petrolera on 20/10/2024 in Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro are the team's past performance in the Primera A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Deportes Tolima at home and Alianza Petrolera away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 20/10/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Deportes Tolima and Alianza Petrolera on 20/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Primera A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Deportes Tolima could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Deportes Tolima and Alianza Petrolera, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Deportes Tolima and the away win rate of Alianza Petrolera, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 20/10/2024!
The individual performances of players from Deportes Tolima and Alianza Petrolera can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 20/10/2024 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Deportes Tolima and Alianza Petrolera, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Deportes Tolima or Alianza Petrolera on 20/10/2024.
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