Tipps Deportivo Pasto Millonarios Primera A 16/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Millonarios Bogota wins the match.

1. Millonarios Bogota has a greater offensive potential in their away matches, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game compared to just 0.8 for Deportivo Pasto at home. This indicates a stronger attacking force for Millonarios Bogota.

2. The recent away matches of Millonarios Bogota also show a positive trend with 2 wins in 5 matches, while Deportivo Pasto has only 1 win in 5 home matches.

3. The success probabilities also favor Millonarios Bogota, with a rate of 44.25% compared to only 27.59% for Deportivo Pasto. This statistical information strengthens the idea that Millonarios Bogota is more likely to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Based on past performances, Deportivo Pasto has shown a tendency to play defensively at home, scoring only 0.8 goals on average and conceding just 0.6 goals in their last 5 matches. These below-average figures suggest that there would likely be fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.
2. Meanwhile, Millonarios Bogota has also displayed a relatively low goal average in their away matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Although this is slightly better than Deportivo Pasto’s performance, it still falls below the average, adding to the potential for a match with under 2.5 goals.
3. The history of matches between these two teams also shows a tendency for low scores. None of Deportivo Pasto’s recent home matches or Millonarios Bogota’s recent away matches has seen more than 3 goals, further strengthening the prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both Deportivo Pasto and Millonarios de Bogota have shown their ability to score goals in their last five matches, with an average of 0.8 and 1.6 goals scored respectively. This average indicates that both teams have good offensive potential.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams also suggest that they are likely to concede goals, with Pasto conceding an average of 0.6 goals per home match, and Millonarios conceding an average of 1.2 goals away from home.

3. By analyzing the past match history, we notice that both teams have scored and conceded goals, which strengthens the likelihood of both teams scoring at least one goal in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Millonarios Bogota

1. Previous performances: In their last 5 matches, Millonarios Bogota has won 40% of their away matches, while Deportivo Pasto has won 40% of their home matches. Additionally, Millonarios Bogota has shown better offensive performance by scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match away, compared to Deportivo Pasto’s average of 0.8 goals per match at home.

2. Odds: The probability of Millonarios Bogota winning the match is higher (44.25%) than that of Deportivo Pasto (27.59%). This difference in probabilities suggests that Millonarios Bogota has a better chance of winning the match.

3. Goal statistics: It is more likely to have over 1.5 goals in the match (74.14% probability) and under 3.5 goals in the match (92.53% probability). This suggests a match with a moderate score rather than a high-scoring or low-scoring match. With Deportivo Pasto averaging 0.8 goals per match at home and Millonarios Bogota averaging 1.6 goals per match away, a scoreline of 1-2 seems plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

On its last 5 home matches, Deportivo Pasto has had a consistent performance with a 40% win rate and an equal number of draws. They score an average of 0.8 goals per match but concede slightly less, with 0.6 goals per match. This gives them an estimated offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 21%.

On the other hand, Millonarios Bogota has a 40% win rate in its last 5 away matches and draws in 20% of cases. They score more than their opponent, averaging 1.6 goals per match, but also concede more with 1.2 goals per match. Their higher offensive potential stands at 57%, but their defensive potential is also higher at 43%.

The current probability of a victory for Deportivo Pasto is 27.59%, compared to 44.25% for Millonarios Bogota. The odds of a draw are at 28.16%.

In terms of attack, the probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match is quite high at 74.14%. However, the probability that both teams will score is 55.17%.

As seen, Millonarios Bogota has a slight edge in terms of statistics and probabilities. However, considering Deportivo Pasto’s home performance, the outcome is still uncertain. The teams seem quite evenly matched, making this game unpredictable and very interesting for betting.

In conclusion, a bet on Millonarios Bogota’s victory seems slightly safer, although there is still a level of risk. Another option could be to bet on there being more than 1.5 goals scored in the match. Of course, these recommendations are based on statistics, and the final result can always vary.

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Pasto has a decent home performance, with a 40% win rate and an equal number of draws. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 4.

On the other hand, Millonarios Bogota shows a similar away performance, also with a 40% win rate but a lower draw rate at 20%. However, they have scored more goals, with 5, but have also conceded the same number.

In terms of offensive capability, Deportivo Pasto averages 0.8 goals per game, with an offensive potential of 29%. Defensively, their score is not far off, with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per game and a potential of 21%.

Millonarios Bogota has a better offensive performance, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game and an offensive potential of 57%. However, they are also more vulnerable defensively, conceding 1.2 goals per game and with a potential of 43%.

In this matchup, the numbers show a higher probability of victory for Millonarios Bogota, at 44.25%, compared to 27.59% for Deportivo Pasto. A draw is slightly more likely than a victory for Deportivo Pasto, at 28.16%.

In terms of goals, the match is more likely to end with less than 3.5 goals, at 92.53%. However, the match could also end with more than 1.5 goals, with a probability of 74.14%.

Finally, both teams have an almost equal chance of scoring during the match. The probability of them succeeding is 55.17% and the probability of them not is mostly 44.83%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into consideration all these analyses and statistics, it appears that the match between Deportivo Pasto and Millonarios Bogota could turn out to be unpredictable, with both teams showing fairly close performances. The win seems to slightly lean towards Millonarios Bogota, with a 44.25% chance compared to 27.59% for Deportivo Pasto. An interesting betting option would be to bet on over 1.5 goals scored in the match, with a probability of 74.14%. That being said, these recommendations are still based on probabilities and statistics, and the final outcome remains, as always, uncertain in the world of sports betting. It is therefore important to bet responsibly.