Tipps Deportivo Cuenca Aucas Liga Pro 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Aucas wins the match”

1. Recent performance history: Aucas has shown stronger performances than Deportivo Cuenca in their recent encounters, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 away matches compared to Deportivo Cuenca’s home win rate of only 20%.

2. Difference in offensive and defensive potentials: Aucas has stronger offensive and defensive statistics compared to Deportivo Cuenca. Aucas has a higher offensive potential (79% vs 36%) and a higher defensive potential (43% vs 71%) than Deportivo Cuenca.

3. Betting odds: Betting odds also indicate a higher probability of victory for Aucas (37.5%) compared to Deportivo Cuenca (29.76%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive performances of both teams: Aucas scores an average of 2.2 goals per match away, while Deportivo Cuenca scores an average of 1 goal per match at home. This suggests a total potential of over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The low defensive potential: Deportivo Cuenca concedes an average of 2 goals per match at home, while Aucas concedes an average of 1.2 goals away. A total of over 2.5 goals is likely in this situation.

3. Recent match results: Looking at the recent matches, we can see that Aucas has won the majority of its away matches with a total goal over 2.5. Even though Deportivo Cuenca hasn’t scored many goals at home, they tend to concede a number of goals that could lead to a total of over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent home record of Deportivo Cuenca: In their last 5 home matches, Deportivo Cuenca has scored at least one goal in 80% of the games (4 out of 5). However, they have also conceded at least one goal in 80% of these same matches, indicating a rather weak defense.

2. Recent away performance of Aucas: In their last 5 away games, Aucas has scored in all of their matches (100%), while also conceding goals in 80% of these games. This shows a team that regularly scores away from home but also concedes goals.

3. Overall statistics of both teams: On average, in their respective last 5 matches, both teams have scored more than one goal per game (1 for Deportivo Cuenca and 2.2 for Aucas) and have also conceded more than one goal per game (2 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.2 for Aucas). These statistics suggest that the match could see each team scoring at least once.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Aucas wins the match – 2.30”

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Aucas

1. Recent statistics show that Deportivo Cuenca has a lower offensive potential than Aucas, scoring an average of 1 goal per match (compared to 2.2 for Aucas). Therefore, it is foreseeable that Aucas will score more goals.
2. In terms of defense, Aucas appears to have an advantage with a defensive potential of 43% compared to 71% for Deportivo Cuenca. This means that Aucas could concede fewer goals, putting them in a strong position to win the match.
3. The historical record of away games for Aucas indicates a winning trend (60% of cases), while Deportivo Cuenca tends to draw or lose in their home games. Thus, a score in favor of Aucas seems more likely.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Deportivo Cuenca, at home, is not showing a strong performance with only a 20% win rate. Additionally, they have conceded as many goals as they have scored, so their performance is balanced.

Aucas, on the other hand, as the away team, presents a better record. They have won 60% of their matches while scoring more goals than they have conceded.

In terms of potential, Aucas has a better offensive performance. They average 2.2 goals per match, whereas Deportivo Cuenca only averages 1 goal.

Let’s analyze the likelihood of success. Aucas has a 37.5% chance of winning the match, which is higher than Deportivo Cuenca’s win probability (29.76%).

However, if we consider a draw or a home team win, the probability rises to 62.5%. So, a safe bet could be that the match ends in a draw or Deportivo Cuenca wins.

Regarding goals, it is likely to have over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 75.6%.

Finally, the history shows that most matches at Deportivo Cuenca’s stadium have ended with a small score difference, while Aucas has managed to score at least 2 goals in most of their away matches.

In conclusion, Aucas seems to have an advantage in this match. However, a safe bet could be a draw or a Deportivo Cuenca win.

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Cuenca, at home, has a 20% win rate and a 40% draw rate, with 5 goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches. Their offensive potential is at 36% and defensive at 71%.

Aucas, playing away, has a 60% win rate and a 20% draw rate, with a total of 7 goals scored and 8 goals conceded. Their offensive potential stands at 79% and defensive at 43%.

The prediction of “over 1.5 goals in the match” has a 75.6% chance of happening, with odds of 1.33. Another plausible prediction would be both teams to score, with a probability of 57.74% and odds of 1.78.

Based on the data, Aucas has a 37.5% probability of winning the match with odds of 2.30. However, the option “draw or Deportivo Cuenca win” at a 62.5% probability with odds of 1.52 seems like a sensible bet.

Deportivo Cuenca and Aucas tend to have matches with less than 3.5 goals, at 93.45% probability and odds of 1.28.

In conclusion, Aucas seems to have a slight advantage, but Deportivo Cuenca’s strong defense at home could make the match balanced. According to the numbers, a bet on “under 3.5 goals in the match” seems wise.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all the factors and statistics presented, the match between Deportivo Cuenca and Aucas promises to be intense. Despite Deportivo Cuenca playing at home, Aucas seems to have a slight advantage. Their away performance is impressive, with a win rate of 60% and superior offensive and defensive statistics.

However, Deportivo Cuenca’s solid home defense could certainly be a deciding factor. It wouldn’t be surprising to see a match with less than 3.5 goals, as the statistics suggest.

Ultimately, the safest bet seems to be “under 3.5 goals in the match.” However, if you’re looking to take more risks, a bet on Aucas to win could be intriguing at odds of 2.30. With both teams having good offensive capabilities, another possible bet could be that “both teams will score.”

Nevertheless, it is important to remember that sports betting always carries risks. It is recommended to bet responsibly and within the limits of your own financial means.