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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Deportes Tolima Rionegro Aguilas
Tipps Deportes Tolima Rionegro Aguilas Primera A 13/04/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
My prediction for this match is: Deportes Tolima wins the match.
1. Deportes Tolima has a better offensive potential at home than Rionegro away (57% versus 43%). Additionally, Tolima has scored 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, compared to only 5 goals for Rionegro in their last 5 away matches.
2. The odds also favor Deportes Tolima, with a 49.07% probability of winning the match, compared to 21.12% for Rionegro. Furthermore, Tolima has a 78.88% probability of either winning or drawing, significantly higher than Rionegro’s 50.93%.
3. Lastly, the match history shows that Deportes Tolima has managed to win or draw in all their recent home matches (2 wins and 3 draws), while Rionegro has only won one of their last 5 away matches.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.”
1. The home performance statistics of Deportes Tolima and away performance of Rionegro show a trend towards lower scores. In their respective last 5 matches, Deportes Tolima has scored 6 goals and conceded 6 as well, while Rionegro has scored 5 goals and conceded 5 as well. This suggests a higher probability of a low-scoring match.
2. The average goals scored and conceded per match for both teams are also closer to 2 than 3. Deportes Tolima averages 1.6 goals scored per match and 1.2 conceded, while Rionegro averages 1.2 goals scored per match and 1.4 conceded. This further indicates that the total goals could be below 2.5.
3. Additionally, the given probability for the “under 2.5 goals in the match” prediction is 1.65, which is higher than the probability for the “over 2.5 goals in the match” prediction at 2.20. This probability gap reflects the recent performances of both teams and also suggests a likely outcome of under 2.5 goals in the match.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes.
1. Previous statistics: both teams, Deportes Tolima and Rionegro, have an average of more than one goal scored per match in their last 5 games, 1.6 and 1.2 respectively. Additionally, they have also conceded an average of more than one goal per match, 1.2 and 1.4 respectively. These pieces of information indicate that both teams have a tendency to score and concede goals when they play.
2. Past performances: in Deportes Tolima’s last home games, they have scored in every match except for two. Similarly, except for two games, Rionegro has managed to score in their away matches. These precedents demonstrate a trend where both teams frequently score.
3. Betting probabilities: the probability of both teams scoring in this match is 50.31%, which is higher than the probability of them not scoring (49.69%). This indicates that the chances slightly favor both teams scoring in this match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw or Rionegro wins the match – 2.00
1. The recent performances of both teams indicate a trend of close scores. For example, Deportes Tolima, despite playing at home, has only won 40% of their last matches and has not managed to draw, while Rionegro, even in away matches, has won or drawn in 40% of cases, suggesting a competitive encounter.
2. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams are quite similar, with Deportes Tolima averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match, while Rionegro averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match. These numbers suggest that the two teams are relatively well-balanced in terms of offensive and defensive potential, which could lead to a draw or a slight advantage for Rionegro.
3. Finally, the odds of 2.00 for the prediction ‘Draw or Rionegro win the match’ is an interesting value considering the success probability of 50.93%. Therefore, it can be seen as a ‘value bet’ as it offers a high potential return compared to the risk involved. Anchored in solid statistics, this bet seems to be a wise choice.
Bet on the exact result
Deportes Tolima 1-1 Rionegro
1. The statistics show a high frequency of matches where both teams score. Deportes Tolima averages 1.6 goals per home match and Rionegro 1.2 goals away. Therefore, a prediction of a draw with both teams scoring is plausible.
2. The success probabilities also suggest that the match could be a draw or won by Deportes Tolima, with a success probability of 78.88%. Based on both teams’ performances, a 1-1 score has reasonable chances of occurring.
3. Lastly, the recent performances of both teams also demonstrate their potential for a draw. Deportes Tolima has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per home match while Rionegro has conceded an average of 1.4 goals away; leading to a trend of low-margin matches, conducive to scorelines like 1-1.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Deportes Tolima, in their last five home matches, have a 40% win rate with a total of 6 goals scored and 6 goals conceded. They have an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 43%.
Rionegro, in their last five matches, have a less impressive record with only a 20% win rate and a 20% draw rate. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 5 goals. Their offensive and defensive potentials are 43% and 50% respectively.
In terms of probabilities, Deportes Tolima have a 49.07% chance of winning compared to Rionegro’s 21.12%. A draw is estimated at 29.81%.
A match with over 1.5 goals has a 70.81% probability, while a match with over 2.5 goals is at 45.96%.
Finally, both teams scoring is almost evenly matched, slightly favoring “yes” with a 50.31% probability.
Based on the above facts, the match between Deportes Tolima and Rionegro is likely to be very competitive. However, Deportes Tolima will have a slight advantage due to their home performance.
The potential number of goals
Deportes Tolima, at home, wins 40% of their matches and has a positive-negative score of 6. Rionegro wins 20% of their away matches with a score of 5/5.
