Tipps Deportivo Pasto Bucaramanga Primera A 24/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for the match would be: Draw or Deportivo Pasto wins the match.

1. Deportivo Pasto has a considerably better home performance than Atletico Bucaramanga’s away record. In their respective last 5 matches, Deportivo Pasto has either won or drawn in 80% of cases, while Atletico Bucaramanga has only won in 20% of cases.

2. Deportivo Pasto shows both higher offensive and defensive potential than Atletico Bucaramanga. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded the same average, suggesting a balanced team in both attack and defense. Atletico Bucaramanga, on the other hand, has scored significantly less with an average of 0.4 goals per match and has conceded as much as Deportivo Pasto on average.

3. Finally, probability statistics also support the prediction. The probability of the match ending in a draw or Deportivo Pasto winning is 70.65%, which is significantly higher than all other indicated probabilities.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Based on the last 5 matches, both teams have a combined average of fewer than 2.5 goals per match. Specifically, Atletico Bucaramanga has only scored 0.4 goals per match away while Deportivo Pasto has scored 1.2 goals at home.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams are quite solid on average, with Deportivo Pasto conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match at home and Atletico Bucaramanga conceding the same number of goals per match away, indicating fewer chances for a high-scoring game.

3. According to the given probabilities, there is an 89.13% chance that fewer than 3.5 goals will be scored in the match, which also provides strong statistical support for an Under 2.5 goals prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Atletico Bucaramanga shows a weakness in offense when playing away, with an average of only 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 away games and an offensive potential of 14%. This decreases the likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. Deportivo Pasto has a strong defensive record at home, conceding only 1.2 goals per match in their recent home games. Additionally, in 3 out of their last 5 home matches, they have managed to keep a clean sheet, indicating a high probability of not conceding a goal.

3. The calculated probability of both teams not scoring is 59.78%, which is higher than the probability of both teams scoring (40.22%). This statistic suggests that based on recent performances, it is more likely that one or both teams will fail to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga

1. Deportivo Pasto has a strong home win history – they have won 40% of their last home matches, which is higher than the average of Atletico Bucaramanga away (20%).

2. Deportivo Pasto’s offensive potential at home is 43%, while Atletico Bucaramanga’s defensive potential away is 43%. This means Deportivo Pasto has a good chance of scoring at home and Atletico Bucaramanga might struggle to score away.

3. Based on goal statistics, it is likely that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals in the match (89.13% probability), which would correspond to a scoreline of 1-0 for Deportivo Pasto. Additionally, both teams do not score in 59.78% of cases, further supporting the prediction of a 1-0 win for Deportivo Pasto.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

According to the statistics, Deportivo Pasto is quite strong at home, with a 40% win rate and an equal number of draws. They have scored 8 goals but have also conceded more (9 goals).

On the other hand, Atletico Bucaramanga struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate. They have scored as many goals (4) as they have conceded (4).

Comparatively, Deportivo Pasto is more efficient both offensively and defensively at home (43% potential for each) than Bucaramanga is on the road (14% offensive potential, 43% defensive).

Probabilities for the outcome? Advantage Deportivo Pasto, with a 41.3% chance of winning, while Bucaramanga has only 29.35%. The draw is also possible at 29.35%.

Looking at the score, statistically, there would be a higher chance of having less than 2.5 goals in the match (1.44) with a high of 97.83% for under 4.5 goals (1.03).

There is a higher probability (59.78%, odds 1.60) of both teams not scoring.

Finally, considering the recent home matches for Pasto and away matches for Bucaramanga, the trend seems to confirm that Deportivo Pasto wins or draws in most cases, while Atletico Bucaramanga has more losses than wins.

In conclusion, the numbers suggest a slight superiority of Deportivo Pasto. However, football being unpredictable, nothing is set in stone.

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Pasto has won 40% of their last 5 home games, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per match. Positive forecast with a 41.3% chance of victory for Deportivo Pasto.

On the other hand, Atletico Bucaramanga has only won 20% of their last 5 away games. They have an average score of 0.4 goals per match with 1.2 goals conceded – a low offensive potential of 14%. Therefore, they only have a 29.35% chance of winning the match.

The probability of a draw is 29.35%. However, the Draw or Deportivo Pasto win option has the highest chance of success at 70.65%.

Regarding the number of goals, the most relevant forecast seems to be under 3.5 goals in the match with an 89.13% probability. Over 1.5 goals is also plausible with a 52.17% chance of happening.

The both teams to score option seems more likely with a 59.78% chance of success.
In summary, bet on a victory for Deportivo Pasto or a draw, with under 3.5 goals in total.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistical and performance analysis suggests several betting tips for this match between Deportivo Pasto and Atletico Bucaramanga. Deportivo Pasto appears to have an advantage over their opponent, especially when playing at home. Therefore, a Draw or Deportivo Pasto Win seems to be a wise bet. In terms of total number of goals, both teams have shown limited offensive performance recently, so an Under 3.5 goals bet could be interesting. Finally, considering Atletico Bucaramanga’s relatively weak offensive potential in away games, the likelihood of both teams scoring is reduced.

However, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves a level of uncertainty and should be done responsibly. Past team performances do not guarantee future results. Therefore, even though Deportivo Pasto appears to be the favorite based on the data, Atletico Bucaramanga could spring a surprise on the field, as football is a sport where anything can happen. Bettors should always consider numerous factors, including the most unpredictable ones, before placing their bets.