Tipps Deportes Tolima Once Caldas Primera A 13/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Once Caldas or draw”

1. Once Caldas has shown a better offensive performance in their away matches, scoring more goals on average per game compared to Deportes Tolima in their home matches.

2. Deportes Tolima has a lower offensive potential than Once Caldas when playing at home. Additionally, Deportes Tolima’s defensive potential is also weaker, leaving opportunities for Once Caldas to score.

3. Deportes Tolima’s success rate at home is quite low, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. Whereas Once Caldas has a 40% away win rate, so statistically, it is more likely for Once Caldas to win or draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Recent performances of Deportes Tolima at home show a low offensive efficiency with an average of 0.6 goals per match and a decent defensive capability with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match.

2. Once Caldas’ away performances are also mixed with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and 1 goal conceded on average per match, indicating not a great offensive efficiency.

3. Recent matches of these two teams also show a tendency towards low scores. For example, for Deportes Tolima at home, in their last 5 matches, 4 had fewer than 2.5 goals. For Once Caldas away, in their last 5 matches, 3 had fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The defensive capabilities of both teams appear strong based on their previous matches: Deportes Tolima has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game in their last 5 home matches, while Once Caldas has conceded an average of 1 goal per game in their last 5 away matches. This results in a lower defensive potential which favors the Both Teams to Score – No bet.

2. The offensive potential of both teams is rather low, with Deportes Tolima scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game at home and Once Caldas scoring 1.2 goals per game away in their respective last 5 matches. This lack of offensive prowess increases the likelihood of a game where both teams do not score.

3. Looking at the teams’ recent matches, it can be seen that in several games, one or both teams have failed to score. For instance, in Once Caldas’ last five away matches, they have failed to score in two games. For Deportes Tolima at home, they have failed to score in two of their last five matches. These past trends could repeat themselves, strengthening the idea that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Once Caldas wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Deportes Tolima 1-1 Once Caldas.

1. The home statistics for Deportes Tolima and the away statistics for Once Caldas show a trend towards matches with relatively low scores. For instance, Deportes Tolima has only scored 4 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Once Caldas has only scored 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. This supports the prediction of a match with only two goals in total.

2. Deportes Tolima has shown a strong tendency to draw at home in 40% of cases in their last 5 matches, suggesting a potential difficulty in dominating their opponents on home turf. Additionally, Once Caldas has also recorded a draw rate of 20% in their last 5 away matches. These statistics indicate that these two teams could cancel each other out.

3. The offensive potential for Deportes Tolima at home is 21% with a defensive potential of 29%, while Once Caldas has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 36% away from home. These statistics suggest that both teams have a fairly balanced ability in terms of attack and defense, which could result in a close match and a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Deportes Tolima is struggling at home, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches. They have managed to score only 4 goals and have conceded 5. On the other hand, Once Caldas has been more successful away from home with 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches. They have also scored 4 goals and conceded 5.

In terms of statistics, Deportes Tolima has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29% at home. Once Caldas is stronger away from home with an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 36%.

A low-scoring match can be expected, as there is a 100% probability of seeing less than 3.5 goals in the match. It is very likely that both teams will not score, with this option having a 100% probability.

Exercise caution with a prediction, but Once Caldas appears to be in better form for this match.

The potential number of goals

The home record of Deportes Tolima is mixed. With 20% of wins and 40% of draws in the last 5 games, the team wins just under half of its matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match. Their offensive strength is therefore rather weak with a 21% potential.

On the other hand, Once Caldas, playing away, has a better performance with 40% of wins and 20% of draws. This team has also scored 4 goals and conceded the same amount. They score more and concede the same as Deportes Tolima, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and 1 goal conceded, showing an offensive potential of 43%.

Statistically, making a prediction could be risky due to the lack of specified success probability. However, the team that doesn’t score or concede many goals seems to have a higher chance of success, especially if it’s Once Caldas away, given their offensive potential.

In conclusion, one could rely on statistics and predict less than 3.5 goals in this match with a probability of 100%. Since statistically both teams have not scored in the same game, it is likely that only one of them will score in this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all the elements analyzed, including recent performances, offensive and defensive capabilities, as well as home and away match statistics, several bets could be interesting for this match between Deportes Tolima and Once Caldas.

Firstly, a bet on the match ending in a victory or draw for Once Caldas seems like a promising bet given their past performances away from home and the improvement in their offensive and defensive potential.

Additionally, with both teams showing strong defensive performances and less effective attacks, a bet on “Under 2.5” goals would also be an attractive option. Moreover, the historical records of both teams suggest that it is less likely for both teams to score in this match.

Lastly, a value bet could be on Once Caldas to win the match considering their recent performance and dominance. However, it would also be wise to consider an exact score of 1-1 given the strong defenses and significantly less effective attacks from both teams.

It is essential to consider this information as a recommendation based on past statistics and not as a guarantee of success. Every bet carries risks, so it is important to gamble responsibly.