Tolima has an offensive potential of 57% and defensive potential of 43% with an average score of 1.6. Rionegro has an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 50% with an average score of 1.2.
Tolima has a 49.07% chance of winning, while Rionegro has a 21.12% chance. The draw has a probability of 29.81%.
There is a 70.81% probability that more than 1.5 goals will be scored, but less than 45.96% probability for over 2.5 goals.
Finally, there is a 50.31% chance that both teams will score.
Prediction: It’s a tight call, but Tolima seems to have the edge.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the match between Deportes Tolima and Rionegro appears to be a highly contested encounter, despite Deportes Tolima enjoying a home advantage. Statistics and analysis suggest that there is a strong likelihood of a match with less than 2.5 goals, where both teams are likely to score. A 1-1 draw seems to be a plausible prediction, considering the offensive and defensive performances of these two teams. In terms of betting, the most valuable bet would be a draw or a Rionegro win, with odds of 2.00, reflecting a potentially high return for a well-calculated risk supported by a solid statistical analysis. Based on these evaluation criteria, Deportes Tolima appears to be the favorite team for this match, however, football is often unpredictable, so each bet should be placed thoughtfully, taking into account all potential factors.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Deportes Tolima against Rionegro Aguilas on 13/04/2024
1. Deportes Tolima has a better offensive potential at home than Rionegro away (57% versus 43%). Additionally, Tolima has scored 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, compared to only 5 goals for Rionegro in their last 5 away matches.
2. The odds also favor Deportes Tolima, with a 49.07% probability of winning the match, compared to 21.12% for Rionegro. Furthermore, Tolima has a 78.88% probability of either winning or drawing, significantly higher than Rionegro’s 50.93%.
3. Lastly, the match history shows that Deportes Tolima has managed to win or draw in all their recent home matches (2 wins and 3 draws), while Rionegro has only won one of their last 5 away matches.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Deportes Tolima vs Rionegro Aguilas match!
To not miss anything from the Deportes Tolima vs Rionegro Aguilas match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 13/04/2024 in the Primera A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Deportes Tolima vs Rionegro Aguilas
Lineups Deportes Tolima
Lineups Rionegro Aguilas
Match Highlights Deportes Tolima vs Rionegro Aguilas on 13/04/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Deportes Tolima vs Rionegro Aguilas match on 13/04/2024 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Deportes Tolima and Rionegro Aguilas
All statistics for the match between Deportes Tolima and Rionegro Aguilas will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Deportes Tolima against Rionegro Aguilas!
Form state of Deportes Tolima in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Deportes Tolima has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Deportes Tolima has a form rating of %.
Form state of Rionegro Aguilas in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Rionegro Aguilas has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Rionegro Aguilas has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Deportes Tolima against Rionegro Aguilas!
Average goals scored by Deportes Tolima in the current season.
Goals scored by Deportes Tolima in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Deportes Tolima in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Rionegro Aguilas in the current season
Goals scored by Rionegro Aguilas in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Rionegro Aguilas
Rionegro Aguilas has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Rionegro Aguilas in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Rionegro Aguilas
Rionegro Aguilas has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Deportes Tolima and Rionegro Aguilas, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Deportes Tolima vs Rionegro Aguilas: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The home performance statistics of Deportes Tolima and away performance of Rionegro show a trend towards lower scores. In their respective last 5 matches, Deportes Tolima has scored 6 goals and conceded 6 as well, while Rionegro has scored 5 goals and conceded 5 as well. This suggests a higher probability of a low-scoring match.
2. The average goals scored and conceded per match for both teams are also closer to 2 than 3. Deportes Tolima averages 1.6 goals scored per match and 1.2 conceded, while Rionegro averages 1.2 goals scored per match and 1.4 conceded. This further indicates that the total goals could be below 2.5.
3. Additionally, the given probability for the “under 2.5 goals in the match” prediction is 1.65, which is higher than the probability for the “over 2.5 goals in the match” prediction at 2.20. This probability gap reflects the recent performances of both teams and also suggests a likely outcome of under 2.5 goals in the match.
Forecast results from winflix for Deportes Tolima and Rionegro Aguilas!
The last 5 winning predictions für Deportes Tolima
The last 5 winning predictions für Rionegro Aguilas
How do I find the best forecast for Deportes Tolima Rionegro Aguilas?
Finding a forecast for the Deportes Tolima Rionegro Aguilas match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Deportes Tolima Rionegro Aguilas on 13/04/2024 in Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro are the team's past performance in the Primera A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Deportes Tolima at home and Rionegro Aguilas away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 13/04/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Deportes Tolima and Rionegro Aguilas on 13/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Primera A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Deportes Tolima could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Deportes Tolima and Rionegro Aguilas, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Deportes Tolima and the away win rate of Rionegro Aguilas, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 13/04/2024!
The individual performances of players from Deportes Tolima and Rionegro Aguilas can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 13/04/2024 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Deportes Tolima and Rionegro Aguilas, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Deportes Tolima or Rionegro Aguilas on 13/04/2024.
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