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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Deportivo Pasto Alianza Petrolera
Tipps Deportivo Pasto Alianza Petrolera Primera A 30/09/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Deportivo Pasto wins the match.
1. The recent home match history of Deportivo Pasto shows a strong performance with a 60% win rate and a 40% draw rate. Additionally, they have managed to score 7 goals in 5 matches, showcasing a solid offensive potential.
2. In comparison, Alianza Petrolera has shown a relatively weak performance in their recent away matches, winning only in 20% of cases and drawing in 20% of cases. With only 4 goals scored in 5 matches, their offensive potential seems low compared to Deportivo Pasto.
3. The calculated probabilities also favor Deportivo Pasto or a draw with a success probability of 82.56% compared to Alianza Petrolera’s victory probability of only 17.44%. This indicates a clear advantage for Deportivo Pasto in terms of statistical probabilities.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match.
1. Based on the statistics from the last 5 home matches of Deportivo Pasto and the away matches of Alianza Petrolera, it can be observed that the number of goals scored was generally low. Deportivo Pasto scored 7 goals and Alianza Petrolera 4 goals, resulting in an average of less than 2.5 goals per match.
2. The respective offensive potentials of Deportivo Pasto (36%) and Alianza Petrolera (21%) are quite low, suggesting that the match may not be high-scoring in terms of goals.
3. The probabilities indicate a higher likelihood of “Under 2.5 goals in the match” at odds of 1.50, compared to “Over 2.5 goals in the match” which has only a 40.51% probability and odds of 2.55. This means that the chances are higher for a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. Recent history of “Deportivo Pasto” at home and “Alianza Petrolera” away from home. Deportivo Pasto has managed to keep clean sheets in two of their last five home games, while Alianza Petrolera has only scored in two of their last five away games.
2. Alianza Petrolera’s offensive potential away from home is rather weak at 21%, indicating they have struggled to score in recent away matches.
3. The suggested probability statistics indicate that both teams will not score with a probability of 55.38%, meaning it is more likely that one or both teams will fail to score in this match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Both teams don’t score
1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams indicate a low number of goals: Deportivo Pasto scores an average of 1 goal per home match and Alianza Petrolera scores an average of 0.6 goals per away match. Additionally, Deportivo Pasto concedes only 0.4 goals per home match on average, while Alianza Petrolera concedes 1.2 goals away.
2. Looking at the last five home matches of Deportivo Pasto, they managed to keep a clean sheet three times out of five. Similarly, Alianza Petrolera kept a clean sheet in two out of their last five away matches.
3. The odds indicate a higher probability of both teams not scoring (55.38%) compared to both teams scoring (44.62%).
Bet on the exact result
Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Alianza Petrolera
1. Deportivo Pasto has a strong home record, as evidenced by their 60% win rate in their last 5 home matches. Additionally, they have scored an average of 1 goal per match in these games, suggesting they are quite reliable at scoring when playing at home.
2. On the other hand, Alianza Petrolera struggles to win away from home, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 away matches. They also have a relatively low goals scored rate, averaging 0.6 goals per match in these games, indicating they may struggle to score in this match.
3. Deportivo Pasto’s defensive potential at home is strong, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 home games. This, combined with Alianza Petrolera’s low away goal rate, gives Deportivo Pasto a good chance of keeping a clean sheet, thus supporting the prediction of a 1-0 scoreline.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Deportivo Pasto dominates at home with a 60% win rate and an average of 1 goal scored per match. This highlights an offensive potential of 36%. However, they have conceded 10 goals, indicating a vulnerable defense.
On the Alianza Petrolera side, the situation is tough away from home with only a 20% win rate and an offensive potential of 21%. They score an average of 0.6 goals per match but concede an average of 1.2 goals.
The probability of Deportivo Pasto winning is 58.46%, with odds of 2.00. A less likely outcome, but still possible, is a draw with a probability of 24.1%.
The trend seems to indicate a match with a limited number of goals: less than 2.5 goals have a 66.15% probability. Based on these factors, it’s also more likely that both teams won’t score (55.38% probability).
To sum up, Deportivo Pasto seems to have the advantage in this match, with a 58.46% probability of winning. Less than 2.5 goals is a likely outcome, and finally, it’s probable that all goals will come from only one team. Good luck with your bet!
The potential number of goals
Deportivo Pasto has a home win rate history of 60% with a total of 7 goals scored. However, their defense has conceded 10 goals. The average goals per home match is 1 and Deportivo has an offensive potential of 36%, defensive of 14%.
Alianza Petrolera, when playing away, needs to work with a 20% win rate. Their total score of 4 goals conceded and 4 goals scored shows a balance. On average, they score 0.6 goals and concede 1.2 goals per match. Their offensive potential is 21% and defensive is 43%.
The odds are leaning towards a Deportivo win with a probability of 58.46% and odds of 2.00. A draw has a probability of 24.1% with odds of 3.10. Apart from a win, a draw or a Deportivo victory has a probability of 82.56% with odds at 1.22.
Regarding the number of goals, the chances are 66.15% for over 1.5 goals and 40.51% for over 2.5 goals. A match with under 3.5 goals seems more likely at 86.67%, while a match with over 4.5 goals is unlikely.
Both teams are not expected to score, with a probability of 55.38%.
In summary, the forecast is leaning towards a Deportivo win with potentially over 1.5 but less than 3.5 goals in the match.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, based on the thorough analysis of Deportivo Pasto’s recent home performances and Alianza Petrolera’s away performances, it appears that Deportivo Pasto is in a good position to win this match. Their initial probability of victory, all defensive and offensive indicators, as well as their home performance strongly favor Deportivo.
It is also likely that the total number of goals in the match will be less than 2.5, given the relatively weak offensive potential of both teams and the low number of goals scored in their recent matches.
Furthermore, the data also suggests that it is unlikely for both teams to score in this match. Alianza Petrolera has struggled to score away from home, increasing the chances of both teams not scoring in this match.
Ultimately, it all depends on the strategies each team implements on match day, but the statistics lean towards Deportivo Pasto. That’s where a good value bet could potentially be found. However, it is still crucial to consider that football remains an unpredictable sport and that any bet carries risks.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Deportivo Pasto against Alianza Petrolera on 30/09/2024
1. The recent home match history of Deportivo Pasto shows a strong performance with a 60% win rate and a 40% draw rate. Additionally, they have managed to score 7 goals in 5 matches, showcasing a solid offensive potential.
2. In comparison, Alianza Petrolera has shown a relatively weak performance in their recent away matches, winning only in 20% of cases and drawing in 20% of cases. With only 4 goals scored in 5 matches, their offensive potential seems low compared to Deportivo Pasto.
3. The calculated probabilities also favor Deportivo Pasto or a draw with a success probability of 82.56% compared to Alianza Petrolera’s victory probability of only 17.44%. This indicates a clear advantage for Deportivo Pasto in terms of statistical probabilities.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera match!
To not miss anything from the Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 30/09/2024 in the Primera A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera
Lineups Deportivo Pasto
Lineups Alianza Petrolera
Match Highlights Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera on 30/09/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera match on 30/09/2024 at Estadio Departamental Libertad stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Deportivo Pasto and Alianza Petrolera
All statistics for the match between Deportivo Pasto and Alianza Petrolera will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Deportivo Pasto against Alianza Petrolera!
Form state of Deportivo Pasto in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Deportivo Pasto has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Deportivo Pasto has a form rating of %.
Form state of Alianza Petrolera in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Alianza Petrolera has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Alianza Petrolera has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Deportivo Pasto against Alianza Petrolera!
Average goals scored by Deportivo Pasto in the current season.
Goals scored by Deportivo Pasto in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Deportivo Pasto in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Alianza Petrolera in the current season
Goals scored by Alianza Petrolera in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Alianza Petrolera
Alianza Petrolera has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Alianza Petrolera in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Alianza Petrolera
Alianza Petrolera has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Deportivo Pasto and Alianza Petrolera, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Based on the statistics from the last 5 home matches of Deportivo Pasto and the away matches of Alianza Petrolera, it can be observed that the number of goals scored was generally low. Deportivo Pasto scored 7 goals and Alianza Petrolera 4 goals, resulting in an average of less than 2.5 goals per match.
2. The respective offensive potentials of Deportivo Pasto (36%) and Alianza Petrolera (21%) are quite low, suggesting that the match may not be high-scoring in terms of goals.
3. The probabilities indicate a higher likelihood of “Under 2.5 goals in the match” at odds of 1.50, compared to “Over 2.5 goals in the match” which has only a 40.51% probability and odds of 2.55. This means that the chances are higher for a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Deportivo Pasto and Alianza Petrolera!
The last 5 winning predictions für Deportivo Pasto
The last 5 winning predictions für Alianza Petrolera
How do I find the best forecast for Deportivo Pasto Alianza Petrolera?
Finding a forecast for the Deportivo Pasto Alianza Petrolera match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Deportivo Pasto Alianza Petrolera on 30/09/2024 in Estadio Departamental Libertad are the team's past performance in the Primera A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Deportivo Pasto at home and Alianza Petrolera away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 30/09/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Deportivo Pasto and Alianza Petrolera on 30/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Primera A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Departamental Libertad, Deportivo Pasto could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Deportivo Pasto and Alianza Petrolera, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Deportivo Pasto and the away win rate of Alianza Petrolera, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 30/09/2024!
The individual performances of players from Deportivo Pasto and Alianza Petrolera can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 30/09/2024 at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Deportivo Pasto and Alianza Petrolera, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Deportivo Pasto or Alianza Petrolera on 30/09/2024.
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