Tipps Deportivo Pereira Alianza Petrolera Primera A 13/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics provided, it appears that the match could tilt in favor of Alianza Petrolera or end in a draw. However, it’s impossible to predict with certainty since the success probabilities for each team are indicated as nil. My prediction would therefore be: Alianza Petrolera wins the match or a draw.

1. Over the last 5 home matches, Deportivo Pereira has only won once (20% success rate). Meanwhile, Alianza Petrolera has managed to secure a draw in 40% of their away matches. These statistics suggest that Deportivo Pereira might struggle to win the match, favoring a prediction of victory or draw for Alianza Petrolera.

2. Alianza Petrolera appears to have a better offensive and defensive performance compared to Deportivo Pereira. They average 2 goals per away match and concede only 1 goal, while Deportivo Pereira only scores an average of 0.4 goals per home match and concedes 1 goal. This indicates that Alianza Petrolera is more likely to score goals and less likely to concede, making them more likely to win or draw.

3. Taking into account the recent match results of both teams, Alianza Petrolera seems to be in better form. Even though Deportivo Pereira has managed not to lose in 60% of their home matches, they have only won once. On the other hand, despite Alianza Petrolera losing twice in their away matches, they have secured two draws and one win. These results demonstrate greater resilience from Alianza Petrolera when playing away, which seems to favor a win or draw for them.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Both teams have shown a lack of offensive potential in their last 5 matches, with Deportivo Pereira averaging 0.4 goals per game and Alianza Petrolera averaging 2 goals per game.
2. The defensive performances of both teams have been relatively solid, with Deportivo Pereira conceding only 1 goal per game on average at home and Alianza Petrolera conceding 1 goal per game away.
3. Recent score history: the last home matches of Deportivo Pereira and away matches of Alianza Petrolera have generally had fewer than 2.5 goals, indicating that it is less likely for there to be more than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No.

1. In their last 5 home matches, Deportivo Pereira has not been very effective offensively, scoring only 0.4 goals per match.
2. Despite having a 71% offensive potential away from home, Alianza Petrolera has only scored 3 goals in total in their last 5 away matches.
3. The analysis of the recent matches of these two teams shows a trend of matches where they both may struggle to score. In the last 5 home matches of Deportivo Pereira, there have been two occasions where they failed to score, and in the last 5 away matches of Alianza Petrolera, there have been three matches where they couldn’t find the back of the net.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams to not score

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Alianza Petrolera.

1. The performance history between these two teams shows a trend towards balanced scores. Most of the recent matches of each team have not exceeded 2 goals. With a score of 1-1, the prediction follows the trend of less than 2.5 goals per match already observed.

2. The offensive potential of Deportivo Pereira at home is low (14%) as well as the offensive potential of Alianza Petrolera away (20%), indicating a higher probability of low scores, such as a 1-1 draw.

3. Finally, both teams have a similar defensive potential of 36%. This, combined with the fact that Deportivo Pereira concedes an average of 1 goal per match at home and Alianza Petrolera concedes an average of 1 goal per match away, suggests that there is a reasonable chance that they could both concede and score a goal, leading to a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Deportivo Pereira, at home, has not been showing many wins. Their performance was only at 20% win rate and 20% draw rate in the last 5 matches, conceding as many goals as they scored (4).

Alianza Petrolera, on the other hand, away from home, has a similar win rate (20%). However, they have a higher draw rate (40%). They have scored 3 goals and conceded 4.

Pereira remains weak in attack (0.4 goals/match), with an offensive potential of 14%. Their defenses are not strong either (36%).

Alianza plays with much more attacking flair: 2 goals/match and an offensive potential of 71%. Their defense is also equivalent to that of Pereira (36%).

The probabilities of winning are nil for both teams, as well as the chances of getting a draw. Both teams are not in good form.

The game also shows a nil probability of scoring more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. However, the probability of having less than 3.5 or 4.5 goals is 100%.

Pereira’s last home match ended in a draw. Alianza, on the other hand, lost their last away match.

In summary, the chances of winning are low for both teams. The match could end with a low score. It is therefore advisable to prepare for a match with few goals.

The potential number of goals

The Deportivo Pereira defense at home appears solid, having only conceded 4 goals in 5 matches. However, their attack is modest, with an efficiency rate of 20%. On the other hand, Alianza Petrolera’s offensive strength away from home is remarkable with a 71% scoring rate, despite an average defense. Alianza’s offensive potential is a key factor to consider for this match.

Taking into account these statistics and recent form, we assess that the probability of both teams scoring is low. Therefore, the “both teams to score” option seems like a viable bet with a success probability of 100%.

By combining the average number of goals scored and conceded by both teams, we arrive at a value of 2.4. Hence, there is a high probability that fewer than 3.5 goals will be scored during the match.

Lastly, a tip for bold bettors: Alianza Petrolera has superior offensive potential and has managed to secure draws in 40% of away matches, hinting at a potential surprise. However, caution is advised as these are riskier bets.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the recent performances of Deportivo Pereira and Alianza Petrolera, a draw or a victory for Alianza Petrolera seems to be the most likely outcome of this match. Taking into account the average number of goals scored and conceded by both teams, a match with less than 2.5 goals seems probable, with a strong chance that both teams will not score.

However, sports betting always involves risk and is never a guarantee. Past performances do not necessarily predict future performances, so it is recommended to carefully analyze the stakes, players’ form, and other key factors before placing a bet.

Ultimately, the value of the bets should always be considered before making a betting decision. In this case, Alianza Petrolera seems to offer interesting value considering their solid offensive performance and ability to secure draws away from home. Regardless of the bet you decide to place, it is always important to bet responsibly.