Tipps Deportivo Cali Millonarios Primera A 05/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the provided statistics, it appears that both teams have a fairly similar performance with a similar win rate and almost equal number of goals scored and conceded. However, Millonarios Bogota seems to have a stronger defense when playing away compared to Deportivo Cali at home. Additionally, the stats show that Millonarios Bogota tends to score more frequently away while Deportivo Cali struggles more at home. Therefore, my prediction would be: Millonarios Bogota wins the match.

1. Millonarios Bogota’s defense seems to be more effective when they play away, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per match, compared to Deportivo Cali who concedes an average of 2 goals per match at home.
2. Millonarios Bogota shows a better attacking performance when they play away, scoring an average of 2 goals per match, while Deportivo Cali has a weak offensive performance at home, with only 1.4 goals per match on average.
3. Taking into account the last 5 matches of both teams, the win rate for Deportivo Cali at home (40%) is lower than the combined win rate and draw rate for Millonarios Bogota away (60%), suggesting that Millonarios Bogota could have a slight advantage in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5

1. Both teams have shown a strong ability to score goals in their previous matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game for Deportivo Cali and 2 goals per game for Millonarios Bogota.
2. The defense has been less effective, as Deportivo Cali has conceded an average of 2 goals per home match and Millonarios Bogota has conceded 0.4 goals per away match, indicating a higher likelihood of goals being scored.
3. Looking at the recent matches, it is evident that the majority have ended with a total of goals exceeding 2.5. This increases the probability that this match will also have a total of goals exceeding 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal statistics: Both teams have had a good offensive performance in their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per match for Deportivo Cali and 2 goals per match for Millonarios Bogota. Additionally, Deportivo Cali has conceded an average of 2 goals per match while Millonarios Bogota has conceded 0.4 goals per match. These statistics suggest a high probability that both teams will score in the match.

2. Recent performance: In their last 5 matches, Deportivo Cali has scored in 80% of the games and Millonarios Bogota has also scored in 80% of the games. This indicates that both teams have a strong tendency to score in their matches.

3. Previous results: The results of previous matches between Deportivo Cali and Millonarios Bogota also suggest that both teams are likely to score. Deportivo Cali has scored in 60% of its last home matches, while Millonarios Bogota has scored in 60% of its last away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Cali 1-1 Millonarios Bogota

1. Over their last 5 respective matches, both Deportivo Cali and Millonarios Bogota have a high draw rate at home and away respectively (40% for both teams). This trend could continue in the upcoming match.

2. In terms of goal averages, Deportivo Cali scores an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, while Millonarios Bogota concedes an average of 0.4 goals away. It is therefore very likely that Deportivo Cali will score at least one goal. On the other hand, Millonarios Bogota scores an average of 2 goals per match away, whereas Deportivo Cali concedes an average of 1.4 goals at home. Millonarios Bogota is also likely to score at least one goal.

3. The statistics also indicate a low goal count for the match, with a 100% probability of less than 3.5 goals and less than 4.5 goals. This suggests a low-scoring match, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The current form of Deportivo Cali is mixed with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 home matches. The scores show a vulnerable defense with 7 goals conceded, but a capable attack with 7 goals scored.

Millonarios Bogota, on the other hand, struggles away from home with just 1 win in their last 5 away games. They have scored 7 goals but let in 8 goals.

In terms of performance, Deportivo Cali has an offensive potential of 50% while Millonarios Bogota is more offensive with a potential of 71%. However, Bogota has a defensive weakness with a success rate of only 14%, while Cali is more solid with 71%.

The statistics do not predict an obvious winner in this match with a 0% probability for any outcome. However, it seems more likely that the match will end with less than 3.5 goals, with a 100% chance.

In conclusion, one can expect a balanced match with probably few goals. Both teams have shown an ability to score but also defensive weaknesses. The risk of a draw is high.

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Cali has had a mixed performance at home in their last five matches, with a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 7. Their average is 1.4 goals per match, with an attacking potential of 50% but a lackluster defense at 71%.

On the other hand, Millonarios Bogota has a weaker away record, winning only 20% of the time and drawing 40% of their matches. They have scored the same number of goals as Deportivo Cali with 7, but have conceded 8. Their performances seem more balanced with an average of 2 goals per match, an attacking potential of 71%, and a defensive efficiency of 14%.

That being said, the probability of either team winning is 0%, leaving the door open for a draw. Overall, one can expect less than 3.5 goals in this match, with a 100% success probability in this case. However, both teams are unlikely to score, also with a 100% success probability.

Finally, Deportivo Cali’s recent home matches show some inconsistency in their performance, while Millonarios Bogota plays more consistently away. In short, this match seems open to all possibilities, except a clear victory for either team.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on recent statistics and the performance of both teams, it seems that the match between Deportivo Cali and Millonarios Bogota will be highly competitive, but it is likely to end in a draw. Both teams have shown the ability to score goals but have also demonstrated weakness in defense, increasing the likelihood of a drawn match, possibly with a low score. Therefore, bettors should consider placing a bet on a draw and hope for an exact score of 1-1. Additionally, it is also more likely that both teams will score in this match, so a bet on “Both teams to score: Yes” could also be of interest.