Tipps Deportivo Pereira Chico Primera A 07/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Deportivo Pereira wins the match.

1. Deportivo Pereira has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 57% when playing at home. These figures are higher than those of Boyaca Chico playing away, with an offensive potential of 14% and defensive potential of 64%. This could indicate that Deportivo Pereira has a better overall performance.

2. Recent statistics show that Deportivo Pereira has won 20% of their home matches while Boyaca Chico has only won 20% of their away matches. Even though these figures are equal, playing at home can often give a slight advantage, as may be the case for Deportivo Pereira.

3. The calculated probability of Deportivo Pereira winning the match is 54.84% with odds of 1.75, while for Boyaca Chico to win the match, the probability is slightly lower at 16.13% with higher odds of 5.00. This suggests that bookmakers see Deportivo Pereira as the favorite to win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The past performances of both teams indicate a trend towards low-scoring matches. Deportivo Pereira has scored 4 goals in their last 5 home matches and also conceded 4 goals. Boyaca Chico, on the other hand, has scored 4 goals in their last 5 away matches and conceded 8 goals.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of each team is quite low to anticipate a low-scoring match. Deportivo Pereira has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 57% at home, while Boyaca Chico has an offensive potential of 14% and a defensive potential of 64%.

3. Observing the probabilities related to match results indicates a higher probability for fewer than 3.5 goals in the match (86.02%) and fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. This suggests that the total number of goals scored will likely be low.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Boyaca Chico’s offensive potential away from home is low, at 14%, with an average of 0.4 goals scored per match in their last 5 matches. This indicates that it is unlikely for this team to score during the match.
2. Deportivo Pereira, at home, has a strong defensive potential of 57% and concedes an average of only 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 matches. Therefore, there is a good chance that Deportivo Pereira will not concede any goals.
3. The statistic showing a 97.31% probability of seeing less than 4.5 goals in the match suggests that the game could be tight and low-scoring, increasing the chances of both teams not scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Boyaca Chico

1. The recent home performances of Deportivo Pereira show a trend of scoring at least one goal per match. Furthermore, their average home score (1.2 goals per match) supports the idea that they could score a goal against Boyaca Chico.

2. Boyaca Chico, in their recent away matches, have struggled to keep a clean sheet, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. These statistics indicate some defensive weakness in Boyaca Chico that could allow Deportivo Pereira to score.

3. The mathematical probability strongly favors Deportivo Pereira with a 54.84% chance of winning compared to only 16.13% for Boyaca Chico. By combining this with the probabilities of having less than 1.5 goals in the match, it corroborates the prediction of a final score of 1-0 in favor of Deportivo Pereira.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Deportivo Pereira is in average form at home with 20% of wins and 20% of draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded the same.

Boyaca Chico struggles away from home, with a win rate of 20% and no draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals but conceded 8.

Pereira’s offensive potential at home is superior to Boyaca’s away record. On average, Pereira scores 1.2 goals compared to Boyaca’s 0.4.

Defensively, Boyaca seems less solid, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per away match versus Pereira’s 1.6 at home.

The probabilities indicate a 54.84% chance of Pereira winning the match with odds of 1.75, and only 16.13% for Boyaca with odds of 5.00.

The match is expected to see between 1 and 3.5 goals, with probabilities of 70.97% and 86.02% for half-time scores of 1.45 and 1.20 respectively.

The probability of both teams scoring is 50%, but Boyaca Chico struggles to score away from home.

Based on these statistics, a Deportivo Pereira win or a draw with less than 3.5 goals could be an interesting bet.

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Pereira, at home, has only won 20% of its last 5 matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding 4. Its offensive potential is 43% and defensive potential is 57%.

Boyaca Chico, away from home, has a similar record, winning 20% of its matches. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 goals, resulting in an offensive potential of 14% and defensive potential of 64%.

The probability of Deportivo Pereira winning is 54.84% with odds of 1.75. The option of a draw or Deportivo Pereira winning has a success probability of 83.87%.

In the match, the probability of more than 1.5 goals is 70.97%. However, it is more likely to have less than 3.5 goals, with a 86.02% chance.

Finally, there is a 50% chance that both teams will score.

Based on these data, Deportivo Pereira seems to have a slight advantage, but the match is likely to be low-scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the available analysis and statistics indicate a relatively tight match with a slight advantage in favor of Deportivo Pereira. The home team, combined with superior offensive and defensive potential, gives Deportivo Pereira an edge. However, given the modest offensive performances of both teams, the total number of goals is likely to be under 2.5. The most probable exact score will be 1-0 in favor of Deportivo Pereira. The most interesting bet to consider could be a victory for Deportivo Pereira with less than 2.5 total goals scored.

It is important to remember that, while statistics provide valuable insights, they do not guarantee a result. In sports betting, there is always an element of uncertainty and risk. It is therefore crucial to bet responsibly.