Tipps Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pereira Primera A 30/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Deportivo Pasto wins the match.

1. Deportivo Pasto has a stronger performance in home matches, winning or drawing in 80% of cases, compared to 40% for Deportivo Pereira in away matches.
2. The success probability for the prediction “Draw or Deportivo Pasto wins the match” is higher (67.89%) compared to that of “Deportivo Pereira wins the match” (32.11%).
3. Deportivo Pasto has a stronger attacking potential in home matches (50%) compared to Deportivo Pereira in away matches (43%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The offensive and defensive data of Deportivo Pasto and Deportivo Pereira indicate a high probability for a match with less than 2.5 goals. At home, Deportivo Pasto scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 1.6 goals. Away from home, Deportivo Pereira scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1.2 goals on average per match. These numbers show that the teams are generally not involved in high-scoring matches.

2. The odds also support this prediction. The odds for “under 2.5 goals in the match” are 1.47, indicating a high probability for this scenario. Furthermore, “under 3.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 83.68%, reinforcing the prediction of a low-scoring match.

3. The match history, both for Deportivo Pasto at home and Deportivo Pereira away, also shows a tendency towards relatively low scores. Deportivo Pasto has scored more than two goals only in two of its last five home matches, while Deportivo Pereira has scored more than two goals only once in its last five away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams show a tendency to score and concede goals on average in their matches (Deportivo Pasto with 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per home match, and Deportivo Pereira with 1.2 goals scored and conceded per away match), demonstrating offensive and defensive potential on both sides.
2. Given the recent home matches of Deportivo Pasto and the recent away matches of Deportivo Pereira, both teams tend to score at least once, making it likely that the hypothesis of “both teams to score” will be fulfilled.
3. The calculated probabilities also support this prediction, with a 55.26% chance of both teams scoring, which is significantly higher probability than both teams not scoring (44.74%).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Deportivo Pereira

1. The stats show that Deportivo Pasto and Deportivo Pereira have quite similar performance, both offensively and defensively. They have each scored between 6 and 7 goals in their last 5 matches, and have also conceded between 6 and 7 goals. This suggests the match could be tight, making a draw result plausible.

2. Deportivo Pasto’s defensive potential is 57% at home, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match, while Deportivo Pereira’s offensive potential is 43% away, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match. These numbers indicate a likelihood for each team to score a goal, reinforcing the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline.

3. Looking at the success probabilities for different outcomes, the most likely score is a match with under 3.5 goals (success probability of 83.68%). A 1-1 score aligns with this probability, while also considering the likelihood of both teams scoring (55.26% success probability).

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Deportivo Pasto has a mixed record at home with two wins, two losses, and one draw. They have earned 7 points in their last 5 matches. Their offensive potential stands at 50%, having scored a total of 7 goals. However, their defense is lacking, having conceded 7 goals.

Deportivo Pereira, on the other hand, has a similar profile when playing away. They have also won twice but lost three matches without a draw. With an offensive potential of 43%, they have scored 6 goals and conceded 7.

Both teams seem evenly matched. Their respective probabilities of winning are 36.84% for Deportivo Pasto and 32.11% for Deportivo Pereira. A draw seems possible as well, with odds of 3.10 and a probability of 31.05%.

Recent matches have shown that the scores are often close. The most likely outcome would be fewer than 3.5 goals scored, with odds of 1.16 and a very high probability of 83.68%.

In conclusion, the outcome of this match looks uncertain. A cautious choice would be to bet on fewer than 3.5 goals scored, with the possibility of both teams scoring (odds at 2.15), given their respective offensive potentials.

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Pasto has shown a decent performance at home, with a 40% win and draw rate. They have an average of 1.4 goals scored per match and a fairly solid defense conceding 1.6 goals per match.

Deportivo Pereira, playing away, has a 40% win rate without any draws. They score an average of 1.2 goals per match, with a similar defense conceding 1.2 goals.

The offensive and defensive potential for Deportivo Pasto is 50% and 57% respectively, while for Deportivo Pereira, it is 43% in both cases.

Statistically, the match has a 36.84% chance of being won by Deportivo Pasto, and 32.11% by Deportivo Pereira. A draw is likely at 31.05%.

As for goals, there is a 71.58% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals, and a 55.26% chance that both teams will score.

Based on these figures, a reasonable prediction would be a win for Deportivo Pasto or a draw, with more than 1.5 goals scored during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Deportivo Pasto and Deportivo Pereira is shaping up to be very tight. Both teams have similar performances, both defensively and offensively, making the outcome of the match uncertain. However, several factors suggest that Deportivo Pasto has a slight advantage, especially due to their home performance and offensive potential.

The most interesting bets are therefore “Draw or Deportivo Pasto to win”, “Under 2.5 goals in the match”, and “Both teams to score: Yes”. These bets are backed by solid statistics and favorable probabilities.

Let’s not forget that in sports betting, uncertainty remains and every bet carries risks. It is therefore crucial to bet responsibly, taking into account the available data and statistics, while remembering that luck always plays a role. Finally, good luck with your bets on this upcoming exciting match!