Tipps Deportes Tolima Santa Fe Primera A 03/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“My prediction is that Deportes Tolima will win the match.”

1. Deportes Tolima’s home performance: Analysis of the last 5 home matches shows that Deportes Tolima is in good form, winning 80% of the matches. Meanwhile, Santa Fe Bogota has an away performance of only 40%.

2. Offensive and defensive potentials comparison: Deportes Tolima has an average offensive potential of 57% at home, and a defensive potential of 29%, which is higher than Santa Fe Bogota’s away statistics (42% offensive, 7% defensive). Thus, on paper, Deportes Tolima is better equipped in terms of offensive and defensive performance.

3. Probability of success: Based on the information provided, the probability of Deportes Tolima winning the match is 41.36% with odds of 2.05, which is higher than that of Santa Fe Bogota (28.8% with odds of 3.50). This statistical analysis directly supports the probability of a Deportes Tolima victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. At home, Deportes Tolima has scored an average of 2 goals per match and conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 matches, making an average total of 2.8 goals per match. This is already less than 2.5 goals per match, giving us reason to predict there will be less than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. On the road, Santa Fe Bogota has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded an average of 0.2 goals per match in their last 5 matches, making an average total of 1.4 goals per match. This is significantly lower than 2.5 goals per match, further supporting the prediction that there will be less than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Looking at the provided success probabilities, the prediction of less than 2.5 goals in the match has odds of 1.90, indicating it is slightly more likely that the 2.5 goals threshold will not be exceeded during the match. In comparison, the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 47.64%, which is below 50%.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Deportes Tolima has shown a strong performance at home, with a victory in 80% of their last 5 matches. They have scored a total of 10 goals, averaging 2 goals per match, which is a good indicator that they can score in the upcoming match.

2. Santa Fe Bogota, although less successful away from home, has managed to score in 60% of their last 5 away games. They have scored a total of 5 goals, averaging 1 goal per match, which also shows offensive potential for the next game.

3. The statistical factor governing the probability of both teams scoring stands at 54.45%. This means that based on the past performances of both teams, it is more likely that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams to score – 1.72

Bet on the exact result

Deportes Tolima 2-1 Santa Fe Bogota

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Deportes Tolima has a solid winning statistic (80%) and an average of 1.6 goals scored per match, which is higher than Santa Fe Bogota’s average goals scored away from home (1.2 goals per match).
2. Deportes Tolima’s offensive potential at home (57%) is higher than Santa Fe Bogota’s on the road (43%). Additionally, Deportes Tolima has a higher probability of winning the match according to the odds (41.36% compared to 28.8% for Santa Fe Bogota).
3. Taking into account the scores from Deportes Tolima’s last 5 home matches, three have ended with a 2-1 scoreline, indicating a recurring trend towards this type of score. Furthermore, both teams have a relatively high probability of scoring (54.45%), lending credence to the idea of a final score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Deportes Tolima has a strong performance at home, with a win rate of 80% in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals but also conceded more, with 11 goals against. Their offensive potential is around 57%, while their defense is at 29%.

Santa Fe Bogota is not as solid away, with a win rate of only 40%. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7. Their offensive potential is 43% and defensive potential is 7%.

Probabilities suggest that Deportes Tolima is slightly ahead, with a win probability of 41.36%. It is also likely that the match will end in a draw or a win for Deportes, with a probability of 71.2%.

Regarding goals, statistics indicate a 68.59% chance of over 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams have a 54.45% probability of scoring in the same match.

Analyzing the recent home matches of Deportes Tolima and away matches of Santa Fe Bogota, Tolima seems to have a better offensive performance. However, Bogota has also defended well in their away games.

Based on this data, I expect a competitive match with a higher probability of Deportes Tolima winning. Nevertheless, it should be noted that Bogota will not be an easy opponent to beat.

The potential number of goals

Deportes Tolima has excelled at home, winning 80% of their last matches. They have scored 10 goals but also conceded 11. They score an average of 1.6 goals and concede 0.8 goals per match, with an offensive efficiency of 57% and a defensive efficiency of 29%.

Santa Fe Bogota is more inconsistent away from home, winning 40% and drawing 40% of their last matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7. They score an average of 1.2 goals and concede 0.2 goals per match. Their offensive efficiency is 43% and their defensive efficiency is 7%.

The probability of Deportes Tolima winning this match is 41.36%, a draw is 29.84%, and Santa Fe Bogota winning is 28.8%. The probability of there being over 1.5 goals in the match is 68.59%, while the probability of there being less than 3.5 goals is 78.53%.

Based on recent matches analysis, Deportes Tolima consistently scores and wins, while Santa Fe Bogota is solid defensively. Both teams scoring has a probability of 54.45%. Taking these data into account, it seems likely that Deportes Tolima could have the edge in this match, with a possibility of over 1.5 total goals. However, football remains unpredictable and these trends may not continue.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of the performance of both teams, as well as the probabilities related to different types of bets, guide us towards several prevalences. It is more likely that Deportes Tolima will win the match, considering their home performance and offensive and defensive potential. We can also anticipate less than 2.5 goals in the match, as suggested by the statistics of goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Furthermore, it also seems probable that both teams will score in the match. Indeed, the statistics of goals scored at home by Deportes Tolima and away by Santa Fe Bogota favor this prediction. Betting on this point seems interesting.

Finally, the estimated exact score is 2-1 in favor of Deportes Tolima, in line with the previous performances of both teams, their offensive and defensive potential, and associated probabilities.

However, it is important to remember that sports, especially football, remain unpredictable, and sports betting remains a risky activity. The forecasts developed here are based on statistical analysis and do not guarantee any certain outcome. It is therefore advisable to bet with moderation and awareness